加密市場滑倒，儘管餵養QT上升了機率

加密貨幣市場在FOMC決定之前的恐懼區停滯在20個恐懼區域，因此處於邊緣狀態。比特幣（BTC）下跌低於$ 84,000

The crypto market remained on edge as the fear and greed index stalled at the fear zone of 20 ahead of the FOMC decision. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $84,000, while Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) were little changed. So, what is the outlook of these coins as the odds that the Fed will end QT in May rose to 100%?

加密貨幣市場在FOMC決定之前的恐懼區停滯在20個恐懼區域，因此處於邊緣狀態。比特幣（BTC）跌至84,000美元以下，而以太坊（ETH）和Ripple（XRP）幾乎沒有改變。那麼，這些硬幣的前景是什麼，因為美聯儲在5月份結束QT的機率上升到100％？

BTC, ETH, and XRP prices will be in the focus this week as the FOMC delivers its interest rate decision. This will be a crucial meeting because it comes a week after data showed that US CPI dropped in February, while Donald Trump has embarked on a tariff strategy that risks plunging the US into a recession.

BTC，ETH和XRP價格將在本週關注，因為FOMC提供了其利率決策。這將是一場至關重要的會議，因為數據顯示美國CPI在2月份下降了一周，而唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）則採取了一項關稅策略，該策略有可能使美國陷入衰退。

One major change the Fed is expected to make by May is to end its quantitative tightening or QT. A PolyMarket poll estimates that the Fed will end QT in May. These odds have risen to 100%.

預計在5月之前將做出的一個主要變化是結束其定量擰緊或QT。 Polymarket民意調查估計，美聯儲將在5月結束QT。這些賠率已上升至100％。

QT is a process where the Fed reduces the size of its balance sheet. As shown below, its assets have dropped from almost $9 trillion in 2022 to $6.7 trillion today. Ending QT, and possibly implementing quantitative easing would be a positive thing for risky assets like crypto and stocks.

QT是一個過程，即美聯儲減少其資產負債表的大小。如下所示，其資產已從2022年的近9萬億美元下降到了今天的6.7萬億美元。對於加密和股票等風險資產，結束QT並可能實施定量寬鬆是一件積極的事情。

For this week’s meeting, analysts expect the bank to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50% as it observes the state of the economy.

在本週的會議上，分析師預計，該銀行將在觀察到經濟狀況時將利率保持不變，為4.50％。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

比特幣價格技術分析

Bitcoin price has failed to move above the crucial resistance level at $85,000, a sign that demand is still weak. It remains below the important support at $89,000, the neckline of the double-top pattern at $108,3000.

比特幣價格未能以85,000美元的價格移至關鍵阻力水平，這表明需求仍然很弱。它仍然以89,000美元的價格低於重要的支持，這是雙頂圖案的領口，為108,3000美元。

BTC price has also formed a death cross as the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages crossed each other. It has also formed a rounded top pattern, pointing to more downside, potentially to the support at $74,035, the highest swing in March last year. A move above $85,000 and $89,000 will invalidate the bearish Bitcoin price forecast.

BTC價格還形成了死亡十字架，因為50天和200天的加權移動平均值相互交叉。它還形成了圓形的頂級圖案，指出更不利的一面，潛在的支持為74,035美元，是去年3月的最高揮桿。超過$ 85,000和89,000美元的搬遷將使看跌比特幣價格預測無效。

ETH Price Technical Analysis

ETH價格技術分析

Ethereum price has plunged in the past few months. It recently crashed below the key support at $2,115, the lowest swing in August last year. The coin is now forming a bearish pennant pattern, a popular continuation sign. ETH price remains below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

在過去的幾個月中，以太坊價格跌幅。最近，它以2,115美元的價格墜毀，這是去年八月的最低鞦韆。硬幣現在正在形成一個看跌的五角旗模式，這是一個流行的延續標誌。 ETH價格仍低於50天和200天的移動平均值。

Therefore, the bearish pennant pattern points to more downside, potentially to $1,762, the lowest swing this year. This view will become invalid if it rises above $2,115.

因此，看跌五角旗的模式指出了更多的缺點，可能是今年最低的鞦韆1,762美元。如果上漲高於$ 2,115，這種觀點將無效。

XRP Price Technical Analysis

XRP價格技術分析

The XRP price has bounced back to nearly $2.5 after bottoming at $1.9447 last week. The bottom point was the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, one of the most bearish signs in the market.

XRP價格上週的底部下降至1.9447美元後，XRP價格已返回近2.5美元。最重要的是頭和肩膀的頸線，這是市場上最看跌的標誌之一。

Ripple has found a strong support at the 50-day moving average, which it needs to cross. It also needs to rebound above the shoulders at $3 to invalidate the H&S pattern.

Ripple在50天的移動平均水平上找到了強大的支持，需要越過。它還需要以$ 3的價格反彈，以使H＆S模式無效。

A move below the neckline at $1.9447 will point to more downside, potentially to the psychological point at $1.

領口下方以1.9447美元的價格移動將指向更多的下跌，並有可能以1美元的價格指向心理點。

Summary

概括

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices will be in focus this week as the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision. While the bank will leave rates unchanged, the market will be focused on the statements on QT.

隨著美聯儲提供其利率決策，比特幣，以太坊和連鎖價格將在本週關注。雖然銀行將使利率保持不變，但市場將集中在QT上的聲明上。

The three coins have formed bearish pattens. BTC formed a death cross and a rounded top, while ETH has formed a bearish pennant. XRP has formed a head and shoulders, which signals further downside.

這三枚硬幣已經形成了看跌刺。 BTC形成了一個死亡十字架和一個圓形的頂部，而ETH則形成了看跌的五角旗。 XRP已經形成了一個頭和肩膀，這進一步發出了偏低的信號。