Cathie Wood 的比特幣價格預測：到 2030 年將達到 380 萬美元

Ark Invest 執行長 Cathie Wood 預計，到 2030 年，比特幣 (BTC) 的目標價將達到 380 萬美元，理由是機構採用率不斷提高以及 ETF 產品的推出。 Wood 表示，如果機構投資者將其投資組合的5% 多一點分配給比特幣，那麼這一分配就將在她之前預測的2030 年150 萬美元的基礎上增加230 萬美元。這一預測與其他專家對比特幣的看漲前景產生了共鳴，後者已表明儘管最近出現波動，但仍具有韌性。

Cathie Wood's Ambitious Bitcoin Price Projection: $3.8 Million by 2030

Cathie Wood 雄心勃勃的比特幣價格預測：到 2030 年將達到 380 萬美元

Renowned investment strategist Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, has unveiled a bold price target for Bitcoin (BTC), predicting its value could skyrocket to a staggering $3.8 million by the year 2030.

Ark Invest 執行長、著名投資策略師 Cathie Wood 公佈了比特幣 (BTC) 的大膽價格目標，預計到 2030 年其價值可能飆升至驚人的 380 萬美元。

Wood presented this projection at the Bitcoin Investor Day conference in New York on Friday, citing the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the introduction of new exchange-traded fund (ETF) products as key drivers behind her bullish outlook.

伍德週五在紐約舉行的比特幣投資者日會議上提出了這一預測，稱比特幣越來越多的機構採用以及新的交易所交易基金（ETF）產品的推出是她看漲前景的關鍵驅動力。

Institutional Green Light Fuels Surge

機構綠燈推動激增

Wood's earlier prediction in January estimated Bitcoin's potential to reach $1.5 million by 2030. However, she now firmly believes that if institutional investors allocate just over 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, her projection would rise significantly to $3.8 million within the same time frame.

Wood 在1 月早些時候預測，到2030 年，比特幣的潛力將達到150 萬美元。然而，她現在堅信，如果機構投資者將其投資組合的5% 以上分配給比特幣，她的預測將在同一時間範圍內大幅上升至380 萬美元。

"With this institutional green light that the SEC has provided, kicking and screaming though it did, the analysis we've done is that if institutional investors were to allocate a little more than 5% of their portfolios to bitcoin, as we think they will over time, that alone would add $2.3 million to the projection I just gave you," Wood stated.

「儘管美國證券交易委員會已經提供了機構綠燈，但我們所做的分析是，如果機構投資者將其投資組合的 5% 以上分配給比特幣，正如我們所認為的那樣，他們會隨著時間的推移，僅此一項就會為我剛剛給您的預測增加230 萬美元，」伍德說。

ETF Boom and Bitcoin Demand

ETF 繁榮和比特幣需求

Ark Invest, along with 10 other financial powerhouses including BlackRock and Fidelity, received approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) earlier this year to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs. These products have witnessed an unprecedented surge in demand, setting new records for inflows into US ETFs and fueling increased demand for Bitcoin itself.

Ark Invest 與貝萊德 (BlackRock) 和富達 (Fidelity) 等其他 10 家金融巨頭今年稍早獲得美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 的批准，推出現貨比特幣 ETF。這些產品的需求出現了前所未有的激增，創下了流入美國 ETF 的新紀錄，並推動了對比特幣本身的需求增加。

Bitcoin Halving and Supply Shock

比特幣減半和供應衝擊

The upcoming Bitcoin halving event, anticipated in April 2024, is also expected to create a supply shock, potentially exacerbating the current demand-driven rally. Halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the issuance rate of new Bitcoins by half, potentially adding further impetus to price appreciation.

預計 2024 年 4 月即將到來的比特幣減半事件預計也會造成供應衝擊，可能會加劇當前需求驅動的反彈。大約每四年發生一次的減半事件會使新比特幣的發行率降低一半，可能會進一步推動價格上漲。

Expert Consensus and Market Sentiment

專家共識與市場情緒

Wood's recent prediction aligns with her revised expectations for Bitcoin's growth trajectory. Her bullish outlook is echoed by other experts in the field, with an analyst recently predicting significant growth for Bitcoin and altcoins, envisioning Bitcoin potentially reaching close to $100,000 by the end of 2025.

伍德最近的預測與她對比特幣成長軌蹟的修正預期一致。她的樂觀前景得到了該領域其他專家的呼應，一位分析師最近預測比特幣和山寨幣將大幅增長，並預計到 2025 年底比特幣可能會達到接近 10 萬美元。

Despite recent market volatility, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience. The cryptocurrency, along with other major cryptos, experienced a surge following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates steady, reflecting strong market sentiment and belief in its long-term potential.

儘管近期市場波動較大，但比特幣仍表現出了韌性。在聯準會決定維持利率穩定後，加密貨幣與其他主要加密貨幣一起經歷了飆升，反映出強勁的市場情緒和對其長期潛力的信心。

Institutional Embracing of Digital Assets

機構對數位資產的擁抱

Wood's projection also highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin. This trend mirrors the broader shift towards digital assets and blockchain technology, which ARK Invest predicts could attain a market value of $220 trillion by 2030. As more institutions embrace digital assets, Bitcoin's value is expected to benefit from increased demand and investment.

伍德的預測也凸顯了機構對比特幣日益增長的興趣。這一趨勢反映了向數位資產和區塊鏈技術的更廣泛轉變，ARK Invest 預測到2030 年，其市值將達到220 兆美元。隨著越來越多的機構接受數位資產，比特幣的價值預計將受益於需求和投資的增加。

Market Status

市場現狀

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $63,990, indicating a modest decline of 1.8% over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term fluctuation, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, with analysts optimistic about its long-term growth potential driven by institutional adoption and technological advancements.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 63,990 美元，表明過去 24 小時內小幅下跌 1.8%。儘管存在這種短期波動，但比特幣的整體前景仍然樂觀，分析師對其在機構採用和技術進步推動下的長期成長潛力持樂觀態度。