以太坊的升级会进一步推迟吗？

随着以太坊继续其雄心勃勃的旅程，成为一个可扩展，安全和节能的区块链，它是否升级的问题

As Ethereum continues its ambitious journey toward becoming a scalable, secure, and energy-efficient blockchain, the question of whether its upgrades will face further delays looms large. The ongoing network upgrades, particularly the highly anticipated Ethereum 2.0 transition and the implementation of sharding, have been long-awaited by developers, users, and investors alike. However, as with any complex technological upgrade, delays are not unusual. Let’s explore the potential factors that could cause further delays and what the Ethereum community is doing to address these concerns.

随着以太坊继续其雄心勃勃的旅程，成为一个可扩展，安全和节能的区块链，其升级是否会面临进一步延迟的问题。正在进行的网络升级，尤其是备受期待的以太坊2.0过渡和碎片的实施，已被开发人员，用户和投资者都期待。但是，与任何复杂的技术升级一样，延迟并不罕见。让我们探索可能导致进一步延迟以及以太坊社区为解决这些问题所做的事情的潜在因素。

1. The Ethereum 2.0 Transition: Full Move to Proof of Stake (PoS)

1。以太坊2.0过渡：完全移动到股份证明（POS）

The most significant upgrade in Ethereum’s roadmap is the full transition from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS), which is expected to improve scalability, reduce energy consumption, and enhance the security of the network. While the Beacon Chain (the foundation for PoS) went live in December 2020, the full transition, known as The Merge, has faced multiple delays.

以太坊路线图中最重要的升级是从工作证明（POW）到股份证明（POS）的完全过渡，该证明将提高可扩展性，降低能源消耗并提高网络的安全性。虽然信标连锁店（POS的基础）于2020年12月播出，但被称为合并的完整过渡已经面临多个延迟。

Now targeted for completion in 2025, The Merge is a highly technical and complex process that involves merging the existing Ethereum execution layer (running on PoW) with the Beacon Chain (operating on PoS). This merger will finally retire the energy-intensive PoW mining mechanism and fully integrate the new PoS consensus protocol into the Ethereum mainnet.

现在，合并是一个针对2025年完成的目标，是一个高度技术和复杂的过程，涉及将现有的以太坊执行层（在POW上运行）与信标链（在POS上运行）合并。这次合并最终将退役能源密集型的POW挖掘机制，并将新的POS共识方案完全整合到以太坊主网中。

Throughout 2023, several testnets, including Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Goerli, underwent extensive testing and audits to prepare for The Merge on the main Ethereum network. As the testnets continue to perform well, the Merge is edging closer to being realized.

在整个2023年，包括千江，上海和Goerli在内的几个测试网络进行了广泛的测试和审核，以准备在主要以太坊网络上合并。随着测试网络的性能继续良好，合并正在接近实现。

However, the complexity of the transition and the need for thorough testing could still lead to unexpected delays. Moreover, the community must reach a consensus on various technical aspects and decide on the optimal time to trigger The Merge, further adding to the potential for delays.

但是，过渡的复杂性和进行彻底测试的需求仍然可能导致意外延迟。此外，社区必须就各种技术方面达成共识，并决定触发合并的最佳时间，从而进一步增加了延误的潜力。

2. Sharding: The Scalability Solution for Ethereum

2。碎片：以太坊的可伸缩性解决方案

One of the most critical elements of Ethereum’s future scalability is sharding—the process of splitting the network into smaller, more manageable parts called “shards.” This will allow Ethereum to process transactions in parallel, significantly increasing its transaction throughput and lowering fees.

以太坊未来可扩展性的最关键要素之一是碎片 - 将网络分为较小，更易于管理的部分称为“碎片”的过程。这将使以太坊可以并行处理交易，从而大大增加其交易吞吐量和降低费用。

Currently, Ethereum can only handle about 15 transactions per second (TPS), leading to congestion and high gas fees, especially during periods of high network activity. With sharding, each shard will be able to process transactions independently, increasing the overall TPS of the network by orders of magnitude.

目前，以太坊只能处理每秒约15笔交易（TPS），导致拥塞和高汽油费用，尤其是在高网络活动期间。通过碎片，每个碎片将能够独立处理交易，从而通过数量级来增加网络的整体TPS。

While the Ethereum development community has been working on sharding for several years, it is an inherently complex undertaking that requires careful design, implementation, and testing. Several technical challenges need to be overcome, including cross-shard communication protocols, data availability, and security implications.

尽管以太坊开发社区已经致力于碎片，但这是一项固有的复杂事业，需要仔细的设计，实施和测试。需要克服一些技术挑战，包括跨分断通信协议，数据可用性和安全性影响。

Furthermore, the integration of sharding with other planned Ethereum upgrades, such as The Merge and Layer-2 scaling solutions, will require additional coordination and testing efforts. As a result, the full implementation of sharding on the Ethereum mainnet is not expected before 2025, and this timeline could be subject to change based on testing outcomes and other factors.

此外，将碎片与其他计划的以太坊升级（例如合并和2层缩放解决方案）集成，将需要其他协调和测试工作。结果，预计在2025年之前不会预计在以太坊主网上进行全面碎片，并且该时间表可能会根据测试结果和其他因素而发生变化。

3. Gas Fee Reductions and Ethereum’s Layer-2 Ecosystem

3。降低汽油费和以太坊的2层生态系统

One of the ongoing goals for Ethereum is to reduce gas fees, which have been a significant pain point for users. Ethereum’s high fees have prompted the growth of Layer-2 solutions, such as Optimistic Rollups and zk-Rollups, which offer cheaper transactions by processing them off the Ethereum mainnet.

以太坊的持续目标之一是减少汽油费，这对用户来说是一个重要的痛苦点。以太坊的高费用促使第2层解决方案（例如乐观的汇总和ZK滚动）的增长，通过将其从以太坊主网处理处理来提供更便宜的交易。

These Layer-2 solutions help ease congestion and reduce fees but will eventually need to integrate fully with Ethereum’s core protocol to ensure long-term scalability. Currently, Layer-2 transactions are still subject to high gas fees when they are submitted to the Ethereum mainnet for final settlement.

这些第2层解决方案有助于缓解拥塞和减少费用，但最终将需要与以太坊的核心协议完全集成以确保长期可伸缩性。当前，当将第2层交易提交给以太坊主网以进行最终解决时，仍需支付高汽油费。

The integration of Layer-2 solutions into Ethereum’s core protocol is crucial for achieving sustainable gas fee reductions. This will allow Layer-2 transactions to be processed and settled efficiently on Ethereum, reducing the overall gas costs for users.

将第2层解决方案集成到以太坊的核心协议中对于实现可持续的汽油费至关重要。这将允许在以太坊上处理和有效地处理2层交易，从而降低用户的总体气体成本。

However, fully integrating Layer-2 solutions with Ethereum’s core protocol is a complex undertaking that requires careful planning, implementation, and testing. This process will likely take time and could potentially face further delays, especially considering the need to coordinate with multiple Layer-2 teams and ensure interoperability among different solutions.

但是，将第2层解决方案与以太坊的核心协议完全集成在一起是一项复杂的工作，需要仔细的计划，实施和测试。这个过程可能需要时间，并可能面临进一步的延迟，尤其是考虑到需要与多个第2层团队进行协调并确保不同解决方案之间的互操作性。

4. Ethereum’s Environmental Concerns and Regulatory Scrutiny

4。以太坊的环境问题和监管审查

As Ethereum transitions from PoW to PoS, one of the primary benefits will be a significant reduction in its energy consumption. However, regulatory and environmental factors could influence the timeline of the upgrade.

随着以太坊从POW到POS的过渡，主要好处之一将是其能源消耗的大幅度降低。但是，监管和环境因素可能会影响升级的时间表。

Currently, Ethereum’s PoW mining process consumes a substantial amount of electricity, which has raised concerns among some stakeholders and regulators. The move to PoS is expected to reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption by more than 99%, making it much more environmentally friendly.

目前，以太坊的POW采矿过程消耗了大量电力，这引起了一些利益相关者和监管机构的关注。前往POS的举动预计将使以太坊的能源消耗量减少99％以上，从而使其更加环保。

While the Ethereum community is largely in favor of the transition to PoS, there are some within the community who prefer to stick with the

尽管以太坊社区在很大程度上支持向POS的过渡，但社区中有些人更喜欢坚持