比特币（BTC）本周可能会低于80,000美元

根据数字资产研究公司10倍研究。在最近对X的市场更新中，该公司将对美国关税和通货膨胀率上升的不确定性越来越确定为关键风险因素

Digital assets research firm 10x Research sees Bitcoin (BTC) falling below $80,000 this week amid several pressing macroeconomic risks, beginning with U.S. tariffs and hot inflation.

数字资产研究公司10X研究将比特币（BTC）本周低于80,000美元，而宏观经济风险从美国的关税和热气通货膨胀开始。

In a recent market update on X, the firm cited several key risk factors that could push Bitcoin and broader financial markets lower.

在最近对X的市场更新中，该公司引用了几个关键的风险因素，这些风险因素可能会推动比特币和更广泛的金融市场。

Hotter-Than-Expected Inflation Data Weighs on SentimentThe report mentioned that hotter-than-expected U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures data continues to suggest that inflation remains a pressing concern.

高于预期的通货膨胀数据对态度的报告提到，比预期的核心个人消费支出更热，数据继续表明，通货膨胀仍然令人担忧。

This is especially pertinent as the Federal Reserve closely monitors core PCE to gauge the underlying price trends in the economy.

这尤其相关，因为美联储密切监视核心PCE来评估经济的基本价格趋势。

Moreover, shifting rhetoric from former U.S. President Donald Trump on tariffs has introduced an element of uncertainty.

此外，美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）对关税的言论引入了不确定性。

Trump's pronouncements on imposing or lifting tariffs on goods traded between the U.S. and China have sparked fears that aggressive trade policies could strain economic sentiment and ultimately push markets lower.

特朗普对美国和中国之间交易商品的关税的说法引发了人们的担忧，即积极进取的贸易政策可能会损害经济情绪并最终推动市场降低。

"The Bitcoin rebound over the past 3 weeks has faltered, as hotter-than-expected core PCE data signaled rising inflation—driven in part by Trump’s tariff implementation— which appears to be weighing on consumer sentiment and spending habits," the report stated.

报告说：“过去三周中的比特币反弹动摇了，因为比预期的核心PCE数据表明通货膨胀率上升，这部分是由于特朗普的关税实施 - 这似乎在于消费者的情绪和消费习惯。”

Weak PMI Data Could Amplify Risk AversionIf the upcoming U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI data comes in weaker than expected, risk aversion could intensify.

如果即将到来的美国ISM制造PMI数据弱的PMI数据可能会扩大风险厌恶，这比预期的弱，风险规避可能会加剧。

This would likely spill over into the cryptocurrency market, putting further downward pressure on Bitcoin.

这很可能会溢出到加密货币市场，从而对比特币施加了进一步的向下压力。

The report also noted that strong employment data may buy the Federal Reserve more time before intervening.

该报告还指出，强有力的就业数据可能会在干预之前购买更多的时间。

"The strong jobs market may delay any Fed action to reduce interest rates or introduce quantitative easing (QE) measures, which could be relevant for markets hoping for a rebound."

“强大的就业市场可能会推迟任何美联储降低利率或引入定量宽松（QE）措施的行动，这可能与希望反弹的市场有关。”

However, despite these risks, 10x Research noted that market volatility remains subdued, with the VIX at low levels.

但是，尽管有这些风险，但10倍研究指出，市场波动仍然不足，VIX处于低水平。

This suggests that traders may be underestimating the potential for further downside, especially as macroeconomic pressures threaten to push markets lower.

这表明，交易者可能会低估进一步缺点的潜力，尤其是宏观经济压力威胁到降低市场。

"The market volatility remains low, with the VIX at low levels. But given the multiple risk-off catalysts emerging, including hot inflation data and Trump’s comments on tariffs, traders may be underestimating the potential for further downside."

“市场波动率仍然很低，VIX处于低水平。但是，鉴于出现了多重的冒险催化剂，包括热通货膨胀数据和特朗普对关税的评论，交易者可能会低估进一步的下跌潜力。”

With several risk-off catalysts in play, Bitcoin’s recent rebound appears fragile. If macroeconomic pressures persist, BTC could face further declines in the coming days.

随着几种冒险催化剂的作用，比特币最近的反弹似乎很脆弱。如果宏观经济压力持续存在，BTC可能会在未来几天面临进一步的下降。