Kaspa对Solana是真正的威胁吗？ KAS价格预测

目前，卡巴（Kas）（KAS）正在加密爱好者中引起严重的嗡嗡声。它过去的价格波动和强大的技术引起了很多关注。

Kaspa (KAS) has been a hot topic in the crypto sphere recently, with its technology and past price swings generating significant interest. As Solana’s impressive journey to success continues to be discussed, could Kaspa follow a similar path, and is a $10 price target for KAS realistic during this bull run?

Kaspa（KAS）最近一直是加密球体的热门话题，其技术和过去的价格波动引起了巨大的兴趣。随着索拉纳（Solana）令人印象深刻的成功之旅继续讨论，卡巴（Kaspa）是否可以遵循类似的道路，并且在这次公牛奔跑期间，卡斯（Kas）现实的目标价值为10美元？

One popular cryptocurrency analyst with over 49,000 YouTube subscribers, Lee the Captain, believes Kaspa has the potential to become “the next Solana.”

一位受欢迎的加密货币分析师拥有49,000多名YouTube订户，船长Lee认为Kaspa有可能成为“下一个Solana”。

In his analysis, he breaks down what makes this cryptocurrency different and why it might experience a substantial rise in value during the current market cycle. The following paragraphs highlight the analyst’s thoughts.

在他的分析中，他分解了使这种加密货币与众不同的原因，以及为什么在当前市场周期期间可能会经历大幅上升的价值。以下段落突出了分析师的想法。

To understand why Kaspa might be special, we need to look at what helped Solana rise to prominence.

要了解为什么Kaspa可能很特别，我们需要研究有助于Solana崛起的原因。

When Ethereum became mainstream, many sought alternatives that could fix its problems. Enter Solana, a layer-1 blockchain known for its blazing speed and excellent scalability—two areas where Ethereum struggled unless you added layer-2 solutions.

当以太坊成为主流时，许多人寻求可以解决其问题的替代方案。输入SOLANA，这是一种以其高速速度和出色的可扩展性而闻名的1层区块链，除非您添加了第2层解决方案，否则以太坊挣扎的区域都在努力。

A significant part of Solana’s appeal was its minimal gas fees. Anyone using Ethereum during busy periods has encountered the pain of astronomical transaction costs, but Solana offered a refreshing alternative that many saw as potentially better, not just different. This attracted a strong community, which helped Solana perform well historically, even when the broader crypto market struggled.

Solana上诉的很大一部分是其最少的汽油费。在繁忙时期使用以太坊的任何人都遇到了天文交易成本的痛苦，但是Solana提供了一种令人耳目一新的选择，许多人认为这可能更好，而不仅仅是不同。这吸引了一个强大的社区，即使更广泛的加密货币市场挣扎，这也帮助索拉纳（Solana）表现出色。

Has Solana completely replaced Ethereum? No, not even close in terms of adoption. But its technical advantages, low fees, and growing ecosystem of quality projects made it a serious contender.

Solana是否完全取代了以太坊？不，甚至没有收养。但是它的技术优势，低费用和不断增长的优质项目生态系统使其成为一个严肃的竞争者。

This gives us a template for understanding how Kaspa might carve out its own space. Kaspa represents something genuinely different in the blockchain world. Unlike both Ethereum and Solana, Kaspa uses a blockDAG architecture, which allows parallel blocks and instant transaction confirmation.

这为我们提供了一个模板，以了解Kaspa如何塑造自己的空间。 Kaspa代表了区块链世界中真正不同的东西。与以太坊和Solana不同，Kaspa都使用阻滞架构，该结构允许并行块和即时交易确认。

This alone makes it interesting, but there’s more to the story. Kaspa uses proof-of-work consensus, while many newer cryptocurrencies use proof-of-stake. You might think of this as a step back since Bitcoin also uses proof-of-work and is often criticized for being slow.

仅此一项就使它变得有趣，但故事还有更多。 Kaspa使用工作证明共识，而许多新的加密货币都使用了证明。您可能会认为这是退后一步，因为比特币还使用了工作证明，并且经常因慢速而受到批评。

However, Kaspa is reportedly about 600 times faster than Bitcoin while still retaining the security benefits that come with proof-of-work.

