吉姆·克萊默（Jim Cramer）警告了潛在的股市崩潰，該股市鏡像1987年的黑色星期一

CNBC的“瘋狂貨幣”主持人吉姆·克萊默（Jim Cramer）警告投資者對1987年黑人星期一的潛在股市崩潰，理由是特朗普的關稅升級和最近的市場動盪是促進經濟不確定性的催化劑。

Jim Cramer, the host of CNBC’s “Mad Money,” has warned viewers that the stock market could be headed for a crash of the magnitude of 1987’s Black Monday, driven by President Trump’s tariffs and recent market turbulence.

CNBC的“瘋狂金錢”的主持人吉姆·克萊默（Jim Cramer）警告觀眾，股市可能會造成1987年黑人星期一的幅度，這是特朗普總統的關稅和最近的市場湍流驅動的。

Cramer Cites Dangers of Trump Tariffs and Recent Market Turbulence

克萊默（Cramer）引用了特朗普關稅的危險和最近的市場動盪

Cramer’s stark warning comes amidst a brutal two-day sell-off on April 3–4, which saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummet by 2,231 points. The rout was triggered by fears that Trump’s tariffs on imports could exacerbate inflation and stall economic growth.

克萊默（Cramer）的鮮明警告是在4月3日至4日殘酷的為期兩天的拋售之中，道瓊斯工業平均水平（DJIA）下降了2,231分。人們擔心特朗普對進口的關稅可能會加劇通貨膨脹和失速經濟增長，這引起了潰敗。

The former hedge fund manager turned media personality, known for his volatile investing style, pointed to Trump’s refusal to scale back tariffs on Mexican beer and auto parts.

這位前對沖基金經理變成了以其動蕩的投資風格而聞名的媒體人物，他指出，特朗普拒絕對墨西哥啤酒和汽車零件的關稅進行縮減。

Cramer's warnings come as investors are increasingly betting against his stock picks. An Inverse Cramer ETF (SJIM) launched in 2023 reportedly delivered a 48% return in 2024 by shorting Cramer's recommendations.

隨著投資者越來越多地押注他的股票選秀權，克雷默的警告就會出現。據報導，2023年推出的逆cramer ETF（SJIM）通過Shorting Cramer的建議在2024年提供了48％的回報。

Cramer's comments sparked a lively discussion on his polarizing stock-picking track record. Critics often label him a contrarian indicator, and data suggests that betting against Cramer's recommendations has historically outperformed the market.

克萊默的評論引發了關於他兩極分化的股票記錄的熱烈討論。批評家經常給他標記為逆勢指標，數據表明，反對克萊默的建議的賭注歷史上優於市場。

Analysts at ValueEngineered.com argue that Cramer's tendency to hype overvalued, media-driven stocks creates short-term volatility which can be exploited by those employing an 'anti-Cramer' strategy.

ValueNgineered.com上的分析師認為，克雷默（Cramer）大肆宣傳媒體驅動的股票的趨勢會產生短期波動率，這可以通過採用“反刺耳”策略的人來利用。

Cramer's comparison to Black Monday, also known as the 1987 market crash, is significant. On Oct. 19, 1987, the Dow fell 22% in a single day, triggered by factors such as program trading, overvaluation, and global contagion.

克萊默（Cramer）與黑色星期一（也稱為1987年市場崩潰）的比較非常重要。 1987年10月19日，陶氏在一天中下降了22％，這是由計劃交易，高估和全球傳染等因素觸發的。

While swift action by central bankers prevented a depression, the crash exposed the dangers of automated trading and herd mentality—factors which Cramer claims are resurfacing.

儘管中央銀行家的迅速行動阻止了抑鬱症，但墜機事件暴露了自動貿易和群群心態的危險，這是克萊默聲稱正在重新鋪面的因素。

"It feels like one of those pre-crash moments in October '87," Cramer said, recalling his decision to sell his holdings in anticipation of the collapse.

克萊默說：“感覺就像87年10月的爆炸前時刻之一。”

Despite the bleak outlook, Cramer urged investors not to panic, noting that markets rebounded within a year following the 1987 crash. He advised focusing on recession-resistant sectors like auto parts and discounted financial stocks, though he cautioned, “In a recession, you don’t wanna own anything connected to autos.”

儘管前景黯淡，但克萊默敦促投資者不要驚慌，並指出在1987年墜機事故後的一年內，市場反彈。他建議專注於耐衰退的部門，例如汽車零件和折扣金融股，儘管他警告說：“在經濟衰退中，您不想擁有與汽車相關的任何東西。”

The Inverse Cramer movement, popularized by social media trackers like @Cramertracker, showcases a growing skepticism towards his advice.

由@CramerTracker等社交媒體追踪者推廣的逆cramer運動表現出對他的建議的持懷疑態度。

However, Cramer's latest warnings highlight tangible risks. Trump's tariffs have already disrupted supply chains and sticky inflation complicates the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates to cushion the economic downturn.

但是，克萊默的最新警告突出了切實的風險。特朗普的關稅已經破壞了供應鍊和通貨膨脹，使美聯儲降低利率緩解經濟低迷的能力變得複雜。

Only time will tell whether Cramer's prediction of a Black Monday-esque crash proves prescient or merely hyperbolic. But his commentary reflects broader anxieties over policy-driven market instability—a lesson which Black Monday taught all too well.

只有時間才能證明克雷默對黑色星期一式墜機事故的預測是否證明是有先見之明還是僅僅是雙曲線。但是他的評論反映了對政策驅動的市場不穩定的更廣泛的焦慮，這是黑色星期一教得很出色的教訓。