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在以太坊(ETH 6.61%)等主要加密货币和像shiba Inu这样的模因硬币(6.42%)之间的决定对于大多数投资者来说应该是一个简单的选择。
Deciding between a major cryptocurrency like Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) and a meme coin like Shiba Inu (CRYPTO:SHIB) should be an easy choice for most investors. But, for whatever reason, the temptation of going for the higher-risk play lives eternal, and with it, the chance of allocating your capital inefficiently.
在以太坊(Crypto:ETH)等主要加密货币与像Shiba Inu(Crypto:Shib)这样的模因硬币等主要加密货币之间,对于大多数投资者来说,应该是一个简单的选择。但是,无论出于何种原因,要争取高风险游戏的诱惑永恒,并且有机会分配您的资本效率低下。
So which of these two tokens is a better place to invest $2,000 and why? Let's hash it out by looking at the most likely scenarios for each.
那么,这两个令牌中的哪个是一个更好的投资2,000美元的地方,为什么?让我们通过查看每种情况最有可能的情况来解决它。
This coin is looking a bit sleepy
这枚硬币看起来有点困
It hasn't been an easy time to hold Ethereum, even though it's one of the largest and most serious cryptocurrency chains out there, with a market cap of about $400 billion. Its price was up a mere 6.6% during the past six months, and the chain is undergoing a shakeup of its senior leadership to focus more on technical capabilities as well as expanding its project ecosystem.
即使是最大,最严重的加密货币连锁店之一,市场上限约为4000亿美元,这并不是一个容易的时间。在过去的六个月中,它的价格仅上涨了6.6%,该连锁店正在对其高级领导层进行改动,以更多地关注技术能力以及扩大其项目生态系统。
The chain's long-standing challenges, like high gas (user) fees, slow transaction times, and the need for a fairly technical background to do much of anything with its smart contracts and other features, remain almost as difficult as they have ever been. That means those long-standing headwinds to adoption are still blustering. During the next couple of years, however, the new management team could potentially make some headway on these issues.
连锁店长期存在的挑战,例如高气(用户)费用,交易缓慢,以及需要相当技术的背景来使用其智能合约和其他功能做任何事情,几乎与以往一样困难。这意味着那些长期以来收养的逆风仍然令人震惊。但是,在接下来的几年中,新的管理团队可能会在这些问题上取得进展。
At the same time, the crypto has a few potential tailwinds. With the recent approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding Ethereum alone, as well as ETFs with Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies, the chain is exposed to inflows of new capital from the traditional financial sector, which could be a driver for higher prices in the long term. What's more, with the new Trump administration likely to take a pro-cryptocurrency stance, the Securities and Exchange Commission may adopt favorable policies for the chain's growth.
同时,加密货币有一些潜在的尾风。随着最近仅持有以太坊的交易所交易基金(ETF)以及具有以太坊和其他主要加密货币的ETF的批准,该链条暴露于传统金融领域的新资本流入,这可能是更高价格的驱动力从长远来看。更重要的是,随着新的特朗普政府可能会采取亲密货币立场,美国证券交易委员会可能会采取有利的政策来实现该连锁店的增长。
So, while Ethereum isn't exactly ascendant right now, it's far from failing, and there's ample reason to be optimistic about its price rising during the coming years.
因此,尽管以太坊目前还不是完全上升,但它远非失败,并且有充分的理由对未来几年的价格上涨保持乐观。
Even when one coin is limping, there's no contest here
即使一枚硬币在lim绳,这里也没有比赛
Up 75% during the past 12 months, Shiba Inu is a meme coin that's making real money for some of its investors. There's no way that trend will ever change, right, so it's obviously a better purchase than Ethereum?
在过去的12个月中上涨了75%,Shiba Inu是一种模因硬币,为其一些投资者赚钱。正确的趋势将永远不会改变,所以这显然比以太坊更好吗?
Don't be so sure, because the percentage gain figure doesn't tell much of the story here. If you bought Shiba Inu in early March 2024, right when its price was surging, you'd have lost more than half of your money within five months. If you are like most investors, you would have then sold your tokens at a loss, thereby missing the coin's recovery to its current price level — where you'd still be deeply underwater. Worse, once again if you are like most investors, you'd be tempted to buy back in when the price starts to surge in the near future, only to see the value fall out from under it once again, in all probability.
别确定,因为在这里,百分比增益数字不能说明故事的太多。如果您在2024年3月初购买了Shiba Inu,就在其价格上涨时,您将在五个月内损失一半以上的钱。如果您像大多数投资者一样,然后您会亏本出售您的代币,从而丢失硬币的回收率到当前的价格水平 - 您仍然会在水下深处。更糟糕的是,如果您像大多数投资者一样,您很可能会很可能会在不久的将来开始上涨时回购,只是看到价值再次从其下方掉下来。
More important than its short-term price action, the most difficult thing about investing in Shiba Inu is that there isn't really an investment thesis for why the coin should go up (or down) over time. While it's true that it's correlated to the price of Ethereum, that isn't a reason to buy Shiba Inu in and of itself, as many other assets share similar correlations, especially if they're coins hosted on Ethereum's network, as Shiba Inu is.
比其短期价格行动更重要的是,投资于什巴INU的最困难的事情是,对于为什么硬币随着时间的推移应该上升(或下降)并没有真正的投资论文。虽然确实与以太坊的价格相关联,但这并不是购买shiba inu本身的原因,因为许多其他资产具有相似的相关性,尤其是当它们是在以太坊网络上托管的硬币时,因为shiba inu是shiba inu是。
It's hard to imagine why someone would invest in this coin, except in hopes that it someday goes to the moon. But without a real catalyst in store that's specific to the coin and not cryptocurrency as a whole, there simply isn't much reason to invest in this crypto, except out of a misplaced fear of missing out (FOMO).
很难想象为什么有人会投资于这枚硬币,除非希望有一天会登月。但是,如果没有针对硬币的真正催化剂,而不是整个加密货币,那么根本没有太多理由投资于该加密货币,除了放错了害怕错过的地方(FOMO)。
Turn this story on its head. Rather than being afraid of missing out on big gains with Shiba Inu, be afraid of taking on the significant risks that it entails as a meme coin. Within that framework, Ethereum is (again) obviously the better place to invest $2,000, as there's a vastly lower chance of ending up with $1,000 or less just a few months after your purchase.
把这个故事戴上。不用害怕错过什叶派伊努(Shiba Inu)的巨大收益,而要害怕承担其作为模因硬币所带来的重大风险。在该框架内,以太坊显然是投资2,000美元的更好的地方,因为购买后几个月的机会就会以$ 1,000或更短的价格结束。
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