通膨困境中個人投資者的樂觀情緒受到打擊

隨著通膨持續存在，個人投資者的樂觀情緒持續下降，AAII 情緒調查顯示樂觀情緒下降至 43.4%，看跌情緒上升至 24%。儘管近期市場下跌，但主要股指期貨週四小幅走高，而比特幣和黃金分別在加密貨幣和大宗商品市場上漲。

Individual Investor Optimism Declines Amidst Persistent Inflation

持續通膨導致個人投資者樂觀情緒下降

In a testament to ongoing concerns about elevated inflation, the sentiment among individual investors has taken a bearish turn. The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, a gauge of market sentiment, indicates a consecutive second week of dwindling optimism.

個人投資者的情緒已經轉向看跌，這證明了對通膨上升的持續擔憂。美國個人投資者協會（AAII）情緒調查（衡量市場情緒的指標）顯示樂觀情緒連續第二週下降。

Currently, only 43.4% of survey respondents express optimism about the stock market's short-term prospects, a stark contrast to the 47.3% and 50% recorded in the previous two weeks. Concurrently, bearish sentiment has amplified, rising to 24% from 22.2% last week. Neutral sentiments have also climbed, reaching 32.5% this week compared to 30.5% the week prior.

目前，只有43.4%的受訪者對股市短期前景表示樂觀，與前兩週的47.3%和50%形成鮮明對比。同時，看空情緒有所放大，從上週的 22.2% 上升至 24%。中性情緒也有所上升，本週達到 32.5%，而前一周為 30.5%。

The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which surpassed economists' expectations by surging 0.4% in March, has dampened hopes for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. Analyst James Kostohryz maintains that barring significant disruptions such as a war or oil supply crisis, there is scant rationale for rate cuts before October 2024. However, President Joe Biden remains steadfast in his prediction of Fed rate cuts by year-end.

最近的消費者物價指數 (CPI) 報告 3 月飆升 0.4%，超出了經濟學家的預期，削弱了聯準會即將降息的希望。分析師 James Kostohryz 認為，除非發生戰爭或石油供應危機等重大干擾，否則在 2024 年 10 月之前降息的理由很少。然而，總統喬·拜登仍然堅定地預測美聯儲將在年底前降息。

Despite recent declines, market futures for the Nasdaq, S&P, and Dow ticked higher on Thursday. Over the past week, the S&P 500 (SP500) has shed nearly 1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and NASDAQ Composite Index have declined by more than 1% and 0.6%, respectively. The NASDAQ 100 Index has experienced a 0.8% decrease.

儘管近期下跌，納斯達克指數、標準普爾指數和道瓊斯指數的市場期貨週四仍走高。過去一周，標準普爾 500 指數（SP500）下跌近 1%，道瓊工業指數（^DJI）和那斯達克指數分別下跌超過 1% 和 0.6%。那斯達克 100 指數下跌 0.8%。

In the cryptocurrency and commodities markets, Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) has surged by 4% since last Thursday, while gold climbed by nearly 3%. Gold futures reached a new record settlement high on Tuesday, before undergoing a slight correction on Wednesday.

在加密貨幣和大宗商品市場，比特幣美元(BTC-USD)自上週四以來已飆升4%，而黃金則上漲近3%。黃金期貨週二創下結算新高，週三小幅調整。