Kaspa對Solana是真正的威脅嗎？ KAS價格預測

目前，卡巴（Kas）（KAS）正在加密愛好者中引起嚴重的嗡嗡聲。它過去的價格波動和強大的技術引起了很多關注。

Kaspa (KAS) has been a hot topic in the crypto sphere recently, with its technology and past price swings generating significant interest. As Solana’s impressive journey to success continues to be discussed, could Kaspa follow a similar path, and is a $10 price target for KAS realistic during this bull run?

卡巴（KAS）（KAS）最近是加密球體的熱門話題，其技術和過去的價格波動引起了巨大的興趣。隨著索拉納（Solana）令人印象深刻的成功之旅繼續討論，卡巴（Kaspa）是否可以遵循類似的道路，並且在這次公牛奔跑期間，卡斯（Kas）現實的目標價值為10美元？

One popular cryptocurrency analyst with over 49,000 YouTube subscribers, Lee the Captain, believes Kaspa has the potential to become “the next Solana.”

一位受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師擁有49,000多名YouTube訂戶，船長Lee認為Kaspa有可能成為“下一個Solana”。

In his analysis, he breaks down what makes this cryptocurrency different and why it might experience a substantial rise in value during the current market cycle. The following paragraphs highlight the analyst’s thoughts.

在他的分析中，他分解了使這種加密貨幣與眾不同的原因，以及為什麼在當前市場週期期間可能會經歷大幅上升的價值。以下段落突出了分析師的想法。

To understand why Kaspa might be special, we need to look at what helped Solana rise to prominence.

要了解為什麼Kaspa可能很特別，我們需要研究有助於Solana崛起的原因。

When Ethereum became mainstream, many sought alternatives that could fix its problems. Enter Solana, a layer-1 blockchain known for its blazing speed and excellent scalability—two areas where Ethereum struggled unless you added layer-2 solutions.

當以太坊成為主流時，許多人尋求可以解決其問題的替代方案。輸入SOLANA，這是一種以其高速速度和出色的可擴展性而聞名的1層區塊鏈，除非您添加了第2層解決方案，否則以太坊掙扎的區域都在努力。

A significant part of Solana’s appeal was its minimal gas fees. Anyone using Ethereum during busy periods has encountered the pain of astronomical transaction costs, but Solana offered a refreshing alternative that many saw as potentially better, not just different. This attracted a strong community, which helped Solana perform well historically, even when the broader crypto market struggled.

Solana上訴的很大一部分是其最少的汽油費。在繁忙時期使用以太坊的任何人都遇到了天文交易成本的痛苦，但是Solana提供了一種令人耳目一新的選擇，許多人認為這可能更好，而不僅僅是不同。這吸引了一個強大的社區，即使更廣泛的加密貨幣市場掙扎，這也幫助索拉納（Solana）表現出色。

Has Solana completely replaced Ethereum? No, not even close in terms of adoption. But its technical advantages, low fees, and growing ecosystem of quality projects made it a serious contender.

Solana是否完全取代了以太坊？不，甚至沒有收養。但是它的技術優勢，低費用和不斷增長的優質項目生態系統使其成為一個嚴肅的競爭者。

This gives us a template for understanding how Kaspa might carve out its own space. Kaspa represents something genuinely different in the blockchain world. Unlike both Ethereum and Solana, Kaspa uses a blockDAG architecture, which allows parallel blocks and instant transaction confirmation.

這為我們提供了一個模板，以了解Kaspa如何塑造自己的空間。 Kaspa代表了區塊鏈世界中真正不同的東西。與以太坊和Solana不同，Kaspa都使用阻滯架構，該結構允許並行塊和即時交易確認。

This alone makes it interesting, but there’s more to the story. Kaspa uses proof-of-work consensus, while many newer cryptocurrencies use proof-of-stake. You might think of this as a step back since Bitcoin also uses proof-of-work and is often criticized for being slow.

僅此一項就使它變得有趣，但故事還有更多。 Kaspa使用工作證明共識，而許多新的加密貨幣都使用了證明。您可能會認為這是退後一步，因為比特幣還使用了工作證明，並且經常因慢速而受到批評。

However, Kaspa is reportedly about 600 times faster than Bitcoin while still retaining the security benefits that come with proof-of-work.

