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Quinn Thompson 表示,比特币自 9 月 30 日以来下跌 6% 应被视为投资者囤积更多 BTC 的机会。
Bitcoin’s 6% price drop since Sept. 30 is a buying opportunity for investors looking to accumulate more BTC, according to Quinn Thompson, the chief investment officer at Lekker Capital.
Lekker Capital 首席投资官 Quinn Thompson 表示,自 9 月 30 日以来,比特币价格下跌了 6%,对于希望积累更多 BTC 的投资者来说,这是一个买入机会。
In an Oct. 3 post on X, Thompson said buying Bitcoin ( BTC ) at its current price range of $61,000 is a “no-brainer,” especially considering the “macro backdrop” for the cryptocurrency’s price action, which has shifted dramatically compared to past price drops.
汤普森在 10 月 3 日的 X 帖子中表示,以当前 61,000 美元的价格范围购买比特币 (BTC) 是“理所当然的”,特别是考虑到加密货币价格走势的“宏观背景”,与之前相比,比特币价格走势已经发生了巨大变化。过去的价格下跌。
He attached a chart showing Bitcoin’s price action since March 5, when BTC hit a new all-time high of $73,700.
他附上了一张图表,显示了自 3 月 5 日以来比特币的价格走势,当时 BTC 创下了 73,700 美元的历史新高。
Thompson highlighted three previous “similar setups” where the price of Bitcoin dropped and fell well below its 200-day moving average — a key technical indicator used by traders to gauge the mid-term strength of an asset. However, this time, BTC bounced sharply off the technical level, which showed a “clear invalidation on the back of a 180-degree shift in the macro backdrop,” according to Thompson, suggesting that prices could be poised to move up.
汤普森强调了之前的三个“类似设置”,其中比特币价格下跌并远低于其 200 日移动平均线——交易者用来衡量资产中期实力的关键技术指标。然而,这一次,BTC 从技术水平大幅反弹,汤普森表示,这表明“宏观背景发生 180 度转变后明显失效”,这表明价格可能会上涨。
Earlier this week, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East hit markets, with risk assets like Bitcoin selling off sharply as Iran took military action against Israel.
本周早些时候,中东不断升级的地缘政治紧张局势冲击了市场,随着伊朗对以色列采取军事行动,比特币等风险资产大幅抛售。
Growing concerns over the strength of the U.S. economy and uncertainty around the outcome of the U.S. election in November have also weighed on risk assets.
对美国经济实力的日益担忧以及11月美国大选结果的不确定性也令风险资产承压。
Geopolitical tensions, US elections favor Bitcoin ‘debasement trade’: JPM
摩根大通:地缘政治紧张局势和美国大选有利于比特币“贬值交易”
Meanwhile, mentions of “Uptober” — a nickname given to October for its historically bullish crypto price action — have plummeted across social media as markets continue to pull back.
与此同时,随着市场继续回调,社交媒体上对“Uptober”(10 月份加密货币价格走势历来看涨的昵称)的提及率大幅下降。
Other analysts also noted the lack of recent optimism, presenting an opportunity for a short-term bounce, according to Thompson’s analysis.
根据汤普森的分析,其他分析师也指出,近期缺乏乐观情绪,这提供了短期反弹的机会。
“Uptober excitement wanes as the market dips, which does open the door for a rebound. Whether the bigger downtrend is over remains to be seen,” said Santiment founder Maksim Balashevich.
“随着市场下跌,上部的兴奋感减弱,这确实为反弹打开了大门。更大的下跌趋势是否结束还有待观察。”Santiment 创始人 Maksim Balashevich 表示。
While October has historically been a strong month for returns — averaging over 20% in the last 11 years — most of the gains come later in the month.
虽然 10 月份历来都是回报率强劲的月份(过去 11 年平均回报率超过 20%),但大部分收益都出现在当月晚些时候。
October and November are typically the best months for Bitcoin price performance. Source: CoinGlass
十月和十一月通常是比特币价格表现最好的月份。来源:CoinGlass
In the first half of October 2023, Bitcoin fell 7% to $26,650 but surged almost 30% in two weeks to close the month at $34,500, leading some traders to anticipate a sharp move up later this month.
2023 年 10 月上半月,比特币下跌 7%,至 26,650 美元,但两周内飙升近 30%,当月收于 34,500 美元,导致一些交易员预计本月晚些时候将大幅上涨。
Anti-aging tycoon Bryan Johnson almost devoted his life to crypto
抗衰老大亨布莱恩·约翰逊几乎将一生都奉献给了加密货币
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