Cathie Wood 的比特币价格预测：到 2030 年将达到 380 万美元

Ark Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 预计，到 2030 年，比特币 (BTC) 的价格目标将达到 380 万美元，理由是机构采用率不断提高以及 ETF 产品的推出。 Wood 表示，如果机构投资者将其投资组合的 5% 多一点分配给比特币，那么这一分配就将在她之前预测的 2030 年 150 万美元的基础上增加 230 万美元。这一预测与其他专家对比特币的看涨前景产生了共鸣，后者已表明尽管最近出现波动，但仍具有韧性。

Cathie Wood's Ambitious Bitcoin Price Projection: $3.8 Million by 2030

Cathie Wood 雄心勃勃的比特币价格预测：到 2030 年将达到 380 万美元

Renowned investment strategist Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, has unveiled a bold price target for Bitcoin (BTC), predicting its value could skyrocket to a staggering $3.8 million by the year 2030.

Ark Invest 首席执行官、著名投资策略师 Cathie Wood 公布了比特币 (BTC) 的大胆价格目标，预计到 2030 年其价值可能飙升至惊人的 380 万美元。

Wood presented this projection at the Bitcoin Investor Day conference in New York on Friday, citing the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the introduction of new exchange-traded fund (ETF) products as key drivers behind her bullish outlook.

伍德周五在纽约举行的比特币投资者日会议上提出了这一预测，称比特币越来越多的机构采用以及新的交易所交易基金（ETF）产品的推出是她看涨前景的关键驱动力。

Institutional Green Light Fuels Surge

机构绿灯推动激增

Wood's earlier prediction in January estimated Bitcoin's potential to reach $1.5 million by 2030. However, she now firmly believes that if institutional investors allocate just over 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, her projection would rise significantly to $3.8 million within the same time frame.

Wood 在 1 月份早些时候预测，到 2030 年，比特币的潜力将达到 150 万美元。然而，她现在坚信，如果机构投资者将其投资组合的 5% 以上分配给比特币，她的预测将在同一时间范围内大幅上升至 380 万美元。

"With this institutional green light that the SEC has provided, kicking and screaming though it did, the analysis we've done is that if institutional investors were to allocate a little more than 5% of their portfolios to bitcoin, as we think they will over time, that alone would add $2.3 million to the projection I just gave you," Wood stated.

“尽管美国证券交易委员会已经提供了机构绿灯，但我们所做的分析是，如果机构投资者将其投资组合的 5% 以上分配给比特币，正如我们认为的那样，他们会随着时间的推移，仅此一项就会为我刚刚给您的预测增加 230 万美元，”伍德说道。

ETF Boom and Bitcoin Demand

ETF 繁荣和比特币需求

Ark Invest, along with 10 other financial powerhouses including BlackRock and Fidelity, received approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) earlier this year to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs. These products have witnessed an unprecedented surge in demand, setting new records for inflows into US ETFs and fueling increased demand for Bitcoin itself.

Ark Invest 与贝莱德 (BlackRock) 和富达 (Fidelity) 等其他 10 家金融巨头今年早些时候获得美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 的批准，推出现货比特币 ETF。这些产品的需求出现了前所未有的激增，创下了流入美国 ETF 的新纪录，并推动了对比特币本身的需求增加。

Bitcoin Halving and Supply Shock

比特币减半和供应冲击

The upcoming Bitcoin halving event, anticipated in April 2024, is also expected to create a supply shock, potentially exacerbating the current demand-driven rally. Halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the issuance rate of new Bitcoins by half, potentially adding further impetus to price appreciation.

预计 2024 年 4 月即将到来的比特币减半事件预计也会造成供应冲击，可能会加剧当前需求驱动的反弹。大约每四年发生一次的减半事件会使新比特币的发行率降低一半，可能会进一步推动价格上涨。

Expert Consensus and Market Sentiment

专家共识与市场情绪

Wood's recent prediction aligns with her revised expectations for Bitcoin's growth trajectory. Her bullish outlook is echoed by other experts in the field, with an analyst recently predicting significant growth for Bitcoin and altcoins, envisioning Bitcoin potentially reaching close to $100,000 by the end of 2025.

伍德最近的预测与她对比特币增长轨迹的修正预期一致。她的乐观前景得到了该领域其他专家的呼应，一位分析师最近预测比特币和山寨币将大幅增长，并预计到 2025 年底比特币可能会达到接近 10 万美元。

Despite recent market volatility, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience. The cryptocurrency, along with other major cryptos, experienced a surge following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates steady, reflecting strong market sentiment and belief in its long-term potential.

尽管近期市场波动较大，但比特币仍表现出了韧性。在美联储决定维持利率稳定后，加密货币与其他主要加密货币一起经历了飙升，反映出强劲的市场情绪和对其长期潜力的信心。

Institutional Embracing of Digital Assets

机构对数字资产的拥抱

Wood's projection also highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin. This trend mirrors the broader shift towards digital assets and blockchain technology, which ARK Invest predicts could attain a market value of $220 trillion by 2030. As more institutions embrace digital assets, Bitcoin's value is expected to benefit from increased demand and investment.

伍德的预测还凸显了机构对比特币日益增长的兴趣。这一趋势反映了向数字资产和区块链技术的更广泛转变，ARK Invest 预测到 2030 年，其市值将达到 220 万亿美元。随着越来越多的机构接受数字资产，比特币的价值预计将受益于需求和投资的增加。

Market Status

市场现状

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $63,990, indicating a modest decline of 1.8% over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term fluctuation, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, with analysts optimistic about its long-term growth potential driven by institutional adoption and technological advancements.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 63,990 美元，表明过去 24 小时内小幅下跌 1.8%。尽管存在这种短期波动，但比特币的整体前景仍然乐观，分析师对其在机构采用和技术进步推动下的长期增长潜力持乐观态度。