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自 DAO 駭客攻擊以來,以太坊經典 [ETC] 一直保持著其原始的區塊鏈歷史,這與創建新版本網路的以太坊 [ETH] 不同。
Priced significantly lower than Ethereum at $18 at press time, a recent analysis showed that ETC’s short-term bubble risk had turned bearish, potentially indicating a continuation of the downtrend.
截至發稿時,ETC 的價格明顯低於以太坊 18 美元,最近的分析顯示,ETC 的短期泡沫風險已轉為看跌,可能表明下跌趨勢將持續。
This negative outlook was further supported by several indicators pointing towards a further decline, as ETC had been in a consistent downtrend since peaking at $186 in April 2021.
這種負面前景得到了一些表明進一步下跌的指標的進一步支持,因為 ETC 自 2021 年 4 月達到 186 美元的峰值以來一直處於持續下跌趨勢。
Moreover, ETC’s valuation against Bitcoin [BTC], the leading cryptocurrency, had also been declining, mirroring Ethereum’s performance and highlighting BTC’s dominance across the market.
此外,ETC 相對於主要加密貨幣比特幣的估值也在下降,反映了以太坊的表現並凸顯了 BTC 在市場上的主導地位。
While the crypto market generally tended to experience gains in the final quarter of the year, ETC’s weak valuation suggested it might not follow this pattern.
雖然加密貨幣市場通常會在今年最後一個季度出現上漲,但 ETC 的疲軟估值表明它可能不會遵循這種模式。
Historically, Bitcoin’s strength often influenced other cryptocurrencies, but ETC seemed vulnerable to continued decline despite the usual optimism in Q4.
從歷史上看,比特幣的強勢經常影響其他加密貨幣,但儘管第四季通常表現樂觀,但 ETC 似乎很容易持續下跌。
ETC was trading below all its simple moving average (SMA) at press time, including the 8-day SMA, which indicated a bearish trend.
截至發稿時,ETC 的交易價格低於其所有簡單移動平均線 (SMA),包括 8 日移動平均線,顯示看跌趨勢。
This downward movement highlighted increased risk for traders holding Ethereum Classic or considering entering the market for potential Q4 gains.
這種下行趨勢突顯了持有以太坊經典或考慮進入市場以獲得第四季度潛在收益的交易者的風險增加。
For Futures traders, shorting ETC might be a viable option, especially since trading below moving averages typically signaled a bearish trend direction.
對於期貨交易者來說,做空 ETC 可能是個可行的選擇,特別是因為低於移動平均線的交易通常預示著看跌趨勢方向。
However, a glimmer of hope remained for Ethereum Classic, as a technical analysis of the ETC/USDT pair showed a recent break above a descending trendline, which had been suppressing its price since May 2024.
然而,以太坊經典仍然存在一線希望,因為 ETC/USDT 貨幣對的技術分析顯示,最近突破了下降趨勢線,自 2024 年 5 月以來一直壓制其價格。
Trendline breaks often signaled potential market reversals, and ETC’s move above $18 suggested the possibility of a bottom forming. If the price held above this level, it could rally to $25, offering potential gains of more than 40%.
趨勢線突破通常預示著潛在的市場逆轉,而 ETC 突破 18 美元則表明底部形成的可能性。如果價格維持在這一水平之上,可能會上漲至 25 美元,潛在漲幅超過 40%。
On the flip side, if ETC failed to hold its current support and fell below the key $18 level, the decline may continue. A break below this critical level would likely lead to further price deterioration.
另一方面,如果 ETC 未能守住當前支撐位並跌破 18 美元關鍵水平,則跌勢可能會繼續。跌破這一關鍵水平可能會導致價格進一步惡化。
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