但是，據報導，卡巴的速度比比特幣快600倍，同時仍保留工作證明帶來的安全福利。

Imagine getting the best of both worlds—the proven security and reliability that proof-of-work systems like Bitcoin offer, combined with speeds that rival modern proof-of-stake networks. This unique combination helps Kaspa stand out in a market where truly innovative approaches are rare.

想像一下，獲得兩全其美的最佳狀態，這是比特幣提供的工作證明系統的可靠安全性和可靠性，再加上與現代列車證明網絡相媲美的速度。這種獨特的組合有助於卡巴在一個真正創新的方法很少見的市場中脫穎而出。

Despite its promising technology, Kaspa faces real-world adoption challenges. Right now, the tokens built on Kaspa (called KRC-20 tokens) are mostly associated with copycats of popular meme coins or gambling dapps.

儘管具有很有希望的技術，但卡巴仍面臨現實世界中的採用挑戰。目前，建立在Kaspa（稱為KRC-20代幣）的代幣主要與流行的Meme硬幣或賭博Dapps的模仿者有關。

It’s difficult to say definitively whether Kaspa will move beyond this current state without a proven track record. But considering its fundamental technological advantages—especially being a blockDAG that dramatically outpaces Bitcoin—there’s reason to believe wider adoption could happen.

很難確定地說，卡巴是否會超越當前狀態，而沒有可靠的記錄。但是，考慮到其基本的技術優勢，尤其是成為一個大大超過比特幣的阻滯劑，因此相信可能會發生更廣泛的採用。

We should also be realistic about timing. Mass adoption of any blockchain technology takes years, not weeks or months. Kaspa won’t surpass Solana or Ethereum anytime soon.

我們還應該對時間安排現實。大量採用任何區塊鏈技術需要數年，而不是數週或數月。 Kaspa很快就不會超越Solana或以太坊。

But remember what happened with Solana—the anticipation of future adoption drove prices up long before the ecosystem fully developed, which could also happen with Kaspa.

但是請記住，Solana發生了什麼事 - 對未來採用的期望在生態系統完全開發之前就推動了價格上漲，這也可能與Kaspa發生。

A $10 price for Kaspa would be around 130x from current levels, which might sound extreme. However, at the current circulating supply, it would create a market capitalization of about $260 billion.

Kaspa的價格為10美元的價格約為當前水平的130倍，這聽起來可能極高。但是，在目前的循環供應中，它將創造約2600億美元的市值。

For perspective, that’s still less than Ethereum’s all-time high market cap from 2021, and the crypto market has grown substantially since then. During the 2021 bull run peak, there were about 300 million crypto owners globally, but today, that number has doubled to over 600 million according to research from Crypto.com, expanding the potential buyer base for emerging projects like Kaspa.

從角度來看，這仍然比以太坊從2021年開始有史以來高的市值，從那以後，加密貨幣市場的發展幅度很大。根據Crypto.com的研究，在2021年的公牛峰值上，全球約有3億個加密貨幣所有者，但如今，這個數字已翻了一番，達到了6億多人，擴大了Kaspa等新興項目的潛在買家基礎。

Even more modest targets look impressive—reaching $1 would be a 10x return, while $5 would mean a 60x increase.

更適度的目標看起來令人印象深刻 - 賺1美元將是10倍的回報，而5美元則意味著增加60倍。

Looking at historical patterns, altcoins typically peak around 18 months after a Bitcoin halving event. With the most recent halving in April 2024, this would suggest a potential peak around October 2025.

從歷史模式來看，比特幣減半後約18個月大約達到頂峰。隨著2024年4月的最新減半，這將表明2025年10月左右的高峰。

For investors interested in Kaspa, patience might be the wisest approach. Rather than trying to time the market through day trading, consistently accumulating during this development phase could pay off if the project delivers on its technological promise.

對於對Kaspa感興趣的投資者來說，耐心可能是最明智的方法。如果在該項目實現其技術承諾的情況下，在此開發階段，在此開發階段持續積累的不斷積累，而不是試圖通過一日交易進行計時。

Will Kaspa actually hit $10 during this market cycle? Nobody knows for sure, but its novel approach to solving blockchain challenges makes it worth watching closely.

在這個市場週期中，卡巴實際上會達到10美元嗎？沒人知道，但是它解決區塊鏈挑戰的新穎方法使其值得關注。