即時更新：加密貨幣與 2024 年美國大選

有關總統和國會競選以及他們如何制定加密立法和監管的最新報告。

The U.S. crypto industry is waiting with bated breath for the results of the 2024 election.

美國加密產業正在屏息等待 2024 年大選的結果。

Nearly $200 million from crypto-aligned political action committees has gone into supporting favored candidates, but some of the biggest races remain too close to guess who may win.

來自加密貨幣聯盟政治行動委員會的近 2 億美元已用於支持受青睞的候選人，但一些最大的競選活動仍然太接近，無法猜測誰會獲勝。

CoinDesk will cover the election results live over the coming day (or days, depending on how things go), with market commentary and up-to-the-minute alerts on major races we're following – and how they may affect the crypto industry's chances for legislation, regulatory updates and more across the coming months. The biggest race is obviously the U.S. presidential election, with Kamala Harris facing off against Donald Trump.

CoinDesk 將在未來一天（或幾天，取決於事態發展）直播選舉結果，並提供市場評論和我們關注的主要競選的最新警報，以及它們可能如何影響加密貨幣行業未來幾個月立法、監管更新等的機會。最重要的競選顯然是美國總統選舉，卡馬拉·哈里斯將與唐納德·川普對決。

Polls begin closing on the east coast at 7:00 p.m. EST, but due to the tight nature of some of the races we're following, we may not learn results immediately. Significant lawmakers running for reelection include Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat who runs the Senate Banking Committee, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Tester and Debra Fischer.

東海岸的投票將於美國東部時間晚上 7 點開始結束，但由於我們正在關注的一些比賽的緊張性，我們可能無法立即得知結果。競選連任的重要議員包括參議院銀行委員會主席、俄亥俄州民主黨人謝羅德·布朗、伊麗莎白·沃倫、喬恩·泰斯特和黛布拉·費雪。

The electoral map favors Republicans regaining the majority in the Senate. Similarly, Democrats are expected to regain the majority in the House of Representatives.

選舉地圖有利於共和黨重新獲得參議院多數。同樣，民主黨有望重新獲得眾議院多數。

In the House, there's an open question as to who will succeed retiring Congressman Patrick McHenry, who chairs the powerful House Financial Services Committee. A handful of Republican lawmakers are running to lead their party on the committee.

在眾議院，誰將接替退休國會議員帕特里克·麥克亨利 (Patrick McHenry) 是一個懸而未決的問題，他是一個權力很大的眾議院金融服務委員會的主席。一些共和黨議員正在競選該委員會的黨魁。

Crypto political action committees, including the Fairshake super PAC and its affiliated entities, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress, have supported dozens of candidates across the House and Senate.

加密貨幣政治行動委員會，包括 Fairshake 超級政治行動委員會及其附屬實體、捍衛美國就業和保護進步，已經支持了眾議院和參議院的數十名候選人。

We'll also be keeping an eye on the prediction markets, especially crypto-based betting site Polymarket. For the last few months, these markets have mostly favored Trump winning, although Polymarket has given him higher odds than U.S.-regulated exchange Kalshi and other platforms.

我們也將密切關注預測市場，尤其是基於加密貨幣的博彩網站 Polymarket。在過去的幾個月裡，這些市場大多支持川普獲勝，儘管 Polymarket 給他的賠率比美國監管的交易所 Kalshi 和其他平台更高。

Right now, Trump is ahead by 23.4 points at 61.7% on Polymarket. An aggregate of eight prediction markets (plus Nate Silver's forecast) built by trader Flip Pidot of American Civics Exchange gives Trump a more modest the lead with 16 points at 58.1%

目前，川普在 Polymarket 上的支持率領先 23.4 個百分點，達到 61.7%。美國公民交易所(American Civics Exchange) 交易員Flip Pidot 建立的總共8 個預測市場（加上內特·西爾弗(Nate Silver) 的預測）讓川普以16 個百分點的領先優勢（58.1% ），幅度較小。