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對 2024 年 NFT Drops 市場的分析揭示了一些殘酷的事實:98% 的人“死了”,只有 0.2% 的人將利潤返還給投資者。這些數據和其他數據描述了不可取代代幣行業的年度表現。
An analysis of the NFT Drops 2024 market has revealed some harsh truths: 98% are “dead” and only 0.2% have returned profits to investors.
對 2024 年 NFT Drops 市場的分析揭示了一些殘酷的事實:98% 的人“死了”,只有 0.2% 的人將利潤返還給投資者。
These and other data describe the annual performance of the Non-Fungible Token sector.
這些數據和其他數據描述了不可取代代幣行業的年度表現。
NFT drops 2024: the hard truths about market development for this current year
2024 年 NFT 下跌:今年市場發展的殘酷事實
According to the report by NFTEvening “State of 2024 NFT drops”, the Non-Fungible Token market must face some harsh truths.
根據 NFTevening 的報告《2024 年 NFT 下跌狀況》,不可取代代幣市場必須面對一些殘酷的事實。
Created in collaboration with the agency Storible, the report analyzed the performance of 29,079 NFT drops of 2024, basing on data from Dune Analytics and OpenSea and using the period January-August of this year.
該報告是與 Storible 機構合作創建的,基於 Dune Analytics 和 OpenSea 的數據並使用今年 1 月至 8 月期間,分析了 2024 年 29,079 個 NFT 掉落的表現。
“The #NFT market in 2024: boom in collections, lower participation, falling prices. We analyzed 29,079 new #NFTdrops to find out what is really happening”
「2024 年的#NFT 市場:收藏品繁榮、參與度下降、價格下跌。我們分析了 29,079 個新的 #NFTdrops,以了解到底發生了什麼”
What has emerged is that 98% of the NFT drops 2024 are dead and only 0.2% return profits to investors.
目前的情況是,2024 年 98% 的 NFT 都已經死亡,只有 0.2% 的回報給投資者。
Other key information states that 64% of the 2024 NFT drops have less than 10 mints. Also in terms of trades, it seems that 98% of this year’s NFT drops record less than 10 trades in the first week.
其他關鍵資訊表明,2024 年發行的 NFT 中有 64% 的發行量少於 10 個。同樣從交易數量來看,今年 98% 的 NFT 首周交易數量創紀錄地低於 10 筆。
The price tends to decrease by at least 50% within the first three days for 98% of the 2024 NFT drops, while for 84% the all-time high price (or ATH) is equal to the mint price.
2024 年 NFT 下跌的 98% 中,價格往往在前三天內下跌至少 50%,而 84% 的歷史最高價格(或 ATH)等於鑄幣價格。
NFT drops 2024: the analysis of this year’s market beyond the numbers
NFT 2024 年下跌:數字之外的今年市場分析
The numbers recorded in the report are alarming for the development of the NFT market. Specifically, it seems that this market is trying to maintain the momentum it previously had with an explosion of new collections, but there is low participation and strong price drops
報告中記錄的數字對於 NFT 市場的發展令人震驚。具體來說,這個市場似乎正試圖維持先前新系列爆炸式增長的勢頭,但參與度較低且價格大幅下跌
In fact, considering that from January to August 2024 an average of 3,635 NFT collections have been created per month, there is still strong involvement from the creators and their projects.
事實上,考慮到從 2024 年 1 月到 8 月,平均每月創建了 3,635 個 NFT 系列,創作者及其項目的參與度仍然很高。
Unfortunately, however, the report defines this enormous number of collections as an indicator of an oversaturated market. The supply of NFT collections has grown well beyond demand.
然而不幸的是,該報告將如此龐大的收藏數量定義為市場過度飽和的指標。 NFT 系列的供應量已遠遠超出需求。
As a matter of fact, it is easy to reach the conclusion of the failure of many projects even within the same year, thus justifying the figure of 98% of NFT drops 2024 that do not survive.
事實上,即使在同一年內,也很容易得出許多專案失敗的結論,證明了 2024 年 98% 的 NFT 專案無法生存的數字。
On the contrary, observing everything from the demand side, it is alarming that only 0.2% of all NFT drops 2024 have generated profits for investors.
相反,從需求端觀察一切,令人震驚的是,2024 年所有 NFT 掉落中只有 0.2% 為投資者帶來了利潤。
Not only that, among the NFTs still actively traded (NFT “alive”), only 11.9% have proven to be profitable.
不僅如此,在仍然活躍交易的 NFT 中(NFT「活著」),只有 11.9% 被證明是盈利的。
This means that NFT investors must become increasingly selective and cautious, in order to succeed in the mission of purchasing those NFTs capable of increasing their value.
這意味著 NFT 投資者必須變得越來越挑剔和謹慎,才能成功完成購買那些能夠增值的 NFT 的使命。
Some record sales
部分銷售創紀錄
While discussing new NFT drops of this current year, it is important to highlight that in the market there are what are known as record sales.
在討論今年新推出的 NFT 時,需要強調的是,市場上有所謂的創紀錄銷售。
In fact, last October, a famous CryptoPunk, number #1563, was sold for 24,000 ETH, the equivalent at that time of 56.3 million dollars.
事實上,去年 10 月,著名的 CryptoPunk(編號#1563)以 24,000 ETH 的價格售出,相當於當時的 5,630 萬美元。
That week was truly special because it also recorded other important NFT sales that boosted the weekly volumes, nearing 85 million dollars. It refers to the week between September 30 and October 6.
那一周確實很特別,因為它還記錄了其他重要的 NFT 銷售,這些銷售增加了每週的交易量,接近 8500 萬美元。它指的是9月30日至10月6日之間的一週。
Even at the beginning of September 2024, there was another record NFT sale, with CryptoPunk #6915 sold for 620 ETH, equivalent at that time to 1.48 million dollars
甚至在 2024 年 9 月初,NFT 銷售又創下了紀錄,CryptoPunk #6915 以 620 ETH 的價格售出,相當於當時的 148 萬美元
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