根据 IntoTheBlock 的数据,从 NFT 的交易量来看,我们可以注意到自 7 月份以来出现了一些停滞。交易活动水平为
NFT trading volumes, according to IntoTheBlock, have seen a drastic fluctuating pattern towards the end of 2023. Further, into mid- and early 2024, trading volumes increased severally, especially in March. Since July, however, the market has shown a clear sign of flattening.
根据 IntoTheBlock 的数据,到 2023 年底,NFT 交易量出现了剧烈波动。此外,进入 2024 年中和年初,交易量出现了几次增长,尤其是在 3 月份。然而,自7月以来,市场已显示出明显的趋平迹象。
As the chart shows, while there are occasional fluctuations in the daily trading volume, the rate has remained somewhat constant in the recent quarter for the NFTs market. The total volume line is almost horizontal; it depicts active trading volumes in the $0-$20M range, far from their previous highs. This relative calm is a cause for concern regarding the general development of the NFT market.
如图所示,虽然 NFT 市场的每日交易量偶尔会出现波动,但最近一个季度的交易量保持一定程度的稳定。总成交量线几乎是水平的;它显示活跃交易量在 0-2000 万美元范围内,远低于之前的高点。这种相对平静的状态令人担忧 NFT 市场的整体发展。
This might be viewed in more ways than one. Firstly, it could be due to the cyclical market behavior characteristic of a developed industry, with phases of high volatility succeeded by phases of stability. In the first half of 2024, there was a lot of hype for NFTs because of innovation and new use cases, but now it no longer looks like that.
这可以通过多种方式来看待。首先,这可能是由于发达行业的周期性市场行为特征所致,先是高波动阶段,然后是稳定阶段。 2024 年上半年,由于创新和新用例,NFT 受到了很多炒作,但现在看起来不再像那样了。
On the other hand, such stability could also be because the market has attained a new level of institutional participation, which is characteristic of mature markets. This change might also point to the non-fungible token market becoming more sophisticated, with institutional participants and real money investors dominating it.
另一方面,这种稳定性也可能是因为市场的机构参与达到了新的水平,这是成熟市场的特征。这一变化也可能表明不可替代的代币市场变得更加复杂,机构参与者和真实货币投资者占据主导地位。
Lastly, the flattening trend might signify a more sustainable market in the future. There will be less speculative trading, and NFTs might be used beyond art and collectibles, such as in gaming, real estate, or DeFi. Whether this stagnation is temporary or a reversion to a new normal depends on the non-fungible token’s performance for the next few months.
最后,趋平趋势可能意味着未来市场将更加可持续。投机交易将会减少,NFT 可能会被用于艺术品和收藏品之外的领域,例如游戏、房地产或 DeFi。这种停滞是暂时的还是回归新常态取决于不可替代代币未来几个月的表现。