Solana（SOL）價格預測：技術指標表明，儘管社交媒體樂觀率達到了歷史性的高潮，但技術指標表明16％的崩潰

就像其同行XRP一樣，第六大數字資產Solana（Sol）也面臨著“製造或破壞它”的時刻，因為技術指標表明，即使對資產的社交媒體樂觀情緒也達到了歷史性的高度，潛在的價格崩潰也是16％。

Like its peer XRP, Solana (SOL), the sixth-largest digital asset, is facing a “make it or break it” moment as technical indicators suggest a potential price crash of 16%, even as social media optimism reaches historic highs.

就像其同行XRP一樣，第六大數字資產Solana（Sol）也面臨著“製造或破壞它”的時刻，因為技術指標表明，即使社交媒體樂觀率達到了歷史悠久的高度，潛在的價格崩潰也是16％。

Analyst Ali Martinez has identified $125 as the most important support level for SOL, with a potential breakdown paving the way for further declines and a retest of $105 support in the near future.

分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）已將125美元確定為SOL的最重要支持水平，潛在的細分為進一步下降的道路鋪平了道路，並在不久的將來獲得了105美元的支持。

$125 Support Level

$ 125支持水平

The chart shared by Ali Martinez showed an ascending wedge pattern that could result in a bearish breakdown, signaling bearish implications.

阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）共享的圖表顯示了一種上升的楔形模式，可能會導致看跌的崩潰，並表示看跌的意義。

$125 is the most important support level for #Solana $SOL! pic.twitter.com/mY4MUxMcyL

$ 125是#Solana $ SOL最重要的支持水平！ pic.twitter.com/my4muxmcyl

– Ali (@ali_chart) August 10, 2023

- Ali（@ali_chart）2023年8月10日

SOL recently broke through the lower trendline of this formation, and is now retesting the breakdown level. If SOL fails to claim the $145 region convincingly, it could confirm the bearish scenario and trigger a deeper sell-off.

SOL最近突破了這種形成的較低趨勢線，現在正在重新測試崩潰水平。如果索爾沒有令人信服地要求$ 145的地區，它可以確認看跌的情況並引發更深的拋售。

Another major resistance is the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $136. The altcoin needs to confirm this as support before the next leg up.

另一個主要阻力是20天的指數移動平均線（EMA）為136美元。 AltCoin需要在下一條領域之前確認這一點。

The immediate support stands at $125, which is a key level for bulls to defend. However, failure to hold above this level could see SOL plummet toward $105 and even $58 in a worst-case scenario, as suggested by Martinez’s extended downside target.

直接的支持為125美元，這是公牛防守的關鍵水平。但是，正如馬丁內斯（Martinez）擴展的下行目標所建議的那樣，在最壞情況下，如果不超過此水平，可能會使Sol Plummet跌至105美元甚至58美元。

Conversely, if SOL manages to reclaim $145 and push above $160, it could invalidate the bearish breakdown and pave the ground for a recovery toward $200 and beyond.

相反，如果索爾設法收回145美元並推高160美元，則可能使看跌的故障無效，並為恢復到200美元及以後的地面鋪平了地面。

According to CoinMarketCap data, SOL is down 5.47% in the past 24 hours, trading at $130.75 at the time of writing, with a daily low of $130.46.

根據CoinMarketCap數據，過去24小時內SOL下跌了5.47％，在撰寫本文時以130.75美元的價格交易，每天的低價為130.46美元。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now around 44.60, indicating that SOL is still in neutral territory but is tilting toward bearish momentum.

現在的相對強度指數（RSI）現在約為44.60，表明SOL仍處於中性領土，但正傾向於看跌勢頭。

Moreover, Bollinger Bands (BB) show that the price is testing the middle band ($130) as support which could mean further downside pressure to the lower Band ($118) unless a reversal occurs soon.

此外，Bollinger樂隊（BB）表明，價格正在測試中間樂隊（130美元）作為支持，這可能意味著向低樂隊（118美元）進一步的下行壓力（$ 118），除非很快發生逆轉。

Social Sentiment vs. Market Reality

社會情感與市場現實

Despite the negative technical signals, Solana’s social sentiment is at an all-time high.

儘管有負面的技術信號，但Solana的社交情緒仍處於歷史最高水平。

According to Santiment, institutional interest, influencer engagement, and technological advancements have fueled a wave of optimism across social media platforms.

根據Santiment的說法，機構的興趣，有影響力的參與度和技術進步推動了社交媒體平台上的樂觀浪潮。

With major entities like GameStop integrating Bitcoin and BlackRock launching tokenized treasury funds on Solana, SOL has garnered an overwhelming 18:1 ratio of positive versus negative commentary online.

諸如GameStop之類的主要實體集成了比特幣和貝萊德（Blackrock）在Solana上啟動令牌的財政資金，Sol在線獲得了壓倒性的18：1比率。

Historically, extreme social optimism has often preceded market corrections, as excessive bullishness can lead to overleveraged positions and profit-taking by early investors.

從歷史上看，極端的社會樂觀經常是在市場糾正之前進行的，因為過度的看漲可能導致早期投資者的職位過度和利潤。

Just a month ago, Solana’s sentiment was at its lowest point in a year, following the collapse of the meme coin frenzy.

就在一個月前，索拉納（Solana）的情緒在Meme Coin Frenzy崩潰之後，在一年以來的最低點處於最低點。