隨著減半里程碑的臨近，比特幣飆升至 70,000 美元

隨著減半臨近（還剩12天），比特幣受到投資者的密切關注。儘管周中有所下跌，但價格仍在上漲至 7 萬美元，過去一天上漲了 2.3%。分析師表示，BTC 必須突破 7 萬美元的阻力位，才能確認從 2 月底以來一直處於的三角旗形態中向上突破。

Bitcoin Approaches $70,000, Nearing Halving Milestone

比特幣逼近7萬美元，接近減半里程碑

New York, NY - April 5, 2024

紐約州紐約市 - 4 月 5 日，

With just 12 days to go until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, investors are closely scrutinizing the cryptocurrency's price movements. Despite a mid-week dip, Bitcoin (BTC) has regained momentum, approaching the $70,000 threshold and recording a 2.3% increase in the past 24 hours.

距離備受期待的比特幣減半僅剩 12 天，投資者正在密切關注加密貨幣的價格走勢。儘管周中下跌，但比特幣 (BTC) 已恢復勢頭，逼近 70,000 美元大關，並在過去 24 小時內上漲 2.3%。

Market Dynamics and Price Targets

市場動態和價格目標

Analysts believe that Bitcoin bulls must propel the cryptocurrency past the $70,000 resistance level before the halving to confirm an upside breakout from the pennant pattern that has characterized its price action since late February. This pattern typically signals a period of consolidation before a sharp price movement in either direction.

分析師認為，比特幣多頭必須在減半前推動加密貨幣突破 7 萬美元的阻力位，才能確認自 2 月底以來的三角旗形態上行突破。這種模式通常預示著價格在任一方向急劇波動之前都會經歷一段盤整期。

Factors Influencing Price Trajectory

影響價格軌跡的因素

Two significant events have profoundly influenced Bitcoin's price performance this year: the SEC's ETF decision in January and the upcoming halving in April. The ETF approval fueled Bitcoin's rise to an all-time high above $73,000, while the halving, scheduled for April 18th, is expected to have a transformative impact on the cryptocurrency's supply dynamics.

今年有兩個重大事件深刻影響了比特幣的價格表現：SEC 1 月的 ETF 決定以及即將到來的 4 月減半。 ETF 的批准推動比特幣升至 73,000 美元以上的歷史新高，而定於 4 月 18 日進行的減半預計將對加密貨幣的供應動態產生變革性影響。

The Halving and Market Expectations

減半及市場預期

The halving marks a pivotal moment in Bitcoin's lifecycle, reducing the issuance of new Bitcoins by 50%. This event is widely anticipated to have a bullish effect on Bitcoin's price, as it decreases the supply of the asset relative to demand.

減半標誌著比特幣生命週期的關鍵時刻，新比特幣的發行量減少了 50%。人們普遍預計這一事件將對比特幣的價格產生看漲影響，因為它減少了資產相對於需求的供應。

Analyst Perspectives

分析師觀點

However, analysts remain divided on the immediate price impact of the halving. Some, such as Steno Research, predict a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario, where the price surges in anticipation of the event but declines post-halving. They cite historical patterns showing that Bitcoin prices have consistently spiked in the lead-up to halvings but have experienced downward pressure immediately afterward.

然而，分析師對於減半對價格的直接影響仍存在分歧。 Steno Research 等一些機構預測，會出現「謠言買入，新聞賣出」的情況，即價格因預期事件而飆升，但在減半後下跌。他們引用的歷史模式表明，比特幣價格在減半之前一直飆升，但隨後立即經歷了下行壓力。

Long-Term Optimism

長期樂觀

Despite the potential short-term volatility, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Steno Research emphasizes the positive impact of the halving on Bitcoin's fundamentals, particularly the reduction in selling pressure from miners. They predict that the true bullish momentum will materialize after initial market adjustments and the exit of short-term investors anticipating quick gains.

儘管存在潛在的短期波動，但分析師仍對比特幣的長期前景持樂觀態度。 Steno Research 強調減半對比特幣基本面的正面影響，特別是礦工拋售壓力的減輕。他們預測，在最初的市場調整和預期快速上漲的短期投資者退出之後，真正的看漲勢頭將成為現實。

Chart Analysis and Technical Indicators

圖表分析和技術指標

In the near term, analysts suggest that Bitcoin must break above the $70,000 resistance to maintain its bullish momentum. A well-known market strategist, Captain Faibik, has observed that Bitcoin has been trading within a pennant pattern since early March. A breakout above the upper trendline of this pattern, above $70,000, could signal a sustained bullish rally.

短期內，分析師認為比特幣必須突破 7 萬美元阻力位才能維持看漲動能。著名市場策略師 Captain Faibik 觀察到，自 3 月初以來，比特幣一直在三角旗模式下交易。突破該模式的上趨勢線（70,000 美元以上）可能預示著持續的看漲反彈。

Conclusion

結論

As the halving approaches, investors are navigating a dynamic and uncertain market landscape. While Bitcoin has regained momentum in recent days, analysts remain cautious about potential short-term volatility. However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, with many experts predicting a sustained price rally driven by its reduced issuance and increasing adoption.

隨著減半的臨近，投資者正在應對動態且不確定的市場格局。儘管比特幣最近幾天恢復了勢頭，但分析師仍對潛在的短期波動持謹慎態度。然而，比特幣的長期前景仍然樂觀，許多專家預測，由於發行量減少和採用率增加，比特幣價格將持續上漲。