加密市場正在動搖，XRP在前線上找到了自己。

在技​​術不穩定階段之後，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新的海關稅，情況惡化了

After a phase of technical fragility, the situation has deteriorated with the announcement of new customs duties by Donald Trump on car imports. A double blow, amplified by the decline in expectations for monetary easing from the Fed. In this uncertain climate, analysts fear a 40 % drop, which threatens to plunge XRP into a downward spiral.

經過一段技術脆弱的階段，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新習俗的稅率，這種情況惡化了。雙重打擊，對美聯儲減少貨幣寬鬆的期望下降。在這種不確定的氣候下，分析師害怕40％的跌幅，這有可能將XRP撞到螺旋中。

Between alarming technical signals and macroeconomic tensions, the market is holding its breath.

在令人震驚的技術信號和宏觀經濟緊張局勢之間，市場屏住呼吸。

A bearish configuration that alarms analysts

看跌的配置，使分析師警告

看跌的配置，使分析師警告

Since its rally at the end of 2024, XRP has displayed a critical technical configuration on its weekly chart. Analysts are observing the formation of a descending triangle, a pattern often interpreted as a bearish continuation signal. If the crypto fails to defend its current support, a sharp drop could ensue.

自2024年底集會以來，XRP在其每週圖表上顯示了重要的技術配置。分析師正在觀察降降三角形的形成，這種模式通常被解釋為看跌的持續信號。如果加密貨幣未能捍衛其目前的支持，可能會急劇下降。

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also sounded the alarm. He highlights the presence of a head and shoulders pattern on XRP’s daily chart.

資深商人彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）也發出了警報。他強調了XRP每日圖表上的頭部和肩膀圖案的存在。

He stated on platform X (formerly Twitter) on March 26, 2025:

他於2025年3月26日在X平台（以前為Twitter）上說：

“This configuration is a classic example of a trend reversal, suggesting a drop to $1.07 if the key supports do not hold.”

“這種配置是趨勢逆轉的經典示例，如果鑰匙支持不持有，則表明跌至1.07美元。”

The technical signals are concerning:

技術信號是關於：

* After a bullish rally that began in December 2024, XRP encountered resistance at $2.08, the level tested in January and February 2025.

*在2024年12月開始的看漲集會之後，XRP遇到了2.08美元的抵抗，該水平在2025年1月和2月進行了測試。

* Despite attempts to break through this zone, selling pressure remained strong, eventually leading to a breakout of the rising support at $1.50.

*儘管試圖突破這一區域，但銷售壓力仍然很大，最終導致支持的上升幅度為1.50美元。

* A decisive closure below this support could open the way for a continuation of the decline.

*在此支持下方的決定性封閉可能為繼續下降的延續開闢了道路。

* The next relevant support to watch is at $1.32, an area that could limit the scope of the decline. However, a breakout of this level could trigger a cascade of sell orders and propel XRP towards $1.07.

*觀看的下一個相關支持為1.32美元，該區域可能會限制下降的範圍。但是，此級別的突破可能會觸發一系列賣出訂單，並將XRP推向1.07美元。

Beyond the simple charts, this decline is also fueled by a broader context of investor caution. The market seems hesitant in the face of an uncertain environment where the most volatile cryptos struggle to attract new capital.

除了簡單的圖表之外，這一下降也受到了更廣泛的投資者謹慎的影響。面對不確定的環境，最動蕩的加密貨幣努力吸引新資本的環境似乎猶豫不決。

Macroeconomic tensions exacerbate panic sentiment

宏觀經濟緊張加劇了驚恐情緒

宏觀經濟緊張加劇了驚恐情緒

The technical pressure on XRP does not only come from the charts. Indeed, Donald Trump’s economic decisions add a major destabilizing element to the equation.

XRP的技術壓力不僅來自圖表。確實，唐納德·特朗普的經濟決定為方程式增加了一個主要的不穩定因素。

The American president announced 25 % taxes on car imports, a measure that will take effect on April 3. This decision, perceived as inflationary, disrupts investors’ expectations regarding the Fed’s monetary policy.

美國總統宣布對汽車進口的25％稅，這一措施將於4月3日生效。這一決定被認為是通貨膨脹，破壞了投資者對美聯儲貨幣政策的期望。

Alberto Musalem, president of the St. Louis Fed, emphasizes that these taxes could add “up to 1.2 percentage points to inflation,” making a rate cut in June less likely.

聖路易斯美聯儲總裁Alberto Musalem強調，這些稅款可能會增加通貨膨脹的1.2個百分點，從而使6月的降低降低的可能性降低了。

The market, which anticipated a more accommodative monetary policy just a few weeks ago, is now revising its forecasts. Moreover, the probability of a rate reduction has dropped to 55.7 %, down from 67.3 % the previous week. This situation limits capital flows towards risky assets, including cryptos.

該市場預計幾週前會有更寬鬆的貨幣政策，現在正在修改其預測。此外，降低利率的可能性已降至55.7％，低於上週的67.3％。這種情況限制了資本流向包括加密在內的風險資產。

XRP and the crypto market in general are suffering from an unfavorable macroeconomic environment, where investor caution prevails. If this trend continues, the crypto could see its bullish momentum compromised for several months.

XRP和加密市場總體上正遭受不利的宏觀經濟環境，投資者的謹慎勝訴。如果這種趨勢持續下去，加密貨幣可能會看到其看漲的勢頭損害了幾個月。

The evolution of XRP in the coming weeks will depend on two key elements: the holding of its technical support and the upcoming announcements from the Federal Reserve. If the price breaks down, a scenario at $1.32 or even $1.07 seems plausible. Conversely, a rebound from current levels could provide fresh momentum to the asset, with a bullish target set around $2.55.

XRP在接下來的幾週內的演變將取決於兩個關鍵要素：持有其技術支持以及聯邦儲備的即將發布。如果價格分解，則可能是1.32美元甚至1.07美元的情況。相反，當前水平的反彈可以為資產提供新的動力，而看漲的目標設定為2.55美元。

Investors will also closely monitor the impact of tariff regulations on the American economy and signals sent by the Fed. A deterioration in the economic climate could heighten caution on risky assets, thereby increasing selling pressure on XRP. Conversely, a return to a more flexible monetary policy could allow cryptos to rise again. The market is playing a tight game, where every event can shift the trend.

投資者還將密切監視關稅法規對美國經濟和美聯儲發送的信號的影響。經濟氣候的惡化可能會加劇風險資產的謹慎，從而增加XRP的銷售壓力。相反，返回更靈活的貨幣政策可以使加密貨幣再次上升。市場正在玩緊密的遊戲，每個事件都可以改變趨勢。