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鑑於比特幣最近在地緣政治緊張局勢中出現波動,經濟學家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)否認了比特幣作為避險資產的地位。雖然比特幣暴跌 6%,股市下跌 1.5%,但黃金上漲 1.5%,凸顯了兩者市場表現的反差。希夫的評論強烈了與黃金在不確定性期間的穩定性相比,比特幣的不穩定性。
Bitcoin's Volatility Raises Concerns Over Its Status as a Safe Haven Asset
比特幣的波動引發了對其避險資產地位的擔憂
Peter Schiff, a prominent economist and outspoken crypto skeptic, has cast doubt on Bitcoin's reliability as a safe haven asset in light of its recent price fluctuations amidst geopolitical tensions.
鑑於比特幣最近在地緣政治緊張局勢中的價格波動,著名經濟學家和直言不諱的加密貨幣懷疑論者彼得希夫對比特幣作為避險資產的可靠性表示懷疑。
Schiff's Observations
希夫的觀察
On Friday, Schiff noted the contrasting responses of Bitcoin and gold to escalating geopolitical events in the Middle East and other macroeconomic developments. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 1.5%, Bitcoin witnessed a sharper drop of 6%, while gold experienced a gain of 1.5%.
週五,希夫指出,比特幣和黃金對中東不斷升級的地緣政治事件和其他宏觀經濟發展的反應截然不同。雖然道瓊工業指數下跌 1.5%,但比特幣跌幅更大,達 6%,黃金則上漲 1.5%。
"Bitcoin is not the safe haven asset it's promoted to be," Schiff asserted in a tweet.
希夫在推文中斷言:“比特幣並不是它所宣傳的避險資產。”
Schiff's comments echoed his earlier skepticism regarding Bitcoin's potential to reach $100,000, citing bearish trends in Bitcoin-related equities.
希夫的言論呼應了他先前對比特幣達到 10 萬美元潛力的懷疑,理由是比特幣相關股票的看跌趨勢。
Recent Market Performance
近期市場表現
Bitcoin's price has been subject to significant volatility in recent weeks. On Thursday, it fell below the $63,000 mark following the release of US initial jobless claims data that remained unchanged from the previous week.
最近幾週,比特幣的價格大幅波動。週四,在美國首次申請失業救濟人數數據公佈後,美元跌破 63,000 美元大關,與上週持平。
Despite this recent dip, some analysts, including Michaël van de Poppe, remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Van de Poppe anticipates a potential rebound, citing waning hype and approaching halving events as factors likely to shift market narratives.
儘管最近比特幣價格下跌,但包括 Michaël van de Poppe 在內的一些分析師仍然對比特幣的長期前景感到樂觀。范德波普(Van de Poppe)預計市場可能會反彈,並指出炒作減弱和減半事件臨近是可能改變市場敘事的因素。
Contrasting Bitcoin and Gold
比特幣和黃金的對比
Schiff's observations highlight the contrasting volatility of Bitcoin and the traditional safe haven asset, gold. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, gold has historically exhibited greater stability, while Bitcoin has shown susceptibility to market fluctuations.
希夫的觀察強調了比特幣和傳統避險資產黃金的波動性對比。在地緣政治不確定的時期,黃金歷來表現出更大的穩定性,而比特幣則表現出對市場波動的敏感度。
While some investors may view Bitcoin as a digital counterpart to gold, its recent performance suggests that it may not yet be a reliable alternative in the face of macroeconomic shocks.
儘管一些投資者可能將比特幣視為黃金的數位對應物,但其最近的表現表明,面對宏觀經濟衝擊,它可能還不是可靠的替代品。
Analyst Perspectives
分析師觀點
Despite Schiff's concerns, other analysts, such as Van de Poppe, believe that Bitcoin's recent pullback presents an opportunity for buyers. They see the potential for a significant rebound in the near future.
儘管希夫對此表示擔憂,但范德波普等其他分析師認為,比特幣最近的回檔為買家提供了機會。他們看到了在不久的將來出現大幅反彈的潛力。
Current Market Situation
目前的市場狀況
As of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,515, representing a 4.5% increase over the past 24 hours. It has experienced a substantial 120% surge in value over the past year, demonstrating both its potential for gains and its volatility.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 64,515 美元,在過去 24 小時內上漲了 4.5%。過去一年,該股的價值大幅上漲 120%,顯示出其上漲潛力和波動性。
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