Dogecoin（Doge）的表現不佳，因為它與XRP的2021分形增長更強

最近的一項分析表明，隨著犬與XRP的2021分形的相關性，狗狗蛋白的表現可能不足。

Recently, an analysis has suggested that Dogecoin may underperform in this bull cycle as its correlation with XRP’s 2021 fractal grows stronger.

最近，一項分析表明，隨著其與XRP 2021分形的相關性增長較強，Dogecoin在該牛週期中可能表現不佳。

Dogecoin began the bull cycle with strong bullish sentiments. The doggy-themed meme coin also benefited from its bromance with Elon Musk and Donald Trump’s November election win.

Dogecoin以強烈的看漲情緒開始了公牛週期。以狗狗為主題的模因硬幣也受益於埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk）和唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）11月的選舉勝利。

However, Dogecoin’s massive correction since the start of 2025 has given enthusiasts a reality check. The largest meme coin by market cap has retraced over 32% since January 1, with only Avalanche (AVAX) performing worse in the top 15 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

但是，自2025年初以來，Dogecoin的大規模更正為發燒友提供了現實檢查。自1月1日以來，最大的模因硬幣已在32％以上撤退了32％，只有雪崩（Avax）在前15位的加密貨幣中表現較差。

Meanwhile, the correction has drawn correlation theories between Dogecoin’s current plight and XRP’s past cyclical performance. A recent analysis suggests the meme coin market leader may pull a 2021 XRP performance in this cycle.

同時，該校正在Dogecoin當前的困境和XRP過去的周期性表現之間提出了相關理論。最近的分析表明，模因硬幣市場領導者可能會在此週期中提高2021 XRP的性能。

For perspective, XRP largely missed the 2020/2021 bull season following dark regulatory clouds around its ecosystem. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued Ripple in December 2020, impacting bullish momentum for XRP despite a broader market upward trajectory.

從角度來看，XRP在其生態系統周圍的黑暗監管雲之後，很大程度上錯過了2020/2021公牛季節。美國證券交易委員會（SEC）於2020年12月起訴Ripple，儘管市場向上的軌跡更廣泛，但仍影響了XRP的看漲勢頭。

With the litigation, the asset managed a mere 276% surge in 2021, starkly different from its 30,452% price explosion in the 2017 bull market. XRP peaked at $1.9839 during the cycle, a high it has trumped since December.

隨著訴訟，該資產在2021年僅支付了276％的增長，與2017年牛市的30,452％的價格爆炸明顯不同。 XRP在周期期間達到了1.9839美元的峰值，自12月以來，它的最高水平勝過。

Meanwhile, analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT, has suggested that Dogecoin could experience similar price action. In a March 5 post, he highlighted a converging price action between the duo in different timelines.

同時，分析師Tony“ The Bull” Severino（CMT）建議Dogecoin可以遇到類似的價格行動。在3月5日的帖子中，他強調了在不同時間表中二人組之間的價格行動。

XRP 2021 Fractal in Play?

XRP 2021分形遊戲？

Tony first asserted that Dogecoin could mirror XRP’s 2021 bull cycle in October before the meteoric broader market rally the next month. He shared that both charts showed a strong correlation, and DOGE may fully mirror the performance.

托尼首先斷言，狗狗幣可以在10月反映XRP的2021年公牛週期，然後在下個月舉行的更廣泛的市場集會之前。他分享說，這兩個圖表都顯示出很強的相關性，而Doge可以完全反映出表現。

The analysis highlighted that XRP failed to sustain trading above the 0.786 Fibonacci extension at $1.604 in 2021. Although the coin closed near the level in April, it corrected 35% the previous month.

該分析強調，XRP未能維持超過0.786斐波那契擴展的交易，2021年為1.604美元。儘管硬幣在4月份接近水平，但上個月糾正了35％。

According to the analyst, XRP town massively sold the 50% Fib, while a 35% correction from the 0.618 Fib saw a strong bounce to new highs. However, the 50% Fib retracement was met with strong selling pressure, ultimately leading to a 65% correction from the 0.382 Fib.

根據分析師的說法，XRP Town大量售出了50％的FIB，而0.618 FIB的35％糾正率向新高點出現了強烈的反彈。然而，50％的FIB回撤符合強大的銷售壓力，最終導致0.382 FIB的65％校正。

According to the analyst, the correlation may be more apparent now as Dogecoin is closely following the same price action.

根據分析師的說法，由於Dogecoin緊密遵循相同的價格行動，因此相關性可能更為明顯。

The crypto analyst noted that the narrative unfolded when discussing the 160% November surge in the meme coin price. The move took DOGE to the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.4198, with the asset peaking at $0.4846 in December.

這位加密分析師指出，在討論11月160％的模因硬幣價格的漲幅時，敘述發生了。此舉將Doge升至0.786的斐波那契水平為0.4198美元，資產達到12月的$ 0.4846。

However, the meme coin has corrected over 56% from the peak close to the 0.5 Fibonacci extension, exactly as XRP did in 2021. Following the growing correlation, the analyst insinuated that DOGE may have reached its cyclical top.

但是，模因硬幣已從接近0.5斐波那契延伸的峰上校正了56％以上，就像XRP在2021年一樣。隨著日益增長的相關性，分析師暗示，Doge可能已經達到了周期性的頂部。