到 2028 年，比特币价格能否突破 100 万美元？

如果比特币价格比现在的比特币价格上涨 1,900%，则每枚比特币的价值将超过 150 万美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price soared by over 1,900% during Donald Trump’s first term as United States president between November 2016 and November 2020.

2016 年 11 月至 2020 年 11 月，唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 担任美国总统第一任期期间，比特币 (BTC) 价格飙升了 1,900% 以上。

This occurred despite his critical stance on the cryptocurrency at the time, highlighted by his well-known 2019 tweet labeling BTC as “highly volatile” and claiming its value was “based on thin air.”

尽管他当时对加密货币持批评态度，但这种情况还是发生了，他在 2019 年著名的推文中将 BTC 标记为“高度波动”，并声称其价值“凭空而来”。

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD 每日价格图表。来源：TradingView

However, Trump’s second term as the US president looks poised to be more favorable toward the cryptocurrency industry, given his pledge to make the US a “Bitcoin superpower” and implement deregulation to foster the crypto industry.

然而，鉴于特朗普承诺使美国成为“比特币超级大国”并实施放松管制以培育加密货币行业，特朗普作为美国总统的第二个任期似乎对加密货币行业更加有利。

Trump’s election win, called on Nov. 6, has already helped to push Bitcoin to a new record high of around $76,400, with top analysts predicting BTC’s price to cross $100,000 in the coming months.

11 月 6 日宣布的特朗普当选，已经帮助将比特币推升至 76,400 美元左右的新纪录高点，顶级分析师预测 BTC 的价格将在未来几个月突破 100,000 美元。

Can Bitcoin price cross $1 million by 2028?

到 2028 年，比特币价格能否突破 100 万美元？

A 1,900% increase from today’s Bitcoin price would see BTC valued at over $1.5 million per coin.

如果比特币价格比现在的比特币价格上涨 1,900%，则每枚比特币的价值将超过 150 万美元。

This would make Bitcoin a $28.5 trillion asset class, almost eight times bigger than Nvidia, the world’s largest company by market cap, and 1.6 times larger than gold's market capitalization.

这将使比特币成为价值 28.5 万亿美元的资产类别，几乎是全球市值最大公司 Nvidia 的 8 倍，是黄金市值的 1.6 倍。

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

比特币/美元每周价格图表。来源：TradingView

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Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, previously forecasted that the price of BTC will cross $1 million by 2030, noting that major investment banks such as Morgan Stanley, Merryl Lynch, and Bank of America will likely enter the Bitcoin space.

ARK Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 此前预测，到 2030 年，比特币的价格将突破 100 万美元，并指出摩根士丹利、美林证券和美国银行等主要投资银行可能会进入比特币领域。

Henry Arslanian, co-founder of Dubai-based Nine Blocks Capital Management, iterated a similar outlook in a Nov. 6 X post, noting that Trump’s win will enable “further entry of institutional players” into the US crypto industry, ranging from asset managers to family offices.

总部位于迪拜的 Nine Blocks Capital Management 联合创始人 Henry Arslanian 在 11 月 6 日的帖子中重申了类似的前景，指出特朗普的胜利将使“机构参与者进一步进入”美国加密货币行业，包括资产管理公司到家族办公室。

Source: Henri Arslanian

资料来源：亨利·阿尔斯兰尼安

Post-election Bitcoin price targets range from $100,000 to $250,000

选举后比特币价格目标范围为 100,000 美元至 250,000 美元

Most analysts have predicted sharp gains in the Bitcoin market after Trump’s election victory.

大多数分析师预测特朗普当选后比特币市场将大幅上涨。

According to crypto research firm 10x Research, BTC price can rise to $100,000 by January 2025, noting that “when Bitcoin sets a new six-month high for the first time in 6 months like it did recently, [it] typically see a median return of 40% over the next 3 months.”

据加密货币研究公司 10x Research 称，到 2025 年 1 月，BTC 价格可能会升至 100,000 美元，并指出“当比特币像最近一样在 6 个月内首次创下 6 个月新高时，[它] 通常会看到中值回报未来 3 个月将增长 40%。”

Related: Bitcoin forecast to hit $200K by end of 2025: Bernstein Research

相关：Bernstein Research 预测比特币到 2025 年底将达到 20 万美元

Independent market analyst Mags, meanwhile, said Bitcoin will approach $250,000 in the next 12 months, citing its previous price pumps post-US elections.

与此同时，独立市场分析师 Mags 表示，比特币在未来 12 个月内将接近 25 万美元，理由是美国大选后比特币价格飙升。

BTC/USD price performance after recent US elections. Source: Mags

最近美国大选后的 BTC/USD 价格表现。来源：杂志

He argued:

他辩称：

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。

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