根據 IntoTheBlock 的數據,從 NFT 的交易量來看,我們可以注意到自 7 月以來出現了一些停滯。交易活動水平為
NFT trading volumes, according to IntoTheBlock, have seen a drastic fluctuating pattern towards the end of 2023. Further, into mid- and early 2024, trading volumes increased severally, especially in March. Since July, however, the market has shown a clear sign of flattening.
根據 IntoTheBlock 的數據,到 2023 年底,NFT 交易量出現了劇烈波動。然而,自7月以來,市場已顯示出明顯的趨平跡象。
As the chart shows, while there are occasional fluctuations in the daily trading volume, the rate has remained somewhat constant in the recent quarter for the NFTs market. The total volume line is almost horizontal; it depicts active trading volumes in the $0-$20M range, far from their previous highs. This relative calm is a cause for concern regarding the general development of the NFT market.
如圖所示,雖然 NFT 市場的每日交易量偶爾會出現波動,但最近一個季度的交易量保持一定程度的穩定。總成交量線幾乎是水平的;它顯示活躍交易量在 000-2000 萬美元範圍內,遠低於先前的高點。這種相對平靜的狀態令人擔憂 NFT 市場的整體發展。
This might be viewed in more ways than one. Firstly, it could be due to the cyclical market behavior characteristic of a developed industry, with phases of high volatility succeeded by phases of stability. In the first half of 2024, there was a lot of hype for NFTs because of innovation and new use cases, but now it no longer looks like that.
這可以透過多種方式來看待。首先,這可能是由於已開發產業的週期性市場行為特徵所致,先是高波動階段,然後是穩定階段。 2024 年上半年,由於創新和新用例,NFT 受到了許多炒作,但現在看起來不再像那樣了。
On the other hand, such stability could also be because the market has attained a new level of institutional participation, which is characteristic of mature markets. This change might also point to the non-fungible token market becoming more sophisticated, with institutional participants and real money investors dominating it.
另一方面,這種穩定性也可能是因為市場的機構參與達到了新的水平,這是成熟市場的特徵。這一變化也可能表明不可替代的代幣市場變得更加複雜,機構參與者和真實貨幣投資者佔據主導地位。
Lastly, the flattening trend might signify a more sustainable market in the future. There will be less speculative trading, and NFTs might be used beyond art and collectibles, such as in gaming, real estate, or DeFi. Whether this stagnation is temporary or a reversion to a new normal depends on the non-fungible token’s performance for the next few months.
最後,趨平趨勢可能意味著未來市場將更永續。投機交易將會減少,NFT 可能會被用於藝術品和收藏品以外的領域,例如遊戲、房地產或 DeFi。這種停滯是暫時的還是回歸新常態取決於不可替代代幣未來幾個月的表現。