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今年第一季度关闭,几乎没有什么事情变得更加复杂,导致了抛售,包括特朗普的关税威胁,全球经济问题以及缺乏明显的催化剂。
The past few days have seen a bloodbath for digital assets, with traders hitting the sell button, wiping out over $160 billion of the total cryptocurrency market cap since Friday.
在过去的几天中,数字资产的血液浴缸登上了卖出按钮,自周五以来,销售了超过1600亿美元的加密货币市值。
Few things have compounded as the first quarter of this year closes out, leading to the sell-off, including Trump's tariff threats, global economic concerns and the lack of a clear catalyst for the next leg up.
今年第一季度关闭,几乎没有什么事情变得更加复杂,导致了抛售,包括特朗普的关税威胁,全球经济问题以及缺乏明显的催化剂。
However, if history is anything to go by, there might be some glimmer of hope heading into the second quarter, as April could bring a bullish setup for crypto.
但是,如果历史有什么需要的,那么第二季度可能会有一些希望,因为四月可以为加密货币带来看涨的设置。
Based on the total percent return since 2010, April has brought in an average 27% return for bitcoin, marking it the third-best month, according to Barchart data. November and May were the other two months with the highest returns, with about 38% and 26% gains, respectively.
根据Barchart数据,根据自2010年以来的总回报率,4月的比特币平均收益率为27%,这是第三好的月份。 11月和5月的回报率最高,分别为38%和26%。
As CoinDesk analyst Omkar Godbole reported for Crypto Daybook Americas—a premium newsletter offering to help traders make informed investment decisions—this seasonality could be a much-needed positive indicator for the market.
正如Coindesk分析师Omkar Godbole为Crypto Daybook Americas报道的那样,Americas(一项高级通讯,旨在帮助交易者做出明智的投资决策),这种季节性可能是市场上急需的积极指标。
"Seasonality factors are not as reliable as standalone indicators, but when coupled with other signs, such as the recent halt in selling by long-term holders, they appear credible," Godbole wrote.
Godbole写道:“季节性因素并不像独立指标那样可靠,但是当加上其他迹象(例如最近被长期持有人销售的停顿)时,它们似乎是可信的。”
One cog in the wheel may be the defunct exchange Mt. Gox's transfer of a significant amount of bitcoin to the centralized exchange's wallets, which could create fear of creditors' liquidations.
方向盘上的一个齿轮可能是Gox已停用的交易所转移到集中式交易所钱包中的大量比特币,这可能会害怕对债权人的清算。
"A potential short-term risk is Mt. Gox, which has been transferring sizable amounts of BTC to Kraken—this may lead to temporary selling pressure or market volatility," said Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers.
Deribit首席执行官Luuk Strijers说:“潜在的短期风险是GOX山,它一直将大量的BTC转移到Kraken,这可能导致暂时的销售压力或市场波动。”
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