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自 DAO 黑客攻击以来,以太坊经典 [ETC] 一直保持着其原始的区块链历史,这与创建新版本网络的以太坊 [ETH] 不同。
Priced significantly lower than Ethereum at $18 at press time, a recent analysis showed that ETC’s short-term bubble risk had turned bearish, potentially indicating a continuation of the downtrend.
截至发稿时,ETC 的价格明显低于以太坊 18 美元,最近的分析显示,ETC 的短期泡沫风险已转为看跌,可能表明下跌趋势将持续。
This negative outlook was further supported by several indicators pointing towards a further decline, as ETC had been in a consistent downtrend since peaking at $186 in April 2021.
这种负面前景得到了一些表明进一步下跌的指标的进一步支持,因为 ETC 自 2021 年 4 月达到 186 美元的峰值以来一直处于持续下跌趋势。
Moreover, ETC’s valuation against Bitcoin [BTC], the leading cryptocurrency, had also been declining, mirroring Ethereum’s performance and highlighting BTC’s dominance across the market.
此外,ETC 相对于主要加密货币比特币的估值也在下降,反映了以太坊的表现并凸显了 BTC 在市场上的主导地位。
While the crypto market generally tended to experience gains in the final quarter of the year, ETC’s weak valuation suggested it might not follow this pattern.
虽然加密货币市场通常会在今年最后一个季度出现上涨,但 ETC 的疲软估值表明它可能不会遵循这种模式。
Historically, Bitcoin’s strength often influenced other cryptocurrencies, but ETC seemed vulnerable to continued decline despite the usual optimism in Q4.
从历史上看,比特币的强势经常影响其他加密货币,但尽管第四季度通常表现乐观,但 ETC 似乎很容易持续下跌。
ETC was trading below all its simple moving average (SMA) at press time, including the 8-day SMA, which indicated a bearish trend.
截至发稿时,ETC 的交易价格低于其所有简单移动平均线 (SMA),包括 8 日移动平均线,表明看跌趋势。
This downward movement highlighted increased risk for traders holding Ethereum Classic or considering entering the market for potential Q4 gains.
这种下行趋势突显了持有以太坊经典或考虑进入市场以获得第四季度潜在收益的交易者的风险增加。
For Futures traders, shorting ETC might be a viable option, especially since trading below moving averages typically signaled a bearish trend direction.
对于期货交易者来说,做空 ETC 可能是一个可行的选择,特别是因为低于移动平均线的交易通常预示着看跌趋势方向。
However, a glimmer of hope remained for Ethereum Classic, as a technical analysis of the ETC/USDT pair showed a recent break above a descending trendline, which had been suppressing its price since May 2024.
然而,以太坊经典仍然存在一线希望,因为 ETC/USDT 货币对的技术分析显示,最近突破了下降趋势线,该趋势线自 2024 年 5 月以来一直压制其价格。
Trendline breaks often signaled potential market reversals, and ETC’s move above $18 suggested the possibility of a bottom forming. If the price held above this level, it could rally to $25, offering potential gains of more than 40%.
趋势线突破通常预示着潜在的市场逆转,而 ETC 突破 18 美元则表明底部形成的可能性。如果价格保持在这一水平之上,可能会上涨至 25 美元,潜在涨幅超过 40%。
On the flip side, if ETC failed to hold its current support and fell below the key $18 level, the decline may continue. A break below this critical level would likely lead to further price deterioration.
另一方面,如果 ETC 未能守住当前支撑位并跌破 18 美元关键水平,跌势可能会继续。跌破这一关键水平可能会导致价格进一步恶化。
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