Dogecoin（Doge）的表现不佳，因为它与XRP的2021分形增长更强

最近的一项分析表明，随着犬与XRP的2021分形的相关性，狗狗蛋白的表现可能不足。

Recently, an analysis has suggested that Dogecoin may underperform in this bull cycle as its correlation with XRP’s 2021 fractal grows stronger.

最近，一项分析表明，随着其与XRP 2021分形的相关性增长较强，Dogecoin在该牛周期中可能表现不佳。

Dogecoin began the bull cycle with strong bullish sentiments. The doggy-themed meme coin also benefited from its bromance with Elon Musk and Donald Trump’s November election win.

Dogecoin以强烈的看涨情绪开始了公牛周期。以狗狗为主题的模因硬币也受益于埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）和唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）11月的选举胜利。

However, Dogecoin’s massive correction since the start of 2025 has given enthusiasts a reality check. The largest meme coin by market cap has retraced over 32% since January 1, with only Avalanche (AVAX) performing worse in the top 15 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

但是，自2025年初以来，Dogecoin的大规模更正为发烧友提供了现实检查。自1月1日以来，最大的模因硬币已在32％以上撤退了32％，只有雪崩（Avax）在前15位的加密货币中表现较差。

Meanwhile, the correction has drawn correlation theories between Dogecoin’s current plight and XRP’s past cyclical performance. A recent analysis suggests the meme coin market leader may pull a 2021 XRP performance in this cycle.

同时，该校正在Dogecoin当前的困境和XRP过去的周期性表现之间提出了相关理论。最近的分析表明，模因硬币市场领导者可能会在此周期中提高2021 XRP的性能。

For perspective, XRP largely missed the 2020/2021 bull season following dark regulatory clouds around its ecosystem. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued Ripple in December 2020, impacting bullish momentum for XRP despite a broader market upward trajectory.

从角度来看，XRP在其生态系统周围的黑暗监管云之后，很大程度上错过了2020/2021公牛季节。美国证券交易委员会（SEC）于2020年12月起诉Ripple，尽管市场向上的轨迹更广泛，但仍影响了XRP的看涨势头。

With the litigation, the asset managed a mere 276% surge in 2021, starkly different from its 30,452% price explosion in the 2017 bull market. XRP peaked at $1.9839 during the cycle, a high it has trumped since December.

随着诉讼，该资产在2021年仅支付了276％的增长，与2017年牛市的30,452％的价格爆炸明显不同。 XRP在周期期间达到了1.9839美元的峰值，自12月以来，它的最高水平胜过。

Meanwhile, analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT, has suggested that Dogecoin could experience similar price action. In a March 5 post, he highlighted a converging price action between the duo in different timelines.

同时，分析师Tony“ The Bull” Severino（CMT）建议Dogecoin可以遇到类似的价格行动。在3月5日的帖子中，他强调了在不同时间表中二人组之间的价格行动。

XRP 2021 Fractal in Play?

XRP 2021分形游戏？

Tony first asserted that Dogecoin could mirror XRP’s 2021 bull cycle in October before the meteoric broader market rally the next month. He shared that both charts showed a strong correlation, and DOGE may fully mirror the performance.

托尼首先断言，狗狗币可以在10月反映XRP的2021年公牛周期，然后在下个月举行的更广泛的市场集会之前。他分享说，这两个图表都显示出很强的相关性，而Doge可以完全反映出表现。

The analysis highlighted that XRP failed to sustain trading above the 0.786 Fibonacci extension at $1.604 in 2021. Although the coin closed near the level in April, it corrected 35% the previous month.

该分析强调，XRP未能维持超过0.786斐波那契扩展的交易，2021年为1.604美元。尽管硬币在4月份接近水平，但上个月纠正了35％。

According to the analyst, XRP town massively sold the 50% Fib, while a 35% correction from the 0.618 Fib saw a strong bounce to new highs. However, the 50% Fib retracement was met with strong selling pressure, ultimately leading to a 65% correction from the 0.382 Fib.

根据分析师的说法，XRP Town大量售出了50％的FIB，而0.618 FIB的35％纠正率向新高点出现了强烈的反弹。然而，50％的FIB回撤符合强大的销售压力，最终导致0.382 FIB的65％校正。

According to the analyst, the correlation may be more apparent now as Dogecoin is closely following the same price action.

根据分析师的说法，由于Dogecoin紧密遵循相同的价格行动，因此相关性可能更为明显。

The crypto analyst noted that the narrative unfolded when discussing the 160% November surge in the meme coin price. The move took DOGE to the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.4198, with the asset peaking at $0.4846 in December.

这位加密分析师指出，在讨论11月160％的模因硬币价格的涨幅时，叙述发生了。此举将Doge升至0.786的斐波那契水平为0.4198美元，资产达到12月的$ 0.4846。

However, the meme coin has corrected over 56% from the peak close to the 0.5 Fibonacci extension, exactly as XRP did in 2021. Following the growing correlation, the analyst insinuated that DOGE may have reached its cyclical top.

但是，模因硬币已从接近0.5斐波那契延伸的峰上校正了56％以上，就像XRP在2021年一样。随着日益增长的相关性，分析师暗示，Doge可能已经达到了周期性的顶部。