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美国失业数据公布后,比特币(BTC)、以太坊(ETH)和狗狗币(DOGE)周五上午飙升。数据显示就业岗位创造下降,失业率小幅上升,引发美联储可能更快降息的猜测。较低的利率可以刺激经济活动,通常被视为加密货币的积极信号。然而,利率对加密货币的影响值得怀疑,尤其是像狗狗币这样的模因币,它们几乎没有什么用处。尽管利率上升和经济疲软的迹象,但加密货币市场的谨慎乐观情绪依然存在。
Cryptocurrency Market Soars on Unexpected Unemployment Data, Sparking Speculation and Uncertainty
意外失业数据引发加密货币市场飙升,引发投机和不确定性
After experiencing a week of downtrend, the cryptocurrency market rallied on Friday morning, fueled by an unexpected jobs report released by the U.S. Labor Department. Bitcoin (BTC) surged by 4.19%, Ethereum (ETH) gained 2.36%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) soared by 5.36% within hours of the report's release.
在经历了一周的下跌趋势后,在美国劳工部意外发布的就业报告的推动下,加密货币市场于周五上午反弹。报告发布后数小时内,比特币(BTC)飙升4.19%,以太坊(ETH)上涨2.36%,狗狗币(DOGE)飙升5.36%。
Unemployment Data Correlation
失业数据相关性
The surge in cryptocurrency values coincided precisely with the announcement of the April 2024 jobs data. While economists had anticipated the creation of 235,000 new jobs with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, the actual figures revealed a gain of 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.9%.
加密货币价值的飙升恰逢 2024 年 4 月就业数据的公布。经济学家预计新增就业岗位23.5万个,失业率为3.8%,但实际数据显示新增就业岗位17.5万个,失业率为3.9%。
This deviation from expectations has triggered speculation among market participants, many of whom believe that a weakened economy will prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more rapidly than previously expected. Current market projections foresee a potential rate cut in September, but the persistence of high inflation may hinder any rate reductions this year.
这种与预期的背离引发了市场参与者的猜测,其中许多人认为经济疲软将促使美联储比此前预期更快地降息。目前的市场预测预计九月份可能会降息,但高通胀的持续存在可能会阻碍今年的降息。
Impact of Interest Rates on Crypto
利率对加密货币的影响
However, the true impact of interest rates on the cryptocurrency market remains a subject of debate. While lower rates may stimulate economic activity, they may also contribute to speculation in the crypto realm. Conversely, higher rates can adversely affect speculative assets like Dogecoin.
然而,利率对加密货币市场的真正影响仍然是一个争论的话题。虽然较低的利率可能会刺激经济活动,但也可能会助长加密货币领域的投机行为。相反,较高的利率可能会对狗狗币等投机资产产生不利影响。
Dogecoin's Susceptibility to Economic Conditions
狗狗币对经济状况的敏感性
Analysts suggest that Dogecoin, a meme coin lacking inherent utility, is particularly vulnerable to economic downturns and rising interest rates. If individuals have less disposable income, they are less likely to invest in speculative assets like Dogecoin, potentially undermining its meme-based appeal.
分析师认为,狗狗币是一种缺乏内在效用的模因币,特别容易受到经济衰退和利率上升的影响。如果个人可支配收入较少,他们就不太可能投资像狗狗币这样的投机资产,这可能会削弱其基于模因的吸引力。
Caution Advised
建议谨慎
Despite the recent surge, experts caution investors to exercise prudence in the crypto market. While cryptocurrencies have experienced significant growth in 2024, rising interest rates and economic headwinds may pose challenges to their long-term value.
尽管最近价格飙升,但专家警告投资者在加密货币市场上保持谨慎。尽管加密货币在 2024 年经历了显着增长,但利率上升和经济逆风可能对其长期价值构成挑战。
The approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. provided a tailwind for the market, but the sustainability of this momentum hinges upon the increased utility of cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's rising cost after its halving event and Ethereum's persistent high transaction fees raise concerns about their cost-effectiveness.
比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)在美国的批准为市场提供了一股顺风,但这种势头的可持续性取决于加密货币效用的增加。比特币减半后成本上升和以太坊交易费用持续居高不下,引发了人们对其成本效益的担忧。
Conclusion
结论
The crypto market's reaction to the unemployment data underscores the complex interplay between macroeconomic factors and cryptocurrency valuations. While the correlation between interest rates and crypto prices remains uncertain, investors are advised to remain vigilant and consider adjusting their positions in anticipation of potential economic headwinds. The market's current telegraphic signals point to less favorable fundamentals for the economy, warranting caution in crypto investments.
加密货币市场对失业数据的反应凸显了宏观经济因素与加密货币估值之间复杂的相互作用。尽管利率和加密货币价格之间的相关性仍不确定,但建议投资者保持警惕,并考虑调整头寸,以应对潜在的经济阻力。市场当前的电报信号表明经济基本面不太有利,因此需要对加密货币投资保持谨慎。
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