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(彭博社)——比特币被归类为所谓的特朗普交易,开始与全球市场更广泛的变化产生冲突,部分原因是这位前总统重返白宫的可能性。
Bitcoin’s classification as a so-called Trump trade is starting to jar with wider shifts in global markets attributed in part to the possibility of the former president’s return to the White House.
比特币被归类为所谓的特朗普交易,开始与全球市场的更广泛变化产生冲突,部分原因是这位前总统重返白宫的可能性。
Bond yields and the dollar have jumped lately amid Republican nominee Donald Trump’s lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in prediction markets. On one view, investors are curbing bets on looser monetary policy as Trump will apply a pro-growth agenda to an already robust US economy if he wins on Nov. 5.
由于共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普在预测市场上领先于副总统卡马拉·哈里斯,债券收益率和美元最近大幅上涨。一种观点认为,投资者正在遏制对宽松货币政策的押注,因为如果特朗普在 11 月 5 日获胜,他将对本已强劲的美国经济实施促增长议程。
Bitcoin and stocks have wavered alongside this relative tightening in financial conditions, leaving the token facing its first weekly loss in three. Trump embraced the digital-asset industry during his campaign, lifting crypto sentiment, but the question arises whether the impact of his wider priorities may temper such optimism.
随着金融状况相对收紧,比特币和股票也出现波动,导致该代币面临三周以来的首次周跌幅。特朗普在竞选期间拥抱了数字资产行业,提振了加密货币情绪,但问题是,他更广泛的优先事项的影响是否会削弱这种乐观情绪。
“Absolutely, yes, the selloff in stocks, higher US dollar and higher yields all equal a tightening in financial conditions,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty. “Not good for crypto at the pointy end of the spectrum. Some will point out that financial conditions were loose to start with, but it’s more the speed that the tightening is playing out.”
IG Australia Pty 市场分析师托尼·西卡莫尔 (Tony Sycamore) 表示:“当然,是的,股票抛售、美元走高和收益率上升都意味着金融状况收紧。”有些人会指出,金融状况一开始就宽松,但更重要的是紧缩的速度。”
Bitcoin advanced about 1% to $67,300 as of 6:30 a.m. in London on Thursday, paring its weekly decline to roughly 2%. The largest digital asset has risen some 60% this year and reached a record high of $73,798 in March, buttressed by demand for US spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.
截至周四伦敦上午 6:30,比特币上涨约 1% 至 67,300 美元,将每周跌幅缩小至约 2%。受美国现货比特币交易所交易基金需求的支撑,这一最大的数字资产今年已上涨约 60%,并在 3 月份达到 73,798 美元的历史新高。
Trump has vowed to make the US the crypto capital of the planet as he duels for votes with Democratic candidate Harris, who has adopted a more measured approach by pledging to support a regulatory framework for the industry. Their positions contrast with a crackdown on the sector under President Joe Biden.
特朗普在与民主党候选人哈里斯争夺选票时发誓要让美国成为地球上的加密货币之都,哈里斯采取了更加谨慎的做法,承诺支持该行业的监管框架。他们的立场与乔·拜登总统对该行业的镇压形成鲜明对比。
The candidates are statistically tied among likely voters in each of the seven US swing states in a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. The razor-thin margins in these battlegrounds underscore how a final blitz of advertising, rallies and door-knocking campaigns could decide who claims the White House.
根据彭博新闻社/晨间咨询公司的民意调查,从统计数据来看,美国七个摇摆州的潜在选民中,两位候选人的支持率是持平的。这些战场上的微弱优势突显了广告、集会和上门活动的最后闪电战将如何决定谁将入主白宫。
If Trump emerges victorious, that may lead to higher yields and ultimately a “negative impact for risk assets,” said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a provider of liquidity for trading in digital-asset derivatives. Still, “the expected regulatory softening of a Trump administration toward the crypto industry should still be the more important factor,” she said.
数字资产衍生品交易流动性提供商 Orbit Markets 联合创始人卡罗琳·莫伦 (Caroline Mauron) 表示,如果特朗普获胜,可能会导致收益率上升,并最终“对风险资产产生负面影响”。尽管如此,“特朗普政府对加密货币行业的预期监管软化仍然应该是更重要的因素,”她说。
--With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani.
——在苏尼尔·贾蒂亚尼的协助下。
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