儘管社群媒體情緒悲觀，狗狗幣（DOGE）價格仍可能進一步上漲：原因如下

狗狗幣在過去一周取得了一些顯著的復甦，但社群媒體用戶仍然看跌。這就是為什麼這可能有利於反彈。

Dogecoin has made some notable recovery during the past week, but social media users have remained bearish. Here’s why this could be good for the rally.

狗狗幣在過去一周取得了一些顯著的復甦，但社群媒體用戶仍然看跌。這就是為什麼這可能有利於反彈。

After hitting lows of $0.04 in December 2024, Dogecoin has seen a rally of over 9x to reach highs of $0.38 in January 2025. However, This rally has stalled, and DOGE has been trading sideways since then.

在2024 年12 月觸及0.04 美元的低點後，狗狗幣上漲了超過9 倍，並在2025 年1 月達到了0.38 美元的高點。橫盤整理。

Now, asịp pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment still has a red value. The “Weighted Sentiment” here refers to an indicator from the analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the dominant sentiment related to a given asset that’s present on the major social media platforms.

現在，正如分析師 Ali Martinez 在 X 上的一篇新文章中指出的那樣，狗狗幣加權情緒仍然具有紅色價值。這裡的「加權情緒」指的是分析公司 Santiment 的一個指標，它告訴我們主要社交媒體平台上與特定資產相關的主導情緒。

This metric is based on two other indicators: Sentiment Balance and Social Volume. The first of these, the Sentiment Balance, calculates the net sentiment present on social media.

此指標基於另外兩個指標：情緒平衡和社交量。第一個是情緒平衡，計算社群媒體上存在的淨情緒。

It works by putting the various posts/messages/threads through a machine-learning model to differentiate between positive and negative posts. Then, it takes the two counts and subtracts them to determine the net market situation.

它的工作原理是將各種帖子/訊息/線程通過機器學習模型來區分積極和消極的帖子。然後，將這兩個計數相減以確定淨市場情況。

While the Sentiment Balance does provide a rough overview of social media, it may not always be the best representation of the majority of the users, as all it can do is take into account the data of the posts currently present. That is, it only says about the sentiment of the active users, regardless of whether they are actually a minority by count.

雖然情緒平衡確實提供了社交媒體的粗略概述，但它可能並不總是大多數用戶的最佳代表，因為它所能做的就是考慮當前存在的帖子的數據。也就是說，它只反映了活躍用戶的情緒，而不管他們實際上是否屬於少數。

To mitigate this problem and achieve more accuracy, the Weighted Sentiment incorporates the second element: the Social Volume. This indicator measures the total unique number of posts on social media that mention the cryptocurrency.

為了緩解這個問題並提高準確性，加權情緒納入了第二個元素：社交量。此指標衡量社群媒體上提及加密貨幣的貼文總數。

Thus, by weighting the Sentiment Balance by this metric, the Weighted Sentiment ensures that its value only registers a spike (in either direction) when there is both a significant tendency towards one sentiment and a large number of users voicing said sentiment.

因此，透過此指標對情緒平衡進行加權，加權情緒可確保其值僅在存在一種情緒的顯著趨勢且有大量用戶表達該情緒時才出現峰值（在任一方向）。

Now, here is the chart for the Weighted Sentiment for Dogecoin shared by the analyst that shows the trend in its value over the past few months.

現在，這是分析師分享的狗狗幣加權情緒圖表，顯示了過去幾個月其價值的趨勢。

As displayed in the above graph, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment turned negative in December as the meme coin’s bull rally hit an obstacle, and its price reversed to the downside.

如上圖所示，隨著 Meme 幣的多頭反彈遇到障礙，狗狗幣加權情緒在 12 月轉為負值，其價格反轉為下行。

The negative sentiment hasn’t changed in 2025 so far, but interestingly, the trend in the price has. Over the past week, the asset has seen a recovery rally of more than 20%. The continued bearish sentiment would imply this run hasn’t been enough to change the opinion of social media users yet.

2025 年到目前為止，負面情緒尚未改變，但有趣的是，價格趨勢卻改變了。過去一周，該資產的復甦漲幅超過 20%。持續的看跌情緒意味著這次走勢還不足以改變社群媒體用戶的觀點。

Historically, digital assets have tended to move in a way that’s opposite to the expectations of the majority. From the chart, it’s apparent that Dogecoin’s tops in November were accompanied by sharp positive spikes in the Weighted Sentiment.

從歷史上看，數位資產的走勢往往與大多數人的預期相反。從圖表中可以明顯看出，狗狗幣 11 月的頂部伴隨著加權情緒的急劇上升。

Therefore, considering that the traders are pessimistic towards DOGE right now, chances may be that this latest rally could have further room to run before encountering a wall.

因此，考慮到交易者目前對 DOGE 持悲觀態度，最近的反彈在遇到障礙之前可能還有進一步的運行空間。

DOGE Price

狗狗價格

Following its recovery during the last few days, Dogecoin has seen its value climb to the $0.38 mark.

繼過去幾天的復甦後，狗狗幣的價值已攀升至 0.38 美元大關。