通胀困境中个人投资者的乐观情绪受到打击

随着通胀持续存在，个人投资者的乐观情绪持续下降，AAII 情绪调查显示乐观情绪下降至 43.4%，看跌情绪上升至 24%。尽管近期市场下跌，但主要股指期货周四小幅走高，而比特币和黄金分别在加密货币和大宗商品市场上涨。

Individual Investor Optimism Declines Amidst Persistent Inflation

持续通胀导致个人投资者乐观情绪下降

In a testament to ongoing concerns about elevated inflation, the sentiment among individual investors has taken a bearish turn. The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, a gauge of market sentiment, indicates a consecutive second week of dwindling optimism.

个人投资者的情绪已经转向看跌，这证明了对通胀上升的持续担忧。美国个人投资者协会（AAII）情绪调查（衡量市场情绪的指标）显示乐观情绪连续第二周下降。

Currently, only 43.4% of survey respondents express optimism about the stock market's short-term prospects, a stark contrast to the 47.3% and 50% recorded in the previous two weeks. Concurrently, bearish sentiment has amplified, rising to 24% from 22.2% last week. Neutral sentiments have also climbed, reaching 32.5% this week compared to 30.5% the week prior.

目前，只有43.4%的受访者对股市短期前景表示乐观，与前两周的47.3%和50%形成鲜明对比。与此同时，看空情绪有所放大，从上周的 22.2% 上升至 24%。中性情绪也有所上升，本周达到 32.5%，而前一周为 30.5%。

The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which surpassed economists' expectations by surging 0.4% in March, has dampened hopes for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. Analyst James Kostohryz maintains that barring significant disruptions such as a war or oil supply crisis, there is scant rationale for rate cuts before October 2024. However, President Joe Biden remains steadfast in his prediction of Fed rate cuts by year-end.

最近的消费者价格指数 (CPI) 报告 3 月份飙升 0.4%，超出了经济学家的预期，削弱了美联储即将降息的希望。分析师 James Kostohryz 认为，除非发生战争或石油供应危机等重大干扰，否则在 2024 年 10 月之前降息的理由很少。然而，总统乔·拜登仍然坚定地预测美联储将在年底前降息。

Despite recent declines, market futures for the Nasdaq, S&P, and Dow ticked higher on Thursday. Over the past week, the S&P 500 (SP500) has shed nearly 1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and NASDAQ Composite Index have declined by more than 1% and 0.6%, respectively. The NASDAQ 100 Index has experienced a 0.8% decrease.

尽管近期下跌，纳斯达克指数、标准普尔指数和道琼斯指数的市场期货周四仍走高。过去一周，标准普尔 500 指数（SP500）下跌近 1%，道琼斯工业平均指数（^DJI）和纳斯达克综合指数分别下跌超过 1% 和 0.6%。纳斯达克 100 指数下跌 0.8%。

In the cryptocurrency and commodities markets, Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) has surged by 4% since last Thursday, while gold climbed by nearly 3%. Gold futures reached a new record settlement high on Tuesday, before undergoing a slight correction on Wednesday.

在加密货币和大宗商品市场，比特币美元(BTC-USD)自上周四以来已飙升4%，而黄金则上涨近3%。黄金期货周二创下结算新高，周三小幅调整。