但是，据报道，卡巴的速度比比特币快600倍，同时仍保留工作证明带来的安全福利。

Imagine getting the best of both worlds—the proven security and reliability that proof-of-work systems like Bitcoin offer, combined with speeds that rival modern proof-of-stake networks. This unique combination helps Kaspa stand out in a market where truly innovative approaches are rare.

想象一下，获得两全其美的最佳状态，这是比特币提供的工作证明系统的可靠安全性和可靠性，再加上与现代列车证明网络相媲美的速度。这种独特的组合有助于卡巴在一个真正创新的方法很少见的市场中脱颖而出。

Despite its promising technology, Kaspa faces real-world adoption challenges. Right now, the tokens built on Kaspa (called KRC-20 tokens) are mostly associated with copycats of popular meme coins or gambling dapps.

尽管具有很有希望的技术，但卡巴仍面临现实世界中的采用挑战。目前，建立在Kaspa（称为KRC-20代币）的代币主要与流行的Meme硬币或赌博Dapps的模仿者有关。

It’s difficult to say definitively whether Kaspa will move beyond this current state without a proven track record. But considering its fundamental technological advantages—especially being a blockDAG that dramatically outpaces Bitcoin—there’s reason to believe wider adoption could happen.

很难确定地说，卡巴是否会超越当前状态，而没有可靠的记录。但是，考虑到其基本的技术优势，尤其是成为一个大大超过比特币的阻滞剂，因此相信可能会发生更广泛的采用。

We should also be realistic about timing. Mass adoption of any blockchain technology takes years, not weeks or months. Kaspa won’t surpass Solana or Ethereum anytime soon.

我们还应该对时间安排现实。大量采用任何区块链技术需要数年，而不是数周或数月。 Kaspa很快就不会超越Solana或以太坊。

But remember what happened with Solana—the anticipation of future adoption drove prices up long before the ecosystem fully developed, which could also happen with Kaspa.

但是请记住，Solana发生了什么事 - 对未来采用的期望在生态系统完全开发之前就推动了价格上涨，这也可能与Kaspa发生。

A $10 price for Kaspa would be around 130x from current levels, which might sound extreme. However, at the current circulating supply, it would create a market capitalization of about $260 billion.

Kaspa的价格为10美元的价格约为当前水平的130倍，这听起来可能极高。但是，在目前的循环供应中，它将创造约2600亿美元的市值。

For perspective, that’s still less than Ethereum’s all-time high market cap from 2021, and the crypto market has grown substantially since then. During the 2021 bull run peak, there were about 300 million crypto owners globally, but today, that number has doubled to over 600 million according to research from Crypto.com, expanding the potential buyer base for emerging projects like Kaspa.

从角度来看，这仍然比以太坊从2021年开始有史以来高的市值，从那以后，加密货币市场的发展幅度很大。根据Crypto.com的研究，在2021年的公牛峰值上，全球约有3亿个加密货币所有者，但如今，这个数字已翻了一番，达到了6亿多人，扩大了Kaspa等新兴项目的潜在买家基础。

Even more modest targets look impressive—reaching $1 would be a 10x return, while $5 would mean a 60x increase.

更适度的目标看起来令人印象深刻 - 赚1美元将是10倍的回报，而5美元则意味着增加60倍。

Looking at historical patterns, altcoins typically peak around 18 months after a Bitcoin halving event. With the most recent halving in April 2024, this would suggest a potential peak around October 2025.

从历史模式来看，比特币减半后约18个月大约达到顶峰。随着2024年4月的最新减半，这将表明2025年10月左右的高峰。

For investors interested in Kaspa, patience might be the wisest approach. Rather than trying to time the market through day trading, consistently accumulating during this development phase could pay off if the project delivers on its technological promise.

对于对Kaspa感兴趣的投资者来说，耐心可能是最明智的方法。如果在该项目实现其技术承诺的情况下，在此开发阶段，在此开发阶段持续积累的不断积累，而不是试图通过一日交易进行计时。

Will Kaspa actually hit $10 during this market cycle? Nobody knows for sure, but its novel approach to solving blockchain challenges makes it worth watching closely.

在这个市场周期中，卡巴实际上会达到10美元吗？没人知道，但是它解决区块链挑战的新颖方法使其值得关注。