Solana（SOL）价格预测：技术指标表明，尽管社交媒体乐观率达到了历史性的高潮，但技术指标表明16％的崩溃

就像其同行XRP一样，第六大数字资产Solana（Sol）也面临着“制造或破坏它”的时刻，因为技术指标表明，即使对资产的社交媒体乐观情绪也达到了历史性的高度，潜在的价格崩溃也是16％。

Like its peer XRP, Solana (SOL), the sixth-largest digital asset, is facing a “make it or break it” moment as technical indicators suggest a potential price crash of 16%, even as social media optimism reaches historic highs.

就像其同行XRP一样，第六大数字资产Solana（Sol）也面临着“制造或破坏它”的时刻，因为技术指标表明，即使社交媒体乐观率达到了历史悠久的高度，潜在的价格崩溃也是16％。

Analyst Ali Martinez has identified $125 as the most important support level for SOL, with a potential breakdown paving the way for further declines and a retest of $105 support in the near future.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）已将125美元确定为SOL的最重要支持水平，潜在的细分为进一步下降的道路铺平了道路，并在不久的将来获得了105美元的支持。

$125 Support Level

$ 125支持水平

The chart shared by Ali Martinez showed an ascending wedge pattern that could result in a bearish breakdown, signaling bearish implications.

阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）共享的图表显示了一种上升的楔形模式，可能会导致看跌的崩溃，并表示看跌的意义。

$125 is the most important support level for #Solana $SOL! pic.twitter.com/mY4MUxMcyL

$ 125是#Solana $ SOL最重要的支持水平！ pic.twitter.com/my4muxmcyl

– Ali (@ali_chart) August 10, 2023

- Ali（@ali_chart）2023年8月10日

SOL recently broke through the lower trendline of this formation, and is now retesting the breakdown level. If SOL fails to claim the $145 region convincingly, it could confirm the bearish scenario and trigger a deeper sell-off.

SOL最近突破了这种形成的较低趋势线，现在正在重新测试崩溃水平。如果索尔没有令人信服地要求$ 145的地区，它可以确认看跌的情况并引发更深的抛售。

Another major resistance is the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $136. The altcoin needs to confirm this as support before the next leg up.

另一个主要阻力是20天的指数移动平均线（EMA）为136美元。 AltCoin需要在下一条领域之前确认这一点。

The immediate support stands at $125, which is a key level for bulls to defend. However, failure to hold above this level could see SOL plummet toward $105 and even $58 in a worst-case scenario, as suggested by Martinez’s extended downside target.

直接的支持为125美元，这是公牛防守的关键水平。但是，正如马丁内斯（Martinez）扩展的下行目标所建议的那样，在最坏情况下，如果不超过此水平，可能会使Sol Plummet跌至105美元甚至58美元。

Conversely, if SOL manages to reclaim $145 and push above $160, it could invalidate the bearish breakdown and pave the ground for a recovery toward $200 and beyond.

相反，如果索尔设法收回145美元并推高160美元，则可能使看跌的故障无效，并为恢复到200美元及以后的地面铺平了地面。

According to CoinMarketCap data, SOL is down 5.47% in the past 24 hours, trading at $130.75 at the time of writing, with a daily low of $130.46.

根据CoinMarketCap数据，过去24小时内SOL下跌了5.47％，在撰写本文时以130.75美元的价格交易，每天的低价为130.46美元。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now around 44.60, indicating that SOL is still in neutral territory but is tilting toward bearish momentum.

现在的相对强度指数（RSI）现在约为44.60，表明SOL仍处于中性领土，但正倾向于看跌势头。

Moreover, Bollinger Bands (BB) show that the price is testing the middle band ($130) as support which could mean further downside pressure to the lower Band ($118) unless a reversal occurs soon.

此外，Bollinger乐队（BB）表明，价格正在测试中间乐队（130美元）作为支持，这可能意味着向低乐队（118美元）进一步的下行压力（$ 118），除非很快发生逆转。

Social Sentiment vs. Market Reality

社会情感与市场现实

Despite the negative technical signals, Solana’s social sentiment is at an all-time high.

尽管有负面的技术信号，但Solana的社交情绪仍处于历史最高水平。

According to Santiment, institutional interest, influencer engagement, and technological advancements have fueled a wave of optimism across social media platforms.

根据Santiment的说法，机构的兴趣，有影响力的参与度和技术进步推动了社交媒体平台上的乐观浪潮。

With major entities like GameStop integrating Bitcoin and BlackRock launching tokenized treasury funds on Solana, SOL has garnered an overwhelming 18:1 ratio of positive versus negative commentary online.

诸如GameStop之类的主要实体集成了比特币和贝莱德（Blackrock）在Solana上启动令牌的财政资金，Sol在线获得了压倒性的18：1比率。

Historically, extreme social optimism has often preceded market corrections, as excessive bullishness can lead to overleveraged positions and profit-taking by early investors.

从历史上看，极端的社会乐观经常是在市场纠正之前进行的，因为过度的看涨可能导致早期投资者的职位过度和利润。

Just a month ago, Solana’s sentiment was at its lowest point in a year, following the collapse of the meme coin frenzy.

就在一个月前，索拉纳（Solana）的情绪在Meme Coin Frenzy崩溃之后，在一年以来的最低点处于最低点。