随着减半里程碑的临近，比特币飙升至 70,000 美元

随着减半临近（还剩12天），比特币受到投资者的密切关注。尽管周中有所下跌，但价格仍在上涨至 70,000 美元，过去一天上涨了 2.3%。分析师表示，BTC 必须突破 70,000 美元的阻力位，才能确认从 2 月底以来一直处于的三角旗形态中向上突破。

Bitcoin Approaches $70,000, Nearing Halving Milestone

比特币逼近7万美元，接近减半里程碑

New York, NY - April 5, 2024

纽约州纽约市 - 4 月 5 日，

With just 12 days to go until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, investors are closely scrutinizing the cryptocurrency's price movements. Despite a mid-week dip, Bitcoin (BTC) has regained momentum, approaching the $70,000 threshold and recording a 2.3% increase in the past 24 hours.

距离备受期待的比特币减半事件仅剩 12 天，投资者正在密切关注加密货币的价格走势。尽管周中下跌，但比特币 (BTC) 已恢复势头，逼近 70,000 美元大关，并在过去 24 小时内上涨 2.3%。

Market Dynamics and Price Targets

市场动态和价格目标

Analysts believe that Bitcoin bulls must propel the cryptocurrency past the $70,000 resistance level before the halving to confirm an upside breakout from the pennant pattern that has characterized its price action since late February. This pattern typically signals a period of consolidation before a sharp price movement in either direction.

分析师认为，比特币多头必须在减半之前推动加密货币突破 70,000 美元的阻力位，才能确认其从 2 月底以来的三角旗形态上行突破。这种模式通常预示着价格在任一方向急剧波动之前都会经历一段盘整期。

Factors Influencing Price Trajectory

影响价格轨迹的因素

Two significant events have profoundly influenced Bitcoin's price performance this year: the SEC's ETF decision in January and the upcoming halving in April. The ETF approval fueled Bitcoin's rise to an all-time high above $73,000, while the halving, scheduled for April 18th, is expected to have a transformative impact on the cryptocurrency's supply dynamics.

今年有两个重大事件深刻影响了比特币的价格表现：SEC 1 月份的 ETF 决定以及即将到来的 4 月份减半。 ETF 的批准推动比特币升至 73,000 美元以上的历史新高，而定于 4 月 18 日进行的减半预计将对加密货币的供应动态产生变革性影响。

The Halving and Market Expectations

减半及市场预期

The halving marks a pivotal moment in Bitcoin's lifecycle, reducing the issuance of new Bitcoins by 50%. This event is widely anticipated to have a bullish effect on Bitcoin's price, as it decreases the supply of the asset relative to demand.

减半标志着比特币生命周期的关键时刻，新比特币的发行量减少了 50%。人们普遍预计这一事件将对比特币的价格产生看涨影响，因为它减少了资产相对于需求的供应。

Analyst Perspectives

分析师观点

However, analysts remain divided on the immediate price impact of the halving. Some, such as Steno Research, predict a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario, where the price surges in anticipation of the event but declines post-halving. They cite historical patterns showing that Bitcoin prices have consistently spiked in the lead-up to halvings but have experienced downward pressure immediately afterward.

然而，分析师对于减半对价格的直接影响仍存在分歧。 Steno Research 等一些机构预测，会出现“谣言买入，新闻卖出”的情况，即价格因预期事件而飙升，但在减半后下跌。他们引用的历史模式表明，比特币价格在减半之前一直飙升，但随后立即经历了下行压力。

Long-Term Optimism

长期乐观

Despite the potential short-term volatility, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Steno Research emphasizes the positive impact of the halving on Bitcoin's fundamentals, particularly the reduction in selling pressure from miners. They predict that the true bullish momentum will materialize after initial market adjustments and the exit of short-term investors anticipating quick gains.

尽管存在潜在的短期波动，但分析师仍对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度。 Steno Research 强调减半对比特币基本面的积极影响，特别是矿工抛售压力的减轻。他们预测，在最初的市场调整和预期快速上涨的短期投资者退出之后，真正的看涨势头将成为现实。

Chart Analysis and Technical Indicators

图表分析和技术指标

In the near term, analysts suggest that Bitcoin must break above the $70,000 resistance to maintain its bullish momentum. A well-known market strategist, Captain Faibik, has observed that Bitcoin has been trading within a pennant pattern since early March. A breakout above the upper trendline of this pattern, above $70,000, could signal a sustained bullish rally.

短期内，分析师认为比特币必须突破 70,000 美元阻力位才能维持看涨势头。著名市场策略师 Captain Faibik 观察到，自 3 月初以来，比特币一直在三角旗模式下交易。突破该模式的上趋势线（70,000 美元以上）可能预示着持续的看涨反弹。

Conclusion

结论

As the halving approaches, investors are navigating a dynamic and uncertain market landscape. While Bitcoin has regained momentum in recent days, analysts remain cautious about potential short-term volatility. However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, with many experts predicting a sustained price rally driven by its reduced issuance and increasing adoption.

随着减半的临近，投资者正在应对动态且不确定的市场格局。尽管比特币最近几天恢复了势头，但分析师仍对潜在的短期波动持谨慎态度。然而，比特币的长期前景仍然乐观，许多专家预测，由于发行量减少和采用率增加，比特币价格将持续上涨。