失業意外導致加密貨幣飆升，引發不確定性和投機

美國失業數據公佈後，比特幣（BTC）、以太幣（ETH）和狗狗幣（DOGE）週五上午飆升。數據顯示就業創造下降，失業率小幅上升，引發聯準會可能更快降息的猜測。較低的利率可以刺激經濟活動，通常被視為加密貨幣的正面訊號。然而，利率對加密貨幣的影響值得懷疑，尤其是像狗狗幣這樣的迷因幣，它們幾乎沒有什麼用。儘管利率上升和經濟疲軟的跡象，但加密貨幣市場的謹慎樂觀情緒仍然存在。

Cryptocurrency Market Soars on Unexpected Unemployment Data, Sparking Speculation and Uncertainty

意外失業數據引發加密貨幣市場飆升，引發投機和不確定性

After experiencing a week of downtrend, the cryptocurrency market rallied on Friday morning, fueled by an unexpected jobs report released by the U.S. Labor Department. Bitcoin (BTC) surged by 4.19%, Ethereum (ETH) gained 2.36%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) soared by 5.36% within hours of the report's release.

在經歷了一周的下跌趨勢後，在美國勞工部意外發布的就業報告的推動下，加密貨幣市場於週五上午反彈。報告發布後幾個小時內，比特幣（BTC）飆升4.19％，以太坊（ETH）上漲2.36％，狗狗幣（DOGE）飆升5.36％。

Unemployment Data Correlation

失業數據相關性

The surge in cryptocurrency values coincided precisely with the announcement of the April 2024 jobs data. While economists had anticipated the creation of 235,000 new jobs with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, the actual figures revealed a gain of 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.9%.

加密貨幣價值的飆升恰逢 2024 年 4 月就業數據的公佈。經濟學家預期新增就業人數23.5萬個，失業率3.8%，但實際數據顯示新增就業17.5萬個，失業率為3.9%。

This deviation from expectations has triggered speculation among market participants, many of whom believe that a weakened economy will prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more rapidly than previously expected. Current market projections foresee a potential rate cut in September, but the persistence of high inflation may hinder any rate reductions this year.

這種與預期的背離引發了市場參與者的猜測，其中許多人認為經濟疲軟將促使聯準會比先前預期更快降息。目前的市場預測預計九月可能會降息，但高通膨的持續存在可能會阻礙今年的降息。

Impact of Interest Rates on Crypto

利率對加密貨幣的影響

However, the true impact of interest rates on the cryptocurrency market remains a subject of debate. While lower rates may stimulate economic activity, they may also contribute to speculation in the crypto realm. Conversely, higher rates can adversely affect speculative assets like Dogecoin.

然而，利率對加密貨幣市場的真正影響仍然是一個爭論的話題。雖然較低的利率可能會刺激經濟活動，但也可能助長加密貨幣領域的投機行為。相反，較高的利率可能會對狗狗幣等投機資產產生不利影響。

Dogecoin's Susceptibility to Economic Conditions

狗狗幣對經濟狀況的敏感性

Analysts suggest that Dogecoin, a meme coin lacking inherent utility, is particularly vulnerable to economic downturns and rising interest rates. If individuals have less disposable income, they are less likely to invest in speculative assets like Dogecoin, potentially undermining its meme-based appeal.

分析師認為，狗狗幣是一種缺乏內在效用的迷因幣，特別容易受到經濟衰退和利率上升的影響。如果個人可支配收入較少，他們就不太可能投資像狗狗幣這樣的投機資產，這可能會削弱其基於迷因的吸引力。

Caution Advised

建議謹慎

Despite the recent surge, experts caution investors to exercise prudence in the crypto market. While cryptocurrencies have experienced significant growth in 2024, rising interest rates and economic headwinds may pose challenges to their long-term value.

儘管最近價格飆升，但專家警告投資者在加密貨幣市場上保持謹慎。儘管加密貨幣在 2024 年經歷了顯著增長，但利率上升和經濟逆風可能對其長期價值構成挑戰。

The approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. provided a tailwind for the market, but the sustainability of this momentum hinges upon the increased utility of cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's rising cost after its halving event and Ethereum's persistent high transaction fees raise concerns about their cost-effectiveness.

比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）在美國的批准為市場提供了一股順風，但這種勢頭的可持續性取決於加密貨幣效用的增加。比特幣減半後成本上升和以太坊交易費用持續居高不下，引發了人們對其成本效益的擔憂。

Conclusion

結論

The crypto market's reaction to the unemployment data underscores the complex interplay between macroeconomic factors and cryptocurrency valuations. While the correlation between interest rates and crypto prices remains uncertain, investors are advised to remain vigilant and consider adjusting their positions in anticipation of potential economic headwinds. The market's current telegraphic signals point to less favorable fundamentals for the economy, warranting caution in crypto investments.

加密貨幣市場對失業數據的反應凸顯了宏觀經濟因素與加密貨幣估值之間的複雜交互作用。儘管利率和加密貨幣價格之間的相關性仍不確定，但建議投資者保持警惕，並考慮調整頭寸，以應對潛在的經濟阻力。市場目前的電報訊號顯示經濟基本面較不利，因此需要對加密貨幣投資保持謹慎。