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(彭博)—比特幣被歸類為所謂的川普交易,開始與全球市場更廣泛的變化產生衝突,部分原因是這位前總統重返白宮的可能性。
Bitcoin’s classification as a so-called Trump trade is starting to jar with wider shifts in global markets attributed in part to the possibility of the former president’s return to the White House.
比特幣被歸類為所謂的川普交易,開始與全球市場的更廣泛變化產生衝突,部分原因是這位前總統重返白宮的可能性。
Bond yields and the dollar have jumped lately amid Republican nominee Donald Trump’s lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in prediction markets. On one view, investors are curbing bets on looser monetary policy as Trump will apply a pro-growth agenda to an already robust US economy if he wins on Nov. 5.
由於共和黨候選人唐納德·川普在預測市場上領先副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯,債券殖利率和美元最近大幅上漲。一種觀點認為,投資者正在遏制對寬鬆貨幣政策的押注,因為如果川普在 11 月 5 日獲勝,他將對本已強勁的美國經濟實施促成長議程。
Bitcoin and stocks have wavered alongside this relative tightening in financial conditions, leaving the token facing its first weekly loss in three. Trump embraced the digital-asset industry during his campaign, lifting crypto sentiment, but the question arises whether the impact of his wider priorities may temper such optimism.
隨著金融狀況相對收緊,比特幣和股票也出現波動,導致該代幣面臨三週以來的首次週跌幅。川普在競選期間擁抱了數位資產產業,提振了加密貨幣情緒,但問題是,他更廣泛的優先事項的影響是否會削弱這種樂觀情緒。
“Absolutely, yes, the selloff in stocks, higher US dollar and higher yields all equal a tightening in financial conditions,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty. “Not good for crypto at the pointy end of the spectrum. Some will point out that financial conditions were loose to start with, but it’s more the speed that the tightening is playing out.”
IG Australia Pty 市場分析師 Tony Sycamore 表示:“當然,是的,股票拋售、美元走高和收益率上升都意味著金融狀況收緊。”有些人會指出,金融狀況一開始就寬鬆,但更重要的是緊縮的速度。
Bitcoin advanced about 1% to $67,300 as of 6:30 a.m. in London on Thursday, paring its weekly decline to roughly 2%. The largest digital asset has risen some 60% this year and reached a record high of $73,798 in March, buttressed by demand for US spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.
截至週四倫敦上午 6:30,比特幣上漲約 1% 至 67,300 美元,每週跌幅縮小至約 2%。受美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金需求的支撐,這最大的數位資產今年已上漲約 60%,並在 3 月達到 73,798 美元的歷史新高。
Trump has vowed to make the US the crypto capital of the planet as he duels for votes with Democratic candidate Harris, who has adopted a more measured approach by pledging to support a regulatory framework for the industry. Their positions contrast with a crackdown on the sector under President Joe Biden.
川普在與民主黨候選人哈里斯爭奪選票時發誓要讓美國成為地球上的加密貨幣之都,哈里斯採取了更加謹慎的做法,承諾支持該行業的監管框架。他們的立場與喬·拜登總統對該行業的鎮壓形成鮮明對比。
The candidates are statistically tied among likely voters in each of the seven US swing states in a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. The razor-thin margins in these battlegrounds underscore how a final blitz of advertising, rallies and door-knocking campaigns could decide who claims the White House.
根據彭博新聞社/晨間顧問公司的民意調查,從統計數據來看,美國七個搖擺州的潛在選民中,有兩位候選人的支持率是持平的。這些戰場上的微弱優勢突顯了廣告、集會和上門活動的最後閃電戰將如何決定誰將入主白宮。
If Trump emerges victorious, that may lead to higher yields and ultimately a “negative impact for risk assets,” said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a provider of liquidity for trading in digital-asset derivatives. Still, “the expected regulatory softening of a Trump administration toward the crypto industry should still be the more important factor,” she said.
數位資產衍生性商品交易流動性提供者 Orbit Markets 聯合創始人 Caroline Mauron 表示,如果川普獲勝,可能會導致收益率上升,並最終「對風險資產產生負面影響」。儘管如此,「川普政府對加密貨幣行業的預期監管軟化仍然應該是更重要的因素,」她說。
--With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani.
——在蘇尼爾·賈蒂亞尼的協助下。
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