狗狗幣價格準備好飆漲了嗎？

如果目前支撐位保持不變，狗狗幣（DOGE/USD）圖表上的關鍵技術發展可能暗示看漲走勢

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) price appeared to be preparing for an upswing if it managed to hold onto current support levels, according to crypto market analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA).

加密市場分析師 Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) 表示，如果狗狗幣 (CRYPTO: DOGE) 的價格能夠守住當前的支撐位，那麼它的價格似乎正在為上漲做好準備。

After roughly a month in a downward-sloping pattern, DOGE appeared to be bouncing off the former resistance line of this channel—an event that often garnered attention among traders looking for an upswing.

在經歷大約一個月的向下傾斜模式後，DOGE 似乎正在從該通道的前阻力線反彈，這一事件經常引起尋求上漲的交易者的注意。

Dogecoin Price Ready To Skyrocket?

狗狗幣價格準備好飆漲了嗎？

On Sunday (Jan 19), Kevin noted that Dogecoin had been “trading in a falling channel for over a month” and was “currently back testing” the channel’s upper boundary. He emphasized that it was crucial for DOGE “to hold this and bounce,” noting that failure to do so might force a “reassessment” of the chart.

週日（1 月 19 日），Kevin 指出，狗狗幣已經“在下跌通道中交易了一個多月”，並且“目前正在回測”該通道的上限。他強調，對於狗狗幣來說，「守住這一點並反彈」至關重要，並指出如果不這樣做，可能會迫使對圖表進行「重新評估」。

Thus far, it seemed the cryptocurrency was managing to defend its newfound support. DOGE briefly dipped to about $0.345 before closing two deep wick four-hour candles back above the trend line. Kevin pointed out this “nice bounce off the retest” and its alignment with key four-hour moving averages, suggesting the potential for higher prices.

到目前為止，加密貨幣似乎正在設法捍衛其新發現的支持。 DOGE 一度跌至 0.345 美元左右，隨後收盤，收盤時兩根深燭線四小時蠟燭回到趨勢線上方。凱文指出，這次「重新測試後的良好反彈」及其與關鍵的四小時移動平均線的一致，顯示價格有可能上漲。

At press time, Dogecoin was trading around the $0.38–$0.39 level, showing resilience at its former resistance-turned-support.

截至發稿時，狗狗幣交易價格在 0.38 美元至 0.39 美元之間，顯示出從前阻力位變為支撐位的韌性。

Despite Dogecoin’s promising technical setup, Kevin stressed that altcoins remained heavily dependent on Bitcoin’s direction and market dominance. He referred to the ongoing crypto cycle, asserting that “we have never been in an altseason” so far in this bull run. According to Kevin, altcoins will not “durably outperform the King” unless BTC dominance falls below the 54.51% threshold and USDT dominance sinks beneath 3.7%.

儘管狗狗幣的技術設定很有前途，但凱文強調，山寨幣仍然嚴重依賴比特幣的方向和市場主導地位。他提到了正在進行的加密貨幣週期，並聲稱到目前為止，在這次牛市中「我們從未處於山寨幣季節」。 Kevin 表示，除非 BTC 的主導地位跌破 54.51% 的門檻，而 USDT 的主導地位降至 3.7% 以下，否則山寨幣不會「持久超越 King」。

He also observed that Bitcoin dominance was nearing 59%, effectively “attacking the macro golden pocket” and potentially threatening altcoin performance. If BTC reestablishes its lead above these critical dominance levels, Kevin believes the short-term outlook for most altcoins—Dogecoin included—may remain constrained, even if their individual charts looked constructive.

他還觀察到，比特幣的主導地位接近 59%，有效地“攻擊了宏觀黃金口袋”，並可能威脅到山寨幣的表現。凱文認為，如果 BTC 重新確立其領先地位高於這些關鍵的主導水平，那麼大多數山寨幣（包括狗狗幣）的短期前景可能仍然受到限制，即使它們的個別圖表看起來具有建設性。

Another factor adding turbulence to the crypto market is the recent memecoin launch by incoming US President Donald Trump. Kevin lamented that, in his view, the crypto market had been “the healthiest” it had looked in four years—highlighting how higher-quality utility coins were gaining traction and how investors seemed to be “fleeing to quality left and right.”

加劇加密貨幣市場動盪的另一個因素是即將上任的美國總統川普最近推出的迷因幣。凱文感嘆道，在他看來，加密貨幣市場是四年來“最健康的”，這凸顯了高品質的實用代幣如何獲得吸引力，以及投資者似乎如何“左右逃往高品質的市場” 。

However, he claims that “in just 36 hours,” those close to Trump released a memecoin that derailed this dynamic, sparking renewed meme coin speculation and pulling many solid projects down by double-digit percentages. Despite describing this frenzy as a “temporary derailment,” Kevin believes the situation will eventually stabilize: “It may take a few weeks, but I still think we’re in a very good spot.”

然而，他聲稱“在短短36 小時內”，那些與川普關係密切的人發布了一種模因幣，破壞了這一動態，引發了新的模因幣投機，並使許多可靠的項目下降了兩位數的百分比。儘管將這種狂熱描述為“暫時的脫軌”，凱文相信情況最終會穩定下來：“這可能需要幾週的時間，但我仍然認為我們處於一個非常好的位置。”

For Dogecoin, the immediate signal to watch is whether it can continue holding above its retested channel line. A decisive bounce above the $0.40-$0.41 region could bolster the bullish case, especially if broader market conditions remain supportive. On the other hand, any surge in Bitcoin dominance—and the possible return of heightened meme coin mania—may introduce fresh headwinds.

對於狗狗幣來說，需要立即關注的訊號是它是否可以繼續保持在重新測試的通道線之上。決定性反彈至 0.40-0.41 美元區域之上可能會增強看漲前景，尤其是在更廣泛的市場狀況仍然有利的情況下。另一方面，比特幣主導地位的任何激增——以及迷因幣狂熱可能捲土重來——都可能帶來新的阻力。