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2025年比特币(BTC 2.95%)和Solana(SOL 0.94%)已经是混乱的一年,前者损失了其价值的6%,后者损失了28%
2025 has already been a chaotic year for both Bitcoin (BTC 2.95%) and Solana (SOL 0.94%), with the former losing 6% of its value and the latter losing 28% even as both are exposed to major catalysts in the form of an emerging apparently pro-crypto regulatory regime in the U.S.
2025年,比特币(BTC 2.95%)和Solana(SOL 0.94%)已经是混乱的一年,前者损失了其价值的6%,后者损失了28%,即使两者都以一种显然是美国的Pro-Crypto调节性制度的形式暴露于主要的催化剂,
But through the rest of the year, there could be a lot of upward action in both of these coins. Here's which one is the better option for an investment of $2,000.
但是在今年余下的时间里,这两种硬币都可能采取很多向上的动作。这是2,000美元投资的更好选择。
A question of appetite for risk
风险的胃口问题
Bitcoin is the safer of these coins, which makes it the better choice for conservative investors. The reason for that is Bitcoin does not need to compete with other chains for investors' capital on the basis of its technology or the value of the projects in its blockchain ecosystem.
比特币是这些硬币中更安全的,这使其成为保守投资者的更好选择。这样做的原因是比特币不需要根据其技术或在其区块链生态系统中项目的价值与其他连锁店竞争投资者资本。
Think about buying gold. Nobody expects that gold will get any upgrades that make it easier to use as a store of value; people buy it because it’s scarce, and it’s energy-intensive to mine. It’s the same idea with Bitcoin. As there can only be 21 million Bitcoins that ever exist, every new coin that’s mined and purchased is a coin that someone else can’t have.
考虑购买黄金。没有人期望黄金会获得任何升级,使其更容易用作价值存储。人们之所以购买,是因为它稀缺,而且我的能源密集型。比特币是同一想法。由于只有2100万比特币存在,因此每个被开采和购买的新硬币都是别人无法拥有的硬币。
The world could change a vast amount over the coming years, and those central precepts would still remain true, and the coin would retain value due to its scarcity. But, generally, investments that have a shot at retaining most of their value are not as effective at positioning investors to gain from changes to that value, as the assets themselves are less likely to change. So it’s reasonable to expect that there will not be as much growth with an investment in Bitcoin compared to an investment in an alternative like Solana.
在未来几年中,世界可能会改变大量的数量,这些中心戒律仍然会保持真实,并且由于其稀缺性,硬币将保留价值。但是,通常,保留大部分价值的投资在定位投资者方面不太有效,无法从变更中获得变化,因为资产本身的变化可能性较小。因此,与对Solana这样的替代方案的投资相比,对比特币的投资将不会有那么多的增长,这是合理的。
For Solana, consider it to be closer to an ecosystem that you’re betting will expand and become prosperous. If the many projects hosted on Solana’s chain flourish (and based on their ever-increasing application revenues over time it seems like that’s the case), there will be more demand for the coin, as the coin is a prerequisite for taking most actions when using the chain. If, on the other hand, a more effective chain comes along that beats Solana on its technical chops, it might be a problem.
对于Solana来说,认为它更接近您押注的生态系统将扩大并变得繁荣。如果托管索拉纳(Solana)连锁店的许多项目蓬勃发展(并且基于它们不断增加的申请收入,那么似乎是这种情况的),那么硬币的需求将更多,因为硬币是使用链时采取大多数行动的先决条件。另一方面,如果出现一个更有效的链条,它会在其技术排骨上击败Solana,那可能是一个问题。
In terms of the future segments that could drive Solana to higher values, artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to be the most important. There are already a slew of projects on Solana claiming to offer infrastructure for AI agents to hold resources on and interact with the blockchain. But it remains to be seen if those projects will actually generate value in a way that attracts more capital to invest in Solana or its tokens.
就未来的细分市场而言,可以将Solana推向更高的价值,人工智能(AI)可能是最重要的。关于Solana的项目已经有很多项目声称为AI代理提供资源并与区块链互动提供基础设施。但是,这些项目实际上会以吸引更多资金投资于Solana或其代币的方式产生价值还有待观察。
Therein lies the risk: While an AI-fueled boom would send the coin’s price higher by increasing the total value stored on the chain as distributed in its tokens, such a boom would need to be more than a flash in the pan to keep the price rising over the long term. And it’s too early to tell what might happen, which implies that investors will be taking a significant risk if they buy Solana, even if the upside could be tremendous.
其中的风险是:虽然AI燃料的繁荣会通过增加链中的总价值来使硬币的价格更高,但由于其代币中分布式分布,但这种繁荣需要超过锅中的闪光灯才能在长期内保持价格上涨。现在说出可能发生的事情还为时过早,这意味着投资者购买Solana的风险将很大,即使上升空间可能是巨大的。
Give these investments plenty of time to deliver their value
给这些投资足够的时间来实现其价值
Regardless of whether you prefer the higher-risk proposition of Solana or the safer pick of Bitcoin, you’re going to need to retain your coins for at least a few years to give time for the investment theses for each to play out in full.
无论您是喜欢Solana的高风险命题还是更安全的比特币选择,您都需要保留硬币至少几年,以便为每个人提供时间以全面发挥作用。
On that front, Bitcoin is probably the asset that will require the longer hold to fully benefit. Its increasing mining difficulty occurs over the course of years, and in all probability, decades. It is possible to sell your coins before those long periods have elapsed, but you’ll be leaving money on the table by doing so.
在这方面,比特币可能是需要更长持有才能完全受益的资产。它的采矿难度增加了多年来,几十年来,它的开采困难很大。可以在长期过去之前出售您的硬币,但是您会这样做。
In contrast, a lot can change with Solana in just a couple of years, especially considering the pace at which trends in cryptocurrency segments come and go. So far, the most durable trend that the chain has claimed as its own is the meme coin casino — a dubious distinction, but a driver of its value nonetheless. Ongoing success in more serious segments like AI agents, AI infrastructure, or decentralized finance (DeFi) would do a lot to ensure that the chain’s value survives as the world changes around it.
相比之下,短短几年内,索拉纳会发生很多变化,尤其是考虑到加密货币段来来往往的趋势的速度。到目前为止,该连锁店声称自己是自己的最耐用趋势是Meme Coin Casino,这是一个可疑的区别,但仍然是其价值的驱动力。在AI代理,AI基础设施或分散的金融(DEFI)等更严肃的细分市场中,持续的成功将做很多事情,以确保随着世界围绕世界的变化,链的价值能够生存。
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