狗狗币价格准备好飙升了吗？

如果当前支撑位保持不变，狗狗币（DOGE/USD）图表上的关键技术发展可能暗示看涨走势

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) price appeared to be preparing for an upswing if it managed to hold onto current support levels, according to crypto market analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA).

加密市场分析师 Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) 表示，如果狗狗币（加密货币：DOGE）价格能够守住当前的支撑位，那么它的价格似乎正在为上涨做好准备。

After roughly a month in a downward-sloping pattern, DOGE appeared to be bouncing off the former resistance line of this channel—an event that often garnered attention among traders looking for an upswing.

在经历了大约一个月的向下倾斜模式后，DOGE 似乎正在从该通道的前阻力线反弹，这一事件经常引起寻求上涨的交易者的关注。

Dogecoin Price Ready To Skyrocket?

狗狗币价格准备好飙升了吗？

On Sunday (Jan 19), Kevin noted that Dogecoin had been “trading in a falling channel for over a month” and was “currently back testing” the channel’s upper boundary. He emphasized that it was crucial for DOGE “to hold this and bounce,” noting that failure to do so might force a “reassessment” of the chart.

周日（1 月 19 日），Kevin 指出，狗狗币已经“在下跌通道中交易了一个多月”，并且“目前正在回测”该通道的上限。他强调，对于狗狗币来说，“守住这一点并反弹”至关重要，并指出如果不这样做，可能会迫使对图表进行“重新评估”。

Thus far, it seemed the cryptocurrency was managing to defend its newfound support. DOGE briefly dipped to about $0.345 before closing two deep wick four-hour candles back above the trend line. Kevin pointed out this “nice bounce off the retest” and its alignment with key four-hour moving averages, suggesting the potential for higher prices.

到目前为止，加密货币似乎正在设法捍卫其新发现的支持。 DOGE 一度跌至 0.345 美元左右，随后收盘，收盘时两根深烛芯四小时蜡烛回到趋势线上方。凯文指出，这次“重新测试后的良好反弹”及其与关键的四小时移动平均线的一致，表明价格有可能上涨。

At press time, Dogecoin was trading around the $0.38–$0.39 level, showing resilience at its former resistance-turned-support.

截至发稿时，狗狗币交易价格在 0.38 美元至 0.39 美元之间，显示出从前阻力位变为支撑位的韧性。

Despite Dogecoin’s promising technical setup, Kevin stressed that altcoins remained heavily dependent on Bitcoin’s direction and market dominance. He referred to the ongoing crypto cycle, asserting that “we have never been in an altseason” so far in this bull run. According to Kevin, altcoins will not “durably outperform the King” unless BTC dominance falls below the 54.51% threshold and USDT dominance sinks beneath 3.7%.

尽管狗狗币的技术设置很有前途，但凯文强调，山寨币仍然严重依赖比特币的方向和市场主导地位。他提到了正在进行的加密货币周期，并声称到目前为止，在这次牛市中“我们从未处于山寨币季节”。 Kevin 表示，除非 BTC 的主导地位跌破 54.51% 的门槛，而 USDT 的主导地位降至 3.7% 以下，否则山寨币不会“持久超越 King”。

He also observed that Bitcoin dominance was nearing 59%, effectively “attacking the macro golden pocket” and potentially threatening altcoin performance. If BTC reestablishes its lead above these critical dominance levels, Kevin believes the short-term outlook for most altcoins—Dogecoin included—may remain constrained, even if their individual charts looked constructive.

他还观察到，比特币的主导地位接近 59%，有效地“攻击了宏观黄金口袋”，并可能威胁到山寨币的表现。凯文认为，如果 BTC 重新确立其领先地位高于这些关键的主导水平，那么大多数山寨币（包括狗狗币）的短期前景可能仍然受到限制，即使它们的个别图表看起来具有建设性。

Another factor adding turbulence to the crypto market is the recent memecoin launch by incoming US President Donald Trump. Kevin lamented that, in his view, the crypto market had been “the healthiest” it had looked in four years—highlighting how higher-quality utility coins were gaining traction and how investors seemed to be “fleeing to quality left and right.”

加剧加密货币市场动荡的另一个因素是即将上任的美国总统唐纳德·特朗普最近推出的模因币。凯文感叹道，在他看来，加密货币市场是四年来“最健康的”，这凸显了高质量的实用代币如何获得吸引力，以及投资者似乎如何“左右逃往高质量的市场”。

However, he claims that “in just 36 hours,” those close to Trump released a memecoin that derailed this dynamic, sparking renewed meme coin speculation and pulling many solid projects down by double-digit percentages. Despite describing this frenzy as a “temporary derailment,” Kevin believes the situation will eventually stabilize: “It may take a few weeks, but I still think we’re in a very good spot.”

然而，他声称“在短短 36 小时内”，那些与特朗普关系密切的人发布了一种模因币，破坏了这一动态，引发了新的模因币投机，并使许多可靠的项目下降了两位数的百分比。尽管将这种狂热描述为“暂时的脱轨”，凯文相信情况最终会稳定下来：“这可能需要几周的时间，但我仍然认为我们处于一个非常好的位置。”

For Dogecoin, the immediate signal to watch is whether it can continue holding above its retested channel line. A decisive bounce above the $0.40-$0.41 region could bolster the bullish case, especially if broader market conditions remain supportive. On the other hand, any surge in Bitcoin dominance—and the possible return of heightened meme coin mania—may introduce fresh headwinds.

对于狗狗币来说，需要立即关注的信号是它是否能够继续保持在重新测试的通道线之上。决定性反弹至 0.40-0.41 美元区域之上可能会增强看涨前景，尤其是在更广泛的市场状况仍然有利的情况下。另一方面，比特币主导地位的任何激增——以及迷因币狂热可能卷土重来——都可能带来新的阻力。