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比特幣的價值略有下跌,跌破 7 萬美元大關。分析師預測價格可能會進一步調整,理由是流動性接近 7.2 萬美元、支撐位為 6.9 萬美元以及不斷上升的網路價值比等指標。日線圖中觀察到的 RSI 和 CMF 指標的橫盤走勢進一步顯示比特幣近期的看跌前景。
Bitcoin's Ascent Stalls Under $70,000 Mark, Metrics Suggest Price Correction
比特幣的上漲停滯在 70,000 美元以下,指標顯示價格修正
October 22, 2021
2021 年 10 月 22 日
After hovering near the $70,000 mark for several days, Bitcoin's (BTC) price has fallen slightly below this significant level, raising concerns among analysts that a further price correction may be imminent.
在連續幾天徘徊在 70,000 美元大關附近後,比特幣 (BTC) 的價格已略低於這一重要水平,引發分析師擔心價格可能即將進一步調整。
Current Market Conditions
目前的市場狀況
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $69,973.35, having declined marginally in the past 24 hours. Despite this recent dip, the vast majority (over 97%) of BTC holders remain in profit, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Furthermore, IntoTheBlock's analysis indicates that the market for BTC is still bullish.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC 交易價格為 69,973.35 美元,在過去 24 小時內小幅下跌。根據 CoinMarketCap 的數據,儘管最近出現了下跌,但絕大多數(超過 97%)的 BTC 持有者仍然獲利。此外,IntoTheBlock 的分析顯示 BTC 市場仍然看漲。
Analyst Perspectives
分析師觀點
Prominent crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has cautioned investors not to expect an immediate surge to the $100,000 mark, citing the historical four-year cycle of Bitcoin's price movements. He believes that BTC is likely to consolidate within a range of $60,000 to its all-time high for the time being.
著名加密貨幣分析師 Michael van de Poppe 引用了比特幣價格變動的歷史四年周期,提醒投資者不要指望比特幣會立即飆升至 10 萬美元大關。他認為,BTC 可能會在 6 萬美元的區間內盤整至目前的歷史高點。
Technical Analysis
技術分析
An analysis of BTC's metrics by AMBCrypto reveals a potential scenario for the upcoming week. Hyblock Capital's data suggests that northward liquidation for BTC will increase sharply at $72,000. This high liquidity level could act as a strong resistance point, preventing BTC from moving higher. Conversely, support for BTC lies near $69,000. If this support fails to hold, the price could potentially fall as low as $63,000.
AMBCrypto 對 BTC 指標的分析揭示了未來一週的潛在情況。 Hyblock Capital的數據顯示,BTC的北向清算將大幅增加至72,000美元。這種高流動性水平可能會成為一個強大的阻力點,阻止比特幣走高。相反,BTC 的支撐位在 69,000 美元附近。如果該支撐位未能守住,價格可能會跌至 63,000 美元。
Findings from Glassnode's analysis further support the likelihood of a price correction. The Network-to-Value (NVT) ratio for BTC has increased in recent days, indicating that the asset may be overvalued and prone to a price decline.
Glassnode 的分析結果進一步支持了價格調整的可能性。最近幾天,BTC 的網路價值(NVT)比率有所上升,表明該資產可能被高估並容易出現價格下跌。
Daily Chart Indicators
每日圖表指標
Technical indicators on BTC's daily chart also provide bearish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicators have both trended sideways, suggesting a lack of momentum in either direction. These indicators, combined with other metrics, paint a somewhat pessimistic picture for the near future.
比特幣日線圖上的技術指標也提供了一個看跌訊號。相對強弱指數(RSI)和柴金資金流向(CMF)指標均呈現橫盤趨勢,顯示任一方向都缺乏動力。這些指標與其他指標結合,為不久的將來描繪了一幅有些悲觀的圖景。
Conclusion
結論
While Bitcoin's price has faced resistance at the $70,000 mark, it is important to approach any analysis with caution. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and unexpected events can occur at any time. However, the current metrics and analyst perspectives suggest that a price correction for BTC is a distinct possibility in the coming week. Investors are advised to monitor the market closely and adjust their strategies accordingly.
雖然比特幣的價格在 70,000 美元大關面臨阻力,但謹慎對待任何分析都很重要。眾所周知,加密貨幣市場波動很大,隨時可能發生意外事件。然而,目前的指標和分析師的觀點表明,比特幣價格在未來一周明顯有可能出現調整。建議投資者密切關注市場並相應調整策略。
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