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在以太坊(ETH 6.61%)等主要加密貨幣和像shiba Inu這樣的模因硬幣(6.42%)之間的決定對於大多數投資者來說應該是一個簡單的選擇。
Deciding between a major cryptocurrency like Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) and a meme coin like Shiba Inu (CRYPTO:SHIB) should be an easy choice for most investors. But, for whatever reason, the temptation of going for the higher-risk play lives eternal, and with it, the chance of allocating your capital inefficiently.
在以太坊(Crypto:ETH)等主要加密貨幣與像Shiba Inu(Crypto:Shib)這樣的模因硬幣等主要加密貨幣之間,對於大多數投資者來說,應該是一個簡單的選擇。但是,無論出於何種原因,要爭取高風險遊戲的誘惑永恆,並且有機會分配您的資本效率低下。
So which of these two tokens is a better place to invest $2,000 and why? Let's hash it out by looking at the most likely scenarios for each.
那麼,這兩個令牌中的哪個是一個更好的投資2,000美元的地方,為什麼?讓我們通過查看每種情況最有可能的情況來解決它。
This coin is looking a bit sleepy
這枚硬幣看起來有點困
It hasn't been an easy time to hold Ethereum, even though it's one of the largest and most serious cryptocurrency chains out there, with a market cap of about $400 billion. Its price was up a mere 6.6% during the past six months, and the chain is undergoing a shakeup of its senior leadership to focus more on technical capabilities as well as expanding its project ecosystem.
即使是最大,最嚴重的加密貨幣連鎖店之一,市場上限約為4000億美元,這並不是一個容易的時間。在過去的六個月中,它的價格僅上漲了6.6%,該連鎖店正在對其高級領導層進行改動,以更多地關注技術能力以及擴大其項目生態系統。
The chain's long-standing challenges, like high gas (user) fees, slow transaction times, and the need for a fairly technical background to do much of anything with its smart contracts and other features, remain almost as difficult as they have ever been. That means those long-standing headwinds to adoption are still blustering. During the next couple of years, however, the new management team could potentially make some headway on these issues.
連鎖店長期存在的挑戰,例如高氣(用戶)費用,交易緩慢,以及需要相當技術的背景來使用其智能合約和其他功能做任何事情,幾乎與以往一樣困難。這意味著那些長期以來收養的逆風仍然令人震驚。但是,在接下來的幾年中,新的管理團隊可能會在這些問題上取得進展。
At the same time, the crypto has a few potential tailwinds. With the recent approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding Ethereum alone, as well as ETFs with Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies, the chain is exposed to inflows of new capital from the traditional financial sector, which could be a driver for higher prices in the long term. What's more, with the new Trump administration likely to take a pro-cryptocurrency stance, the Securities and Exchange Commission may adopt favorable policies for the chain's growth.
同時,加密貨幣有一些潛在的尾風。隨著最近僅持有以太坊的交易所交易基金(ETF)以及具有以太坊和其他主要加密貨幣的ETF的批准,該鏈條暴露於傳統金融領域的新資本流入,這可能是更高價格的驅動力從長遠來看。更重要的是,隨著新的特朗普政府可能會採取親密貨幣立場,美國證券交易委員會可能會採取有利的政策來實現該連鎖店的增長。
So, while Ethereum isn't exactly ascendant right now, it's far from failing, and there's ample reason to be optimistic about its price rising during the coming years.
因此,儘管以太坊目前還不是完全上升,但它遠非失敗,並且有充分的理由對未來幾年的價格上漲保持樂觀。
Even when one coin is limping, there's no contest here
即使一枚硬幣在lim繩,這裡也沒有比賽
Up 75% during the past 12 months, Shiba Inu is a meme coin that's making real money for some of its investors. There's no way that trend will ever change, right, so it's obviously a better purchase than Ethereum?
在過去的12個月中上漲了75%,Shiba Inu是一種模因硬幣,為其一些投資者賺錢。正確的趨勢將永遠不會改變,所以這顯然比以太坊更好嗎?
Don't be so sure, because the percentage gain figure doesn't tell much of the story here. If you bought Shiba Inu in early March 2024, right when its price was surging, you'd have lost more than half of your money within five months. If you are like most investors, you would have then sold your tokens at a loss, thereby missing the coin's recovery to its current price level — where you'd still be deeply underwater. Worse, once again if you are like most investors, you'd be tempted to buy back in when the price starts to surge in the near future, only to see the value fall out from under it once again, in all probability.
別確定,因為在這裡,百分比增益數字不能說明故事的太多。如果您在2024年3月初購買了Shiba Inu,就在其價格上漲時,您將在五個月內損失一半以上的錢。如果您像大多數投資者一樣,然後您會虧本出售您的代幣,從而丟失硬幣的回收率到當前的價格水平 - 您仍然會在水下深處。更糟糕的是,如果您像大多數投資者一樣,您很可能會很可能會在不久的將來開始上漲時回購,只是看到價值再次從其下方掉下來。
More important than its short-term price action, the most difficult thing about investing in Shiba Inu is that there isn't really an investment thesis for why the coin should go up (or down) over time. While it's true that it's correlated to the price of Ethereum, that isn't a reason to buy Shiba Inu in and of itself, as many other assets share similar correlations, especially if they're coins hosted on Ethereum's network, as Shiba Inu is.
比其短期價格行動更重要的是,投資於什巴INU的最困難的事情是,對於為什麼硬幣隨著時間的推移應該上升(或下降)並沒有真正的投資論文。雖然確實與以太坊的價格相關聯,但這並不是購買shiba inu本身的原因,因為許多其他資產具有相似的相關性,尤其是當它們是在以太坊網絡上託管的硬幣時,因為shiba inu是shiba inu是。
It's hard to imagine why someone would invest in this coin, except in hopes that it someday goes to the moon. But without a real catalyst in store that's specific to the coin and not cryptocurrency as a whole, there simply isn't much reason to invest in this crypto, except out of a misplaced fear of missing out (FOMO).
很難想像為什麼有人會投資於這枚硬幣,除非希望有一天會登月。但是,如果沒有針對硬幣的真正催化劑,而不是整個加密貨幣,那麼根本沒有太多理由投資於該加密貨幣,除了放錯了害怕錯過的地方(FOMO)。
Turn this story on its head. Rather than being afraid of missing out on big gains with Shiba Inu, be afraid of taking on the significant risks that it entails as a meme coin. Within that framework, Ethereum is (again) obviously the better place to invest $2,000, as there's a vastly lower chance of ending up with $1,000 or less just a few months after your purchase.
把這個故事戴上。不用害怕錯過什葉派伊努(Shiba Inu)的巨大收益,而要害怕承擔其作為模因硬幣所帶來的重大風險。在該框架內,以太坊顯然是投資2,000美元的更好的地方,因為購買後幾個月的機會就會以$ 1,000或更短的價格結束。
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