实时更新：加密货币和 2024 年美国大选

有关总统和国会竞选以及他们如何制定加密立法和监管的最新报道。

The U.S. crypto industry is waiting with bated breath for the results of the 2024 election.

美国加密行业正在屏息等待 2024 年大选的结果。

Nearly $200 million from crypto-aligned political action committees has gone into supporting favored candidates, but some of the biggest races remain too close to guess who may win.

来自加密货币联盟政治行动委员会的近 2 亿美元已用于支持受青睐的候选人，但一些最大的竞选仍然过于接近，无法猜测谁会获胜。

CoinDesk will cover the election results live over the coming day (or days, depending on how things go), with market commentary and up-to-the-minute alerts on major races we're following – and how they may affect the crypto industry's chances for legislation, regulatory updates and more across the coming months. The biggest race is obviously the U.S. presidential election, with Kamala Harris facing off against Donald Trump.

CoinDesk 将在未来一天（或几天，取决于事态发展）直播选举结果，并提供市场评论和我们关注的主要竞选的最新警报，以及它们可能如何影响加密货币行业未来几个月立法、监管更新等的机会。最重要的竞选显然是美国总统选举，卡马拉·哈里斯将与唐纳德·特朗普对决。

Polls begin closing on the east coast at 7:00 p.m. EST, but due to the tight nature of some of the races we're following, we may not learn results immediately. Significant lawmakers running for reelection include Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat who runs the Senate Banking Committee, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Tester and Debra Fischer.

东海岸的投票将于美国东部时间晚上 7:00 开始结束，但由于我们正在关注的一些比赛的紧张性，我们可能无法立即得知结果。竞选连任的重要议员包括参议院银行委员会主席、俄亥俄州民主党人谢罗德·布朗、伊丽莎白·沃伦、乔恩·泰斯特和黛布拉·费舍尔。

The electoral map favors Republicans regaining the majority in the Senate. Similarly, Democrats are expected to regain the majority in the House of Representatives.

选举地图有利于共和党重新获得参议院多数席位。同样，民主党有望重新获得众议院多数席位。

In the House, there's an open question as to who will succeed retiring Congressman Patrick McHenry, who chairs the powerful House Financial Services Committee. A handful of Republican lawmakers are running to lead their party on the committee.

在众议院，谁将接替退休国会议员帕特里克·麦克亨利 (Patrick McHenry) 是一个悬而未决的问题，他是权力很大的众议院金融服务委员会的主席。一些共和党议员正在竞选该委员会的党魁。

Crypto political action committees, including the Fairshake super PAC and its affiliated entities, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress, have supported dozens of candidates across the House and Senate.

加密货币政治行动委员会，包括 Fairshake 超级政治行动委员会及其附属实体、捍卫美国就业和保护进步，已经支持了众议院和参议院的数十名候选人。

We'll also be keeping an eye on the prediction markets, especially crypto-based betting site Polymarket. For the last few months, these markets have mostly favored Trump winning, although Polymarket has given him higher odds than U.S.-regulated exchange Kalshi and other platforms.

我们还将密切关注预测市场，尤其是基于加密货币的博彩网站 Polymarket。在过去的几个月里，这些市场大多支持特朗普获胜，尽管 Polymarket 给他的赔率比美国监管的交易所 Kalshi 和其他平台更高。

Right now, Trump is ahead by 23.4 points at 61.7% on Polymarket. An aggregate of eight prediction markets (plus Nate Silver's forecast) built by trader Flip Pidot of American Civics Exchange gives Trump a more modest the lead with 16 points at 58.1%

目前，特朗普在 Polymarket 上以 61.7% 的支持率领先 23.4 个百分点。美国公民交易所 (American Civics Exchange) 交易员 Flip Pidot 建立的总共 8 个预测市场（加上内特·西尔弗 (Nate Silver) 的预测）让特朗普以 16 个百分点的领先优势（58.1%），幅度较小。