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比特币(BTC)曾一度触及 62,400 美元,但迅速逆转清楚地提醒人们,在地缘政治紧张局势下,数字资产面临着挑战。
Bitcoin’s recent attempt to breach the $62,000 mark was short-lived, as the cryptocurrency quickly retreated back below the $61,000 level amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
比特币最近试图突破 62,000 美元大关的尝试是短暂的,因为在持续的地缘政治紧张局势中,该加密货币迅速回落至 61,000 美元以下。
In the past 24 hours, BTC has dropped by about 3%, while the Coin Desk 20 index has fallen by 3.8%. This recent decline comes as a blow to crypto traders, who were expecting a more bullish October following Bitcoin’s rally from $52,000 to $66,000 last month.
过去24小时内,BTC下跌约3%,Coin Desk 20指数下跌3.8%。最近的下跌对加密货币交易者来说是一个打击,在上个月比特币从 52,000 美元上涨至 66,000 美元后,他们原本预计 10 月份会更加看涨。
As tensions escalate in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, U.S. stock indexes remained largely flat, reflecting investors’ unease. Gold prices saw a slight correction, while oil prices retreated from an intraday high of $72 to around $70, suggesting a possible easing of concerns about further military escalation.
随着中东紧张局势升级,特别是以色列和伊朗之间的紧张局势升级,美国股指基本持平,反映出投资者的不安。金价小幅回调,而油价则从盘中高点 72 美元回落至 70 美元左右,表明对军事进一步升级的担忧可能有所缓解。
According to analysts at QCP Capital, if the situation in the Middle East worsens, Bitcoin could experience further declines, potentially dropping to as low as $55,000. However, they noted that the $60,000 level has been providing strong support for the cryptocurrency so far.
QCP Capital分析师表示,如果中东局势恶化,比特币可能会进一步下跌,有可能跌至55,000美元。然而,他们指出,到目前为止,60,000 美元的水平一直为加密货币提供强有力的支撑。
“Middle East geopolitics will steal the limelight for now, but the shallow sell-off suggests that the market remains well bid for risk assets,” QCP analysts stated in a recent update. They added that this minor setback should not deter traders from considering the broader narrative unfolding as we head into 2025, with both the Federal Reserve and the People’s Bank of China beginning to cut interest rates.
QCP 分析师在最近的更新中表示:“中东地缘政治目前将成为众人瞩目的焦点,但抛售幅度较小表明市场对风险资产的竞价仍然不错。”他们补充说,随着美联储和中国人民银行开始降息,这一小小的挫折不应阻止交易员考虑进入 2025 年时发生的更广泛的情况。
A key technical aspect to watch is Bitcoin’s retest of its “Bull Market Support Band,” which is a trend indicator formed by the asset’s 20-week simple moving average (SMA) and a 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). This support band has historically provided a cushion during price pullbacks and currently ranges between $61,100 and $62,900.
值得关注的一个关键技术方面是比特币对其“牛市支撑带”的重新测试,该支撑带是由该资产的 20 周简单移动平均线 (SMA) 和 21 周指数移动平均线 (EMA) 形成的趋势指标。该支撑带历来在价格回调期间提供了缓冲,目前范围在 61,100 美元至 62,900 美元之间。
If Bitcoin manages to bounce off this support band, it could set the tone for the cryptocurrency’s near-term price trajectory. A recovery from this level might indicate a continuation of the uptrend that began from September’s lows, while a decisive break below could lead to a prolonged period of trading below the $60,000 mark.
如果比特币成功从该支撑带反弹,它可能会为加密货币的近期价格轨迹定下基调。从该水平恢复可能表明自 9 月低点开始的上升趋势将持续,而果断跌破该水平可能导致长期交易低于 60,000 美元大关。
Despite the current market challenges, there are signs of a potential recovery in Bitcoin demand, especially in anticipation of U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Blockchain analytics firm Crypto Quant has noted that if demand picks up and favorable seasonal trends materialize toward the year’s end, Bitcoin could aim for a price range of $85,000 to $100,000 in the last quarter.
尽管当前市场面临挑战,但比特币需求有潜在复苏的迹象,特别是在美国上市的现货交易所交易基金(ETF)的预期下。区块链分析公司 Crypto Quant 指出,如果需求回升并且年底前出现有利的季节性趋势,比特币上季度的价格范围可能会达到 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元。
“These levels align with the upper range of the on-chain trader realized price bands, where short-term traders often take profits following price rallies,” Crypto Quant analysts explained. This optimistic outlook assumes that the geopolitical situation stabilizes and that investor interest in Bitcoin is rekindled.
Crypto Quant 分析师解释说:“这些水平与链上交易者实现的价格区间的上限一致,短期交易者通常会在价格上涨后获利了结。”这种乐观的前景假设地缘政治局势稳定并且投资者对比特币的兴趣重新燃起。
Elsewhere in the cryptocurrency market, as Bitcoin faced difficulties, other digital assets also faced the brunt of the bearish trend. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple’s XRP, along with other altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Chainlink (LINK), experienced notable price drops.
在加密货币市场的其他地方,随着比特币面临困难,其他数字资产也面临着看跌趋势的冲击。以太坊 (ETH) 和 Ripple 的 XRP,以及 Cardano (ADA) 和 Chainlink (LINK) 等其他山寨币,价格均出现显着下跌。
This bearishness across the altcoin market highlights the correlation between Bitcoin’s performance and that of other cryptocurrencies, as many investors tend to follow Bitcoin's lead. The broader decline in the crypto market is concerning for traders who were hoping for a sustained rally as we move further into October.
山寨币市场的这种看跌凸显了比特币表现与其他加密货币表现之间的相关性,因为许多投资者倾向于追随比特币的脚步。加密货币市场的广泛下跌令交易者感到担忧,他们希望随着进入 10 月份的到来,加密货币市场将持续上涨。
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