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鉴于比特币最近在地缘政治紧张局势中出现波动,经济学家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)否认了比特币作为避险资产的地位。虽然比特币暴跌 6%,股市下跌 1.5%,但黄金上涨 1.5%,凸显了两者市场表现的反差。希夫的评论强调了与黄金在不确定性期间的稳定性相比,比特币的不稳定性。
Bitcoin's Volatility Raises Concerns Over Its Status as a Safe Haven Asset
比特币的波动引发了对其避险资产地位的担忧
Peter Schiff, a prominent economist and outspoken crypto skeptic, has cast doubt on Bitcoin's reliability as a safe haven asset in light of its recent price fluctuations amidst geopolitical tensions.
鉴于比特币最近在地缘政治紧张局势中的价格波动,著名经济学家和直言不讳的加密货币怀疑论者彼得希夫对比特币作为避险资产的可靠性表示怀疑。
Schiff's Observations
希夫的观察
On Friday, Schiff noted the contrasting responses of Bitcoin and gold to escalating geopolitical events in the Middle East and other macroeconomic developments. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 1.5%, Bitcoin witnessed a sharper drop of 6%, while gold experienced a gain of 1.5%.
周五,希夫指出,比特币和黄金对中东不断升级的地缘政治事件和其他宏观经济发展的反应截然不同。虽然道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 1.5%,但比特币跌幅更大,达 6%,而黄金则上涨 1.5%。
"Bitcoin is not the safe haven asset it's promoted to be," Schiff asserted in a tweet.
希夫在推文中断言:“比特币并不是它所宣传的避险资产。”
Schiff's comments echoed his earlier skepticism regarding Bitcoin's potential to reach $100,000, citing bearish trends in Bitcoin-related equities.
希夫的言论呼应了他之前对比特币达到 10 万美元潜力的怀疑,理由是比特币相关股票的看跌趋势。
Recent Market Performance
近期市场表现
Bitcoin's price has been subject to significant volatility in recent weeks. On Thursday, it fell below the $63,000 mark following the release of US initial jobless claims data that remained unchanged from the previous week.
最近几周,比特币的价格大幅波动。周四,在美国首次申请失业救济人数数据公布后,美元跌破 63,000 美元大关,该数据与上周持平。
Despite this recent dip, some analysts, including Michaël van de Poppe, remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Van de Poppe anticipates a potential rebound, citing waning hype and approaching halving events as factors likely to shift market narratives.
尽管最近比特币价格下跌,但包括 Michaël van de Poppe 在内的一些分析师仍然对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度。范德波普(Van de Poppe)预计市场可能出现反弹,并指出炒作减弱和减半事件临近是可能改变市场叙事的因素。
Contrasting Bitcoin and Gold
比特币和黄金的对比
Schiff's observations highlight the contrasting volatility of Bitcoin and the traditional safe haven asset, gold. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, gold has historically exhibited greater stability, while Bitcoin has shown susceptibility to market fluctuations.
希夫的观察强调了比特币和传统避险资产黄金的波动性对比。在地缘政治不确定的时期,黄金历来表现出更大的稳定性,而比特币则表现出对市场波动的敏感性。
While some investors may view Bitcoin as a digital counterpart to gold, its recent performance suggests that it may not yet be a reliable alternative in the face of macroeconomic shocks.
尽管一些投资者可能将比特币视为黄金的数字对应物,但其最近的表现表明,面对宏观经济冲击,它可能还不是可靠的替代品。
Analyst Perspectives
分析师观点
Despite Schiff's concerns, other analysts, such as Van de Poppe, believe that Bitcoin's recent pullback presents an opportunity for buyers. They see the potential for a significant rebound in the near future.
尽管希夫对此表示担忧,但范德波普等其他分析师认为,比特币最近的回调为买家提供了机会。他们看到了在不久的将来出现大幅反弹的潜力。
Current Market Situation
目前的市场情况
As of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,515, representing a 4.5% increase over the past 24 hours. It has experienced a substantial 120% surge in value over the past year, demonstrating both its potential for gains and its volatility.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 64,515 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4.5%。过去一年,该股的价值大幅上涨 120%,显示出其上涨潜力和波动性。
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