吉姆·克莱默（Jim Cramer）警告了潜在的股市崩溃，该股市镜像1987年的黑色星期一

CNBC的“疯狂货币”主持人吉姆·克莱默（Jim Cramer）警告投资者对1987年黑人星期一的潜在股市崩溃，理由是特朗普的关税升级和最近的市场动荡是促进经济不确定性的催化剂。

Jim Cramer, the host of CNBC’s “Mad Money,” has warned viewers that the stock market could be headed for a crash of the magnitude of 1987’s Black Monday, driven by President Trump’s tariffs and recent market turbulence.

CNBC的“疯狂金钱”的主持人吉姆·克莱默（Jim Cramer）警告观众，股市可能会造成1987年黑人星期一的幅度，这是特朗普总统的关税和最近的市场湍流驱动的。

Cramer Cites Dangers of Trump Tariffs and Recent Market Turbulence

克莱默（Cramer）引用了特朗普关税的危险和最近的市场动荡

Cramer’s stark warning comes amidst a brutal two-day sell-off on April 3–4, which saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummet by 2,231 points. The rout was triggered by fears that Trump’s tariffs on imports could exacerbate inflation and stall economic growth.

克莱默（Cramer）的鲜明警告是在4月3日至4日残酷的为期两天的抛售之中，道琼斯工业平均水平（DJIA）下降了2,231分。人们担心特朗普对进口的关税可能会加剧通货膨胀和失速经济增长，这引起了溃败。

The former hedge fund manager turned media personality, known for his volatile investing style, pointed to Trump’s refusal to scale back tariffs on Mexican beer and auto parts.

这位前对冲基金经理变成了以其动荡的投资风格而闻名的媒体人物，他指出，特朗普拒绝对墨西哥啤酒和汽车零件的关税进行缩减。

Cramer's warnings come as investors are increasingly betting against his stock picks. An Inverse Cramer ETF (SJIM) launched in 2023 reportedly delivered a 48% return in 2024 by shorting Cramer's recommendations.

随着投资者越来越多地押注他的股票选秀权，克雷默的警告就会出现。据报道，2023年推出的逆cramer ETF（SJIM）通过Shorting Cramer的建议在2024年提供了48％的回报。

Cramer's comments sparked a lively discussion on his polarizing stock-picking track record. Critics often label him a contrarian indicator, and data suggests that betting against Cramer's recommendations has historically outperformed the market.

克莱默的评论引发了关于他两极分化的股票记录的热烈讨论。批评家经常给他标记为逆势指标，数据表明，反对克莱默的建议的赌注历史上优于市场。

Analysts at ValueEngineered.com argue that Cramer's tendency to hype overvalued, media-driven stocks creates short-term volatility which can be exploited by those employing an 'anti-Cramer' strategy.

ValueNgineered.com上的分析师认为，克雷默（Cramer）大肆宣传媒体驱动的股票的趋势会产生短期波动率，这可以通过采用“反刺耳”策略的人来利用。

Cramer's comparison to Black Monday, also known as the 1987 market crash, is significant. On Oct. 19, 1987, the Dow fell 22% in a single day, triggered by factors such as program trading, overvaluation, and global contagion.

克莱默（Cramer）与黑色星期一（也称为1987年市场崩溃）的比较非常重要。 1987年10月19日，陶氏在一天中下降了22％，这是由计划交易，高估和全球传染等因素触发的。

While swift action by central bankers prevented a depression, the crash exposed the dangers of automated trading and herd mentality—factors which Cramer claims are resurfacing.

尽管中央银行家的迅速行动阻止了抑郁症，但坠机事件暴露了自动贸易和群群心态的危险，这是克莱默声称正在重新铺面的因素。

"It feels like one of those pre-crash moments in October '87," Cramer said, recalling his decision to sell his holdings in anticipation of the collapse.

克莱默说：“感觉就像87年10月的爆炸前时刻之一。”

Despite the bleak outlook, Cramer urged investors not to panic, noting that markets rebounded within a year following the 1987 crash. He advised focusing on recession-resistant sectors like auto parts and discounted financial stocks, though he cautioned, “In a recession, you don’t wanna own anything connected to autos.”

尽管前景黯淡，但克莱默敦促投资者不要惊慌，并指出在1987年坠机事故后的一年内，市场反弹。他建议专注于耐衰退的部门，例如汽车零件和折扣金融股，尽管他警告说：“在经济衰退中，您不想拥有与汽车相关的任何东西。”

The Inverse Cramer movement, popularized by social media trackers like @Cramertracker, showcases a growing skepticism towards his advice.

由@CramerTracker等社交媒体追踪者推广的逆cramer运动表现出对他的建议的持怀疑态度。

However, Cramer's latest warnings highlight tangible risks. Trump's tariffs have already disrupted supply chains and sticky inflation complicates the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates to cushion the economic downturn.

但是，克莱默的最新警告突出了切实的风险。特朗普的关税已经破坏了供应链和通货膨胀，使美联储降低利率缓解经济低迷的能力变得复杂。

Only time will tell whether Cramer's prediction of a Black Monday-esque crash proves prescient or merely hyperbolic. But his commentary reflects broader anxieties over policy-driven market instability—a lesson which Black Monday taught all too well.

只有时间才能证明克雷默对黑色星期一式坠机事故的预测是否证明是有先见之明还是仅仅是双曲线。但是他的评论反映了对政策驱动的市场不稳定的更广泛的焦虑，这是黑色星期一教得很出色的教训。