加密市场滑倒，尽管喂养QT上升了几率

加密货币市场在FOMC决定之前的恐惧区停滞在20个恐惧区域，因此处于边缘状态。比特币（BTC）下跌低于$ 84,000

The crypto market remained on edge as the fear and greed index stalled at the fear zone of 20 ahead of the FOMC decision. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $84,000, while Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) were little changed. So, what is the outlook of these coins as the odds that the Fed will end QT in May rose to 100%?

加密货币市场在FOMC决定之前的恐惧区停滞在20个恐惧区域，因此处于边缘状态。比特币（BTC）跌至84,000美元以下，而以太坊（ETH）和Ripple（XRP）几乎没有改变。那么，这些硬币的前景是什么，因为美联储在5月份结束QT的几率上升到100％？

BTC, ETH, and XRP prices will be in the focus this week as the FOMC delivers its interest rate decision. This will be a crucial meeting because it comes a week after data showed that US CPI dropped in February, while Donald Trump has embarked on a tariff strategy that risks plunging the US into a recession.

BTC，ETH和XRP价格将在本周关注，因为FOMC提供了其利率决策。这将是一场至关重要的会议，因为数据显示美国CPI在2月份下降了一周，而唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）则采取了一项关税策略，该策略有可能使美国陷入衰退。

One major change the Fed is expected to make by May is to end its quantitative tightening or QT. A PolyMarket poll estimates that the Fed will end QT in May. These odds have risen to 100%.

预计在5月之前将做出的一个主要变化是结束其定量拧紧或QT。 Polymarket民意调查估计，美联储将在5月结束QT。这些赔率已上升至100％。

QT is a process where the Fed reduces the size of its balance sheet. As shown below, its assets have dropped from almost $9 trillion in 2022 to $6.7 trillion today. Ending QT, and possibly implementing quantitative easing would be a positive thing for risky assets like crypto and stocks.

QT是一个过程，即美联储减少其资产负债表的大小。如下所示，其资产已从2022年的近9万亿美元下降到了今天的6.7万亿美元。对于加密和股票等风险资产，结束QT并可能实施定量宽松是一件积极的事情。

For this week’s meeting, analysts expect the bank to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50% as it observes the state of the economy.

在本周的会议上，分析师预计，该银行将在观察到经济状况时将利率保持不变，为4.50％。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

比特币价格技术分析

Bitcoin price has failed to move above the crucial resistance level at $85,000, a sign that demand is still weak. It remains below the important support at $89,000, the neckline of the double-top pattern at $108,3000.

比特币价格未能以85,000美元的价格移至关键阻力水平，这表明需求仍然很弱。它仍然以89,000美元的价格低于重要的支持，这是双顶图案的领口，为108,3000美元。

BTC price has also formed a death cross as the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages crossed each other. It has also formed a rounded top pattern, pointing to more downside, potentially to the support at $74,035, the highest swing in March last year. A move above $85,000 and $89,000 will invalidate the bearish Bitcoin price forecast.

BTC价格还形成了死亡十字架，因为50天和200天的加权移动平均值相互交叉。它还形成了圆形的顶级图案，指出更不利的一面，潜在的支持为74,035美元，是去年3月的最高挥杆。超过$ 85,000和89,000美元的搬迁将使看跌比特币价格预测无效。

ETH Price Technical Analysis

ETH价格技术分析

Ethereum price has plunged in the past few months. It recently crashed below the key support at $2,115, the lowest swing in August last year. The coin is now forming a bearish pennant pattern, a popular continuation sign. ETH price remains below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

在过去的几个月中，以太坊价格跌幅。最近，它以2,115美元的价格坠毁，这是去年八月的最低秋千。硬币现在正在形成一个看跌的五角旗模式，这是一个流行的延续标志。 ETH价格仍低于50天和200天的移动平均值。

Therefore, the bearish pennant pattern points to more downside, potentially to $1,762, the lowest swing this year. This view will become invalid if it rises above $2,115.

因此，看跌五角旗的模式指出了更多的缺点，可能是今年最低的秋千1,762美元。如果上涨高于$ 2,115，这种观点将无效。

XRP Price Technical Analysis

XRP价格技术分析

The XRP price has bounced back to nearly $2.5 after bottoming at $1.9447 last week. The bottom point was the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, one of the most bearish signs in the market.

XRP价格上周的底部下降至1.9447美元后，XRP价格已返回近2.5美元。最重要的是头和肩膀的颈线，这是市场上最看跌的标志之一。

Ripple has found a strong support at the 50-day moving average, which it needs to cross. It also needs to rebound above the shoulders at $3 to invalidate the H&S pattern.

Ripple在50天的移动平均水平上找到了强大的支持，需要越过。它还需要以$ 3的价格反弹，以使H＆S模式无效。

A move below the neckline at $1.9447 will point to more downside, potentially to the psychological point at $1.

领口下方以1.9447美元的价格移动将指向更多的下跌，并有可能以1美元的价格指向心理点。

Summary

概括

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices will be in focus this week as the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision. While the bank will leave rates unchanged, the market will be focused on the statements on QT.

随着美联储提供其利率决策，比特币，以太坊和连锁价格将在本周关注。虽然银行将使利率保持不变，但市场将集中在QT上的声明上。

The three coins have formed bearish pattens. BTC formed a death cross and a rounded top, while ETH has formed a bearish pennant. XRP has formed a head and shoulders, which signals further downside.

这三枚硬币已经形成了看跌刺。 BTC形成了一个死亡十字架和一个圆形的顶部，而ETH则形成了看跌的五角旗。 XRP已经形成了一个头和肩膀，这进一步发出了偏低的信号。