比特币鲸鱼在市场准备突破的情况下积累比特币

在比特币窄幅交易区间徘徊在 67,000 美元左右的情况下，分析师观察到鲸鱼的增持活动激增，特别是在 1-1000 万美元订单类别中，这表明积极的情绪和潜在的突破。持有大量比特币的比特币鲸鱼正在表现出“FOMO”行为，积累了总供应量的 1.24%。

Bitcoin Whales Accumulate BTC as the Market Poises for a Potential Breakout

随着市场为潜在突破做好准备，比特币鲸鱼囤积比特币

Amidst Bitcoin's (BTC) continued oscillation within a constrained range near the $67,000 mark, market analysts and investors are attentively observing the cryptocurrency's price trajectory for indications of a potential breakout.

比特币 (BTC) 在 67,000 美元大关附近的有限区间内持续振荡，市场分析师和投资者正在密切观察加密货币的价格轨迹，以寻找潜在突破的迹象。

Recent data reveals that Bitcoin whales, a term used to describe large-scale holders of BTC, are seizing the opportunity to accumulate more coins. Notably, the order category ranging from $1 million to $10 million has consistently increased its exposure throughout April.

最近的数据显示，比特币鲸鱼（一个用于描述比特币大规模持有者的术语）正在抓住机会积累更多比特币。值得注意的是，从 100 万美元到 1000 万美元的订单类别在整个 4 月份的曝光度持续增加。

Whale Behavior Indicates Bullish Sentiment

鲸鱼行为表明看涨情绪

Research firm Santiment has uncovered that wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC ($66.7 million – $667 million) are exhibiting signs of "fear of missing out" (FOMO), having accumulated an additional 266,000 BTC since the commencement of 2024. This accumulation represents a significant 1.24% of the total Bitcoin supply, with this class of whales now owning over a quarter of all BTC in circulation.

研究公司 Santiment 发现，持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC（6670 万美元至 6.67 亿美元）的钱包正表现出“害怕错过”(FOMO) 的迹象，自 2024 年初以来已额外积累了 266,000 BTC。这一积累代表了占比特币总供应量的 1.24%，此类鲸鱼目前拥有流通中所有 BTC 的四分之一以上。

Technical Analysis Points to Support and Resistance Levels

技术分析指向支撑位和阻力位

Bitcoin's price action remains confined within a narrow range of $62,000 – $68,000. At the daily close, a bid wall of approximately $35 million was established on the Binance exchange, signaling strong support at current levels. However, the bulk of ask liquidity is now concentrated between $67,000 and $67,500, potentially forming a key resistance zone.

比特币的价格走势仍然局限于 62,000 美元至 68,000 美元的狭窄区间内。截至每日收盘，币安交易所设立了约 3500 万美元的竞价墙，表明当前水平存在强劲支撑。然而，大部分要价流动性目前集中在 67,000 美元至 67,500 美元之间，可能形成关键阻力区。

Market Experts Anticipate Low Volatility and Potential Parabolic Rise

市场专家预计低波动性和潜在的抛物线上涨

Trading firm QCP Capital suggests that the crypto market may be experiencing a final period of low volatility before a significant shift occurs. In their latest market update, QCP characterized the current conditions as an "unsettling quietness," noting that Bitcoin's front-end volatility has declined to around 60%.

交易公司 QCP Capital 表示，在发生重大转变之前，加密货币市场可能正在经历最后的低波动期。在最新的市场更新中，QCP 将当前状况描述为“令人不安的安静”，并指出比特币的前端波动性已降至 60% 左右。

Market analyst Scott Melker has outlined the potential for a parabolic increase in Bitcoin's price following the recent halving. By examining the asset's historical price chart, Melker highlighted the bullish impact of previous halvings, observing that the price tends to stabilize in the immediate aftermath before experiencing substantial gains.

市场分析师斯科特梅尔克概述了比特币价格在最近减半后出现抛物线上涨的可能性。通过研究该资产的历史价格图表，梅尔克强调了之前减半的看涨影响，并观察到价格往往会在减半后立即稳定下来，然后才会出现大幅上涨。

"If past halvings are any indication of what is yet to come, it may be a boring few months before we once again go parabolic to new all-time highs," Melker remarked. He emphasized that while the halving itself is not a tradable event, its broader implications may manifest in the coming months.

梅尔克表示：“如果过去的减半预示着即将发生的事情，那么在我们再次以抛物线方式达到新的历史高点之前，这可能会是无聊的几个月。”他强调，虽然减半本身并不是一个可交易的事件，但其更广泛的影响可能会在未来几个月内显现出来。

Analysts Caution of Potential Post-Halving Price Weakness

分析师警告减半后价格可能疲软

Not all analysts share the same optimistic outlook. JPMorgan, in a recent report, projected that the Bitcoin price may experience a decline post-halving, citing the cryptocurrency's "overbought" status based on an analysis of open interest in Bitcoin futures.

并非所有分析师都持相同的乐观前景。摩根大通在最近的一份报告中预测，比特币价格可能会在减半后出现下跌，并根据对比特币期货未平仓合约的分析，指出该加密货币处于“超买”状态。

The bank's analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, also noted that the current Bitcoin price of around $66,000 remains above their volatility-adjusted comparison with gold, which sets it at $45,000, and their projected production cost of $42,000 after the halving.

以 Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou 为首的该银行分析师还指出，目前比特币的价格约为 66,000 美元，仍然高于经波动性调整后的黄金价格（即 45,000 美元），以及减半后预计的生产成本为 42,000 美元。

Historical Precedents and Market Dynamics

历史先例和市场动态

Bitcoin halvings, which occur approximately every four years, have historically preceded significant bull runs. The previous three halvings ultimately propelled the cryptocurrency to new all-time highs.

比特币减半大约每四年发生一次，从历史上看，比特币减半发生在重大牛市之前。前三次减半最终将加密货币推升至历史新高。

However, it is important to note that market conditions and broader macroeconomic factors can influence the price trajectories of cryptocurrencies. As such, the future direction of Bitcoin's price remains uncertain, and investors should exercise due diligence and consider potential risks when making investment decisions.

然而，值得注意的是，市场状况和更广泛的宏观经济因素可能会影响加密货币的价格轨迹。因此，比特币价格未来走向仍存在不确定性，投资者在做出投资决策时应尽职调查并考虑潜在风险。