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今年第一季度關閉,幾乎沒有什麼事情變得更加複雜,導致了拋售,包括特朗普的關稅威脅,全球經濟問題以及缺乏明顯的催化劑。
The past few days have seen a bloodbath for digital assets, with traders hitting the sell button, wiping out over $160 billion of the total cryptocurrency market cap since Friday.
在過去的幾天中,數字資產的血液浴缸登上了賣出按鈕,自周五以來,銷售了超過1600億美元的加密貨幣市值。
Few things have compounded as the first quarter of this year closes out, leading to the sell-off, including Trump's tariff threats, global economic concerns and the lack of a clear catalyst for the next leg up.
今年第一季度關閉,幾乎沒有什麼事情變得更加複雜,導致了拋售,包括特朗普的關稅威脅,全球經濟問題以及缺乏明顯的催化劑。
However, if history is anything to go by, there might be some glimmer of hope heading into the second quarter, as April could bring a bullish setup for crypto.
但是,如果歷史有什麼需要的,那麼第二季度可能會有一些希望,因為四月可以為加密貨幣帶來看漲的設置。
Based on the total percent return since 2010, April has brought in an average 27% return for bitcoin, marking it the third-best month, according to Barchart data. November and May were the other two months with the highest returns, with about 38% and 26% gains, respectively.
根據Barchart數據,根據自2010年以來的總回報率,4月的比特幣平均收益率為27%,這是第三好的月份。 11月和5月的回報率最高,分別為38%和26%。
As CoinDesk analyst Omkar Godbole reported for Crypto Daybook Americas—a premium newsletter offering to help traders make informed investment decisions—this seasonality could be a much-needed positive indicator for the market.
正如Coindesk分析師Omkar Godbole為Crypto Daybook Americas報導的那樣,Americas(一項高級通訊,旨在幫助交易者做出明智的投資決策),這種季節性可能是市場上急需的積極指標。
"Seasonality factors are not as reliable as standalone indicators, but when coupled with other signs, such as the recent halt in selling by long-term holders, they appear credible," Godbole wrote.
Godbole寫道:“季節性因素並不像獨立指標那樣可靠,但是當加上其他跡象(例如最近被長期持有人銷售的停頓)時,它們似乎是可信的。”
One cog in the wheel may be the defunct exchange Mt. Gox's transfer of a significant amount of bitcoin to the centralized exchange's wallets, which could create fear of creditors' liquidations.
方向盤上的一個齒輪可能是Gox已停用的交易所轉移到集中式交易所錢包中的大量比特幣,這可能會害怕對債權人的清算。
"A potential short-term risk is Mt. Gox, which has been transferring sizable amounts of BTC to Kraken—this may lead to temporary selling pressure or market volatility," said Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers.
Deribit首席執行官Luuk Strijers說:“潛在的短期風險是GOX山,它一直將大量的BTC轉移到Kraken,這可能導致暫時的銷售壓力或市場波動。”
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