加密市场正在动摇，XRP在前线上找到了自己。

在技​​术不稳定阶段之后，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新的海关税，情况恶化了

After a phase of technical fragility, the situation has deteriorated with the announcement of new customs duties by Donald Trump on car imports. A double blow, amplified by the decline in expectations for monetary easing from the Fed. In this uncertain climate, analysts fear a 40 % drop, which threatens to plunge XRP into a downward spiral.

经过一段技术脆弱的阶段，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新习俗的税率，这种情况恶化了。双重打击，对美联储减少货币宽松的期望下降。在这种不确定的气候下，分析师害怕40％的跌幅，这有可能将XRP撞到螺旋中。

Between alarming technical signals and macroeconomic tensions, the market is holding its breath.

在令人震惊的技术信号和宏观经济紧张局势之间，市场屏住呼吸。

A bearish configuration that alarms analysts

看跌的配置，使分析师警告

看跌的配置，使分析师警告

Since its rally at the end of 2024, XRP has displayed a critical technical configuration on its weekly chart. Analysts are observing the formation of a descending triangle, a pattern often interpreted as a bearish continuation signal. If the crypto fails to defend its current support, a sharp drop could ensue.

自2024年底集会以来，XRP在其每周图表上显示了重要的技术配置。分析师正在观察降降三角形的形成，这种模式通常被解释为看跌的持续信号。如果加密货币未能捍卫其目前的支持，可能会急剧下降。

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also sounded the alarm. He highlights the presence of a head and shoulders pattern on XRP’s daily chart.

资深商人彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）也发出了警报。他强调了XRP每日图表上的头部和肩膀图案的存在。

He stated on platform X (formerly Twitter) on March 26, 2025:

他于2025年3月26日在X平台（以前为Twitter）上说：

“This configuration is a classic example of a trend reversal, suggesting a drop to $1.07 if the key supports do not hold.”

“这种配置是趋势逆转的经典示例，如果钥匙支持不持有，则表明跌至1.07美元。”

The technical signals are concerning:

技术信号是关于：

* After a bullish rally that began in December 2024, XRP encountered resistance at $2.08, the level tested in January and February 2025.

*在2024年12月开始的看涨集会之后，XRP遇到了2.08美元的抵抗，该水平在2025年1月和2月进行了测试。

* Despite attempts to break through this zone, selling pressure remained strong, eventually leading to a breakout of the rising support at $1.50.

*尽管试图突破这一区域，但销售压力仍然很大，最终导致支持的上升幅度为1.50美元。

* A decisive closure below this support could open the way for a continuation of the decline.

*在此支持下方的决定性封闭可能为继续下降的延续开辟了道路。

* The next relevant support to watch is at $1.32, an area that could limit the scope of the decline. However, a breakout of this level could trigger a cascade of sell orders and propel XRP towards $1.07.

*观看的下一个相关支持为1.32美元，该区域可能会限制下降的范围。但是，此级别的突破可能会触发一系列卖出订单，并将XRP推向1.07美元。

Beyond the simple charts, this decline is also fueled by a broader context of investor caution. The market seems hesitant in the face of an uncertain environment where the most volatile cryptos struggle to attract new capital.

除了简单的图表之外，这一下降也受到了更广泛的投资者谨慎的影响。面对不确定的环境，最动荡的加密货币努力吸引新资本的环境似乎犹豫不决。

Macroeconomic tensions exacerbate panic sentiment

宏观经济紧张加剧了惊恐情绪

宏观经济紧张加剧了惊恐情绪

The technical pressure on XRP does not only come from the charts. Indeed, Donald Trump’s economic decisions add a major destabilizing element to the equation.

XRP的技术压力不仅来自图表。确实，唐纳德·特朗普的经济决定为方程式增加了一个主要的不稳定因素。

The American president announced 25 % taxes on car imports, a measure that will take effect on April 3. This decision, perceived as inflationary, disrupts investors’ expectations regarding the Fed’s monetary policy.

美国总统宣布对汽车进口的25％税，这一措施将于4月3日生效。这一决定被认为是通货膨胀，破坏了投资者对美联储货币政策的期望。

Alberto Musalem, president of the St. Louis Fed, emphasizes that these taxes could add “up to 1.2 percentage points to inflation,” making a rate cut in June less likely.

圣路易斯美联储总裁Alberto Musalem强调，这些税款可能会增加通货膨胀的1.2个百分点，从而使6月的降低降低的可能性降低了。

The market, which anticipated a more accommodative monetary policy just a few weeks ago, is now revising its forecasts. Moreover, the probability of a rate reduction has dropped to 55.7 %, down from 67.3 % the previous week. This situation limits capital flows towards risky assets, including cryptos.

该市场预计几周前会有更宽松的货币政策，现在正在修改其预测。此外，降低利率的可能性已降至55.7％，低于上周的67.3％。这种情况限制了资本流向包括加密在内的风险资产。

XRP and the crypto market in general are suffering from an unfavorable macroeconomic environment, where investor caution prevails. If this trend continues, the crypto could see its bullish momentum compromised for several months.

XRP和加密市场总体上正遭受不利的宏观经济环境，投资者的谨慎胜诉。如果这种趋势持续下去，加密货币可能会看到其看涨的势头损害了几个月。

The evolution of XRP in the coming weeks will depend on two key elements: the holding of its technical support and the upcoming announcements from the Federal Reserve. If the price breaks down, a scenario at $1.32 or even $1.07 seems plausible. Conversely, a rebound from current levels could provide fresh momentum to the asset, with a bullish target set around $2.55.

XRP在接下来的几周内的演变将取决于两个关键要素：持有其技术支持以及联邦储备的即将发布。如果价格分解，则可能是1.32美元甚至1.07美元的情况。相反，当前水平的反弹可以为资产提供新的动力，而看涨的目标设定为2.55美元。

Investors will also closely monitor the impact of tariff regulations on the American economy and signals sent by the Fed. A deterioration in the economic climate could heighten caution on risky assets, thereby increasing selling pressure on XRP. Conversely, a return to a more flexible monetary policy could allow cryptos to rise again. The market is playing a tight game, where every event can shift the trend.

投资者还将密切监视关税法规对美国经济和美联储发送的信号的影响。经济气候的恶化可能会加剧风险资产的谨慎，从而增加XRP的销售压力。相反，返回更灵活的货币政策可以使加密货币再次上升。市场正在玩紧密的游戏，每个事件都可以改变趋势。