NFT 2024 年下跌：今年市场发展的硬道理

对 2024 年 NFT Drops 市场的分析揭示了一些残酷的事实：98％ 的人“死了”，只有 0.2％ 的人将利润返还给投资者。这些数据和其他数据描述了不可替代代币行业的年度表现。

An analysis of the NFT Drops 2024 market has revealed some harsh truths: 98% are “dead” and only 0.2% have returned profits to investors.

对 2024 年 NFT Drops 市场的分析揭示了一些残酷的事实：98％ 的人“死了”，只有 0.2％ 的人将利润返还给投资者。

These and other data describe the annual performance of the Non-Fungible Token sector.

这些数据和其他数据描述了不可替代代币行业的年度表现。

NFT drops 2024: the hard truths about market development for this current year

2024 年 NFT 下跌：今年市场发展的残酷事实

According to the report by NFTEvening “State of 2024 NFT drops”, the Non-Fungible Token market must face some harsh truths.

根据 NFTevening 的报告《2024 年 NFT 下跌状况》，不可替代代币市场必须面对一些残酷的事实。

Created in collaboration with the agency Storible, the report analyzed the performance of 29,079 NFT drops of 2024, basing on data from Dune Analytics and OpenSea and using the period January-August of this year.

该报告是与 Storible 机构合作创建的，基于 Dune Analytics 和 OpenSea 的数据并使用今年 1 月至 8 月期间，分析了 2024 年 29,079 个 NFT 掉落的表现。

“The #NFT market in 2024: boom in collections, lower participation, falling prices. We analyzed 29,079 new #NFTdrops to find out what is really happening”

“2024 年的#NFT 市场：藏品繁荣、参与度下降、价格下跌。我们分析了 29,079 个新的 #NFTdrops，以了解到底发生了什么”

What has emerged is that 98% of the NFT drops 2024 are dead and only 0.2% return profits to investors.

目前的情况是，2024 年 98% 的 NFT 都已经死亡，只有 0.2% 的回报给投资者。

Other key information states that 64% of the 2024 NFT drops have less than 10 mints. Also in terms of trades, it seems that 98% of this year’s NFT drops record less than 10 trades in the first week.

其他关键信息表明，2024 年发行的 NFT 中有 64% 的发行量少于 10 个。同样从交易数量来看，今年 98% 的 NFT 首周交易数量创纪录地低于 10 笔。

The price tends to decrease by at least 50% within the first three days for 98% of the 2024 NFT drops, while for 84% the all-time high price (or ATH) is equal to the mint price.

2024 年 NFT 下跌的 98% 中，价格往往在前三天内下跌至少 50%，而 84% 的历史最高价格（或 ATH）等于铸币价格。

NFT drops 2024: the analysis of this year’s market beyond the numbers

NFT 2024 年下跌：数字之外的今年市场分析

The numbers recorded in the report are alarming for the development of the NFT market. Specifically, it seems that this market is trying to maintain the momentum it previously had with an explosion of new collections, but there is low participation and strong price drops

报告中记录的数字对于 NFT 市场的发展来说令人震惊。具体来说，这个市场似乎正试图维持之前新系列爆炸式增长的势头，但参与度较低且价格大幅下跌

In fact, considering that from January to August 2024 an average of 3,635 NFT collections have been created per month, there is still strong involvement from the creators and their projects.

事实上，考虑到从 2024 年 1 月到 8 月，平均每月创建了 3,635 个 NFT 系列，创作者及其项目的参与度仍然很高。

Unfortunately, however, the report defines this enormous number of collections as an indicator of an oversaturated market. The supply of NFT collections has grown well beyond demand.

然而不幸的是，该报告将如此庞大的收藏数量定义为市场过度饱和的指标。 NFT 系列的供应量已远远超出需求。

As a matter of fact, it is easy to reach the conclusion of the failure of many projects even within the same year, thus justifying the figure of 98% of NFT drops 2024 that do not survive.

事实上，即使在同一年内，也很容易得出许多项目失败的结论，从而证明了 2024 年 98% 的 NFT 项目无法生存的数字。

On the contrary, observing everything from the demand side, it is alarming that only 0.2% of all NFT drops 2024 have generated profits for investors.

相反，从需求端观察一切，令人震惊的是，2024 年所有 NFT 掉落中只有 0.2% 为投资者带来了利润。

Not only that, among the NFTs still actively traded (NFT “alive”), only 11.9% have proven to be profitable.

不仅如此，在仍然活跃交易的 NFT 中（NFT“活着”），只有 11.9% 被证明是盈利的。

This means that NFT investors must become increasingly selective and cautious, in order to succeed in the mission of purchasing those NFTs capable of increasing their value.

这意味着 NFT 投资者必须变得越来越挑剔和谨慎，才能成功完成购买那些能够增值的 NFT 的使命。

Some record sales

部分销量创纪录

While discussing new NFT drops of this current year, it is important to highlight that in the market there are what are known as record sales.

在讨论今年新推出的 NFT 时，需要强调的是，市场上存在所谓的创纪录销售。

In fact, last October, a famous CryptoPunk, number #1563, was sold for 24,000 ETH, the equivalent at that time of 56.3 million dollars.

事实上，去年 10 月，著名的 CryptoPunk（编号#1563）以 24,000 ETH 的价格售出，相当于当时的 5630 万美元。

That week was truly special because it also recorded other important NFT sales that boosted the weekly volumes, nearing 85 million dollars. It refers to the week between September 30 and October 6.

那一周确实很特别，因为它还记录了其他重要的 NFT 销售，这些销售增加了每周的交易量，接近 8500 万美元。它指的是9月30日至10月6日之间的一周。

Even at the beginning of September 2024, there was another record NFT sale, with CryptoPunk #6915 sold for 620 ETH, equivalent at that time to 1.48 million dollars

甚至在 2024 年 9 月初，NFT 销售又创下了纪录，CryptoPunk #6915 以 620 ETH 的价格售出，相当于当时的 148 万美元