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比特币的价值略有下跌,跌破 7 万美元大关。分析师预测价格可能会进一步调整,理由是流动性接近 7.2 万美元、支撑位为 6.9 万美元以及不断上升的网络价值比等指标。日线图中观察到的 RSI 和 CMF 指标的横盘走势进一步表明比特币近期的看跌前景。
Bitcoin's Ascent Stalls Under $70,000 Mark, Metrics Suggest Price Correction
比特币的上涨停滞在 70,000 美元以下,指标表明价格修正
October 22, 2021
2021 年 10 月 22 日
After hovering near the $70,000 mark for several days, Bitcoin's (BTC) price has fallen slightly below this significant level, raising concerns among analysts that a further price correction may be imminent.
在连续几天徘徊在 70,000 美元大关附近后,比特币 (BTC) 的价格已略低于这一重要水平,引发分析师担心价格可能即将进一步调整。
Current Market Conditions
目前的市场状况
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $69,973.35, having declined marginally in the past 24 hours. Despite this recent dip, the vast majority (over 97%) of BTC holders remain in profit, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Furthermore, IntoTheBlock's analysis indicates that the market for BTC is still bullish.
截至撰写本文时,BTC 交易价格为 69,973.35 美元,在过去 24 小时内小幅下跌。根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据,尽管最近出现了下跌,但绝大多数(超过 97%)的 BTC 持有者仍然盈利。此外,IntoTheBlock 的分析表明 BTC 市场仍然看涨。
Analyst Perspectives
分析师观点
Prominent crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has cautioned investors not to expect an immediate surge to the $100,000 mark, citing the historical four-year cycle of Bitcoin's price movements. He believes that BTC is likely to consolidate within a range of $60,000 to its all-time high for the time being.
著名加密货币分析师 Michael van de Poppe 引用了比特币价格变动的历史四年周期,提醒投资者不要指望比特币会立即飙升至 10 万美元大关。他认为,BTC 可能会在 60,000 美元的区间内盘整至目前的历史高点。
Technical Analysis
技术分析
An analysis of BTC's metrics by AMBCrypto reveals a potential scenario for the upcoming week. Hyblock Capital's data suggests that northward liquidation for BTC will increase sharply at $72,000. This high liquidity level could act as a strong resistance point, preventing BTC from moving higher. Conversely, support for BTC lies near $69,000. If this support fails to hold, the price could potentially fall as low as $63,000.
AMBCrypto 对 BTC 指标的分析揭示了未来一周的潜在情况。 Hyblock Capital的数据显示,BTC的北向清算将大幅增加至72,000美元。这种高流动性水平可能会成为一个强大的阻力点,阻止比特币走高。相反,BTC 的支撑位在 69,000 美元附近。如果该支撑位未能守住,价格可能会跌至 63,000 美元。
Findings from Glassnode's analysis further support the likelihood of a price correction. The Network-to-Value (NVT) ratio for BTC has increased in recent days, indicating that the asset may be overvalued and prone to a price decline.
Glassnode 的分析结果进一步支持了价格调整的可能性。最近几天,BTC 的网络价值(NVT)比率有所上升,表明该资产可能被高估并容易出现价格下跌。
Daily Chart Indicators
每日图表指标
Technical indicators on BTC's daily chart also provide bearish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicators have both trended sideways, suggesting a lack of momentum in either direction. These indicators, combined with other metrics, paint a somewhat pessimistic picture for the near future.
比特币日线图上的技术指标也提供了看跌信号。相对强弱指数(RSI)和柴金资金流向(CMF)指标均呈横盘趋势,表明任一方向都缺乏动力。这些指标与其他指标相结合,为不久的将来描绘了一幅有些悲观的图景。
Conclusion
结论
While Bitcoin's price has faced resistance at the $70,000 mark, it is important to approach any analysis with caution. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and unexpected events can occur at any time. However, the current metrics and analyst perspectives suggest that a price correction for BTC is a distinct possibility in the coming week. Investors are advised to monitor the market closely and adjust their strategies accordingly.
虽然比特币的价格在 70,000 美元大关面临阻力,但谨慎对待任何分析都很重要。众所周知,加密货币市场波动很大,随时可能发生意外事件。然而,当前的指标和分析师的观点表明,比特币价格在未来一周明显有可能出现调整。建议投资者密切关注市场并相应调整策略。
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