比特幣（BTC）本周可能會低於80,000美元

根據數字資產研究公司10倍研究。在最近對X的市場更新中，該公司將對美國關稅和通貨膨脹率上升的不確定性越來越確定為關鍵風險因素

Digital assets research firm 10x Research sees Bitcoin (BTC) falling below $80,000 this week amid several pressing macroeconomic risks, beginning with U.S. tariffs and hot inflation.

數字資產研究公司10X研究將比特幣（BTC）本週低於80,000美元，而宏觀經濟風險從美國的關稅和熱氣通貨膨脹開始。

In a recent market update on X, the firm cited several key risk factors that could push Bitcoin and broader financial markets lower.

在最近對X的市場更新中，該公司引用了幾個關鍵的風險因素，這些風險因素可能會推動比特幣和更廣泛的金融市場。

Hotter-Than-Expected Inflation Data Weighs on SentimentThe report mentioned that hotter-than-expected U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures data continues to suggest that inflation remains a pressing concern.

高於預期的通貨膨脹數據對態度的報告提到，比預期的核心個人消費支出更熱，數據繼續表明，通貨膨脹仍然令人擔憂。

This is especially pertinent as the Federal Reserve closely monitors core PCE to gauge the underlying price trends in the economy.

這尤其相關，因為美聯儲密切監視核心PCE來評估經濟的基本價格趨勢。

Moreover, shifting rhetoric from former U.S. President Donald Trump on tariffs has introduced an element of uncertainty.

此外，美國前總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對關稅的言論引入了不確定性。

Trump's pronouncements on imposing or lifting tariffs on goods traded between the U.S. and China have sparked fears that aggressive trade policies could strain economic sentiment and ultimately push markets lower.

特朗普對美國和中國之間交易商品的關稅的說法引發了人們的擔憂，即積極進取的貿易政策可能會損害經濟情緒並最終推動市場降低。

"The Bitcoin rebound over the past 3 weeks has faltered, as hotter-than-expected core PCE data signaled rising inflation—driven in part by Trump’s tariff implementation— which appears to be weighing on consumer sentiment and spending habits," the report stated.

報告說：“過去三周中的比特幣反彈動搖了，因為比預期的核心PCE數據表明通貨膨脹率上升，這部分是由於特朗普的關稅實施 - 這似乎在於消費者的情緒和消費習慣。”

Weak PMI Data Could Amplify Risk AversionIf the upcoming U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI data comes in weaker than expected, risk aversion could intensify.

如果即將到來的美國ISM製造PMI數據弱的PMI數據可能會擴大風險厭惡，這比預期的弱，風險規避可能會加劇。

This would likely spill over into the cryptocurrency market, putting further downward pressure on Bitcoin.

這很可能會溢出到加密貨幣市場，從而對比特幣施加了進一步的向下壓力。

The report also noted that strong employment data may buy the Federal Reserve more time before intervening.

該報告還指出，強有力的就業數據可能會在干預之前購買更多的時間。

"The strong jobs market may delay any Fed action to reduce interest rates or introduce quantitative easing (QE) measures, which could be relevant for markets hoping for a rebound."

“強大的就業市場可能會推遲任何美聯儲降低利率或引入定量寬鬆（QE）措施的行動，這可能與希望反彈的市場有關。”

However, despite these risks, 10x Research noted that market volatility remains subdued, with the VIX at low levels.

但是，儘管有這些風險，但10倍研究指出，市場波動仍然不足，VIX處於低水平。

This suggests that traders may be underestimating the potential for further downside, especially as macroeconomic pressures threaten to push markets lower.

這表明，交易者可能會低估進一步缺點的潛力，尤其是宏觀經濟壓力威脅到降低市場。

"The market volatility remains low, with the VIX at low levels. But given the multiple risk-off catalysts emerging, including hot inflation data and Trump’s comments on tariffs, traders may be underestimating the potential for further downside."

“市場波動率仍然很低，VIX處於低水平。但是，鑑於出現了多重的冒險催化劑，包括熱通貨膨脹數據和特朗普對關稅的評論，交易者可能會低估進一步的下跌潛力。”

With several risk-off catalysts in play, Bitcoin’s recent rebound appears fragile. If macroeconomic pressures persist, BTC could face further declines in the coming days.

隨著幾種冒險催化劑的作用，比特幣最近的反彈似乎很脆弱。如果宏觀經濟壓力持續存在，BTC可能會在未來幾天面臨進一步的下降。