尽管社交媒体情绪悲观，狗狗币（DOGE）价格仍可能进一步上涨：原因如下

狗狗币在过去一周取得了一些显着的复苏，但社交媒体用户仍然看跌。这就是为什么这可能有利于反弹。

Dogecoin has made some notable recovery during the past week, but social media users have remained bearish. Here’s why this could be good for the rally.

狗狗币在过去一周取得了一些显着的复苏，但社交媒体用户仍然看跌。这就是为什么这可能有利于反弹。

After hitting lows of $0.04 in December 2024, Dogecoin has seen a rally of over 9x to reach highs of $0.38 in January 2025. However, This rally has stalled, and DOGE has been trading sideways since then.

在 2024 年 12 月触及 0.04 美元的低点后，狗狗币上涨了超过 9 倍，并于 2025 年 1 月达到了 0.38 美元的高点。然而，这种反弹已经停滞，此后狗狗币一直在横盘整理。

Now, asịp pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment still has a red value. The “Weighted Sentiment” here refers to an indicator from the analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the dominant sentiment related to a given asset that’s present on the major social media platforms.

现在，正如分析师 Ali Martinez 在 X 上的一篇新文章中指出的那样，狗狗币加权情绪仍然具有红色值。这里的“加权情绪”指的是分析公司 Santiment 的一个指标，它告诉我们主要社交媒体平台上与特定资产相关的主导情绪。

This metric is based on two other indicators: Sentiment Balance and Social Volume. The first of these, the Sentiment Balance, calculates the net sentiment present on social media.

该指标基于另外两个指标：情绪平衡和社交量。第一个是情绪平衡，计算社交媒体上存在的净情绪。

It works by putting the various posts/messages/threads through a machine-learning model to differentiate between positive and negative posts. Then, it takes the two counts and subtracts them to determine the net market situation.

它的工作原理是将各种帖子/消息/线程通过机器学习模型来区分积极和消极的帖子。然后，将这两个计数相减以确定净市场情况。

While the Sentiment Balance does provide a rough overview of social media, it may not always be the best representation of the majority of the users, as all it can do is take into account the data of the posts currently present. That is, it only says about the sentiment of the active users, regardless of whether they are actually a minority by count.

虽然情绪平衡确实提供了社交媒体的粗略概述，但它可能并不总是大多数用户的最佳代表，因为它所能做的就是考虑当前存在的帖子的数据。也就是说，它只反映了活跃用户的情绪，而不管他们实际上是否属于少数。

To mitigate this problem and achieve more accuracy, the Weighted Sentiment incorporates the second element: the Social Volume. This indicator measures the total unique number of posts on social media that mention the cryptocurrency.

为了缓解这个问题并提高准确性，加权情绪纳入了第二个元素：社交量。该指标衡量社交媒体上提及加密货币的帖子总数。

Thus, by weighting the Sentiment Balance by this metric, the Weighted Sentiment ensures that its value only registers a spike (in either direction) when there is both a significant tendency towards one sentiment and a large number of users voicing said sentiment.

因此，通过此指标对情绪平衡进行加权，加权情绪可确保其值仅在存在一种情绪的显着趋势且有大量用户表达该情绪时才出现峰值（在任一方向）。

Now, here is the chart for the Weighted Sentiment for Dogecoin shared by the analyst that shows the trend in its value over the past few months.

现在，这是分析师分享的狗狗币加权情绪图表，显示了过去几个月其价值的趋势。

As displayed in the above graph, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment turned negative in December as the meme coin’s bull rally hit an obstacle, and its price reversed to the downside.

如上图所示，随着 Meme 币的牛市反弹遇到障碍，狗狗币加权情绪在 12 月份转为负值，其价格反转为下行。

The negative sentiment hasn’t changed in 2025 so far, but interestingly, the trend in the price has. Over the past week, the asset has seen a recovery rally of more than 20%. The continued bearish sentiment would imply this run hasn’t been enough to change the opinion of social media users yet.

2025 年到目前为止，负面情绪尚未改变，但有趣的是，价格趋势却发生了变化。过去一周，该资产的复苏涨幅超过 20%。持续的看跌情绪意味着这次走势还不足以改变社交媒体用户的观点。

Historically, digital assets have tended to move in a way that’s opposite to the expectations of the majority. From the chart, it’s apparent that Dogecoin’s tops in November were accompanied by sharp positive spikes in the Weighted Sentiment.

从历史上看，数字资产的走势往往与大多数人的预期相反。从图表中可以明显看出，狗狗币 11 月份的顶部伴随着加权情绪的急剧上升。

Therefore, considering that the traders are pessimistic towards DOGE right now, chances may be that this latest rally could have further room to run before encountering a wall.

因此，考虑到交易者目前对 DOGE 持悲观态度，最近的反弹在遇到障碍之前可能还有进一步的运行空间。

DOGE Price

狗狗价格

Following its recovery during the last few days, Dogecoin has seen its value climb to the $0.38 mark.

继过去几天的复苏后，狗狗币的价值已攀升至 0.38 美元大